AZ Alkmaar Eye Key Away Points Against Consistent Heerenveen

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar - 11/23/2025

DATE_FORMAT_LC5 1704

As Eredivisie action resumes at Abe Lenstra Stadion, AZ Alkmaar travel east to lock horns with Heerenveen. Both clubs have shown enough form to hint at a closely contested clash, but the visitors' solid record gives them a slight edge coming in.

Heerenveen enter this match placed 12th in the Eredivisie table after 12 games, notching 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. With an attacking output of 19 goals, they have averaged 1.58 per game, while conceding 21. The hosts' goal difference sits at minus two, showing both scoring ability and defensive vulnerability.

AZ Alkmaar, third in the standings, present a more formidable profile. They’ve won 7, drawn 3 and lost only 2 of their 12 fixtures, scoring 25 goals and conceding 18. With a positive goal difference of seven, they've demonstrated clear intent at the sharp end of the season’s first third.

Recent meetings between these sides have gone AZ's way. Heerenveen have taken just two wins from the last ten direct matchups, with AZ victorious on six occasions. The Frisians have also lost two of their last three against these opponents, and in 40% of their past ten Eredivisie home fixtures against AZ Alkmaar, they have suffered defeats by a margin of two or more goals.

Yet Heerenveen's home resilience is notable this year. Unbeaten in 81% of their last 27 home matches across all competitions, and undefeated in 87% of their past 15 Eredivisie home fixtures, they turn the Abe Lenstra Stadion into a challenge for visitors.

The home side’s recent form reads as steady: three wins, two draws, and just one loss in their past six games, scoring two and conceding 1.5 per outing on average. Their last three home matches produced two victories and a draw, but they gave up two goals per match, highlighting where improvement is required.

In attack, Heerenveen look to Václav Sejk and Dylan Vente, supported by midfield presence from Maxence Rivera and Jacob Trenskow. The defence, led by Sam Kersten and Maas Willemsen, has earned the most starts in recent matches and will be critical in containing AZ's forwards.

Probable lineup for Heerenveen (4-2-3-1):
Goalkeeper: Bernt Klaverboer
Defenders: Oliver Braude, Sam Kersten, Maas Willemsen, Vasilios Zagaritis
Midfielders: Joris van Overeem, Luuk Brouwers, Jacob Trenskow, Maxence Rivera, Dylan Vente
Attacker: Václav Sejk

AZ Alkmaar bring a formidable record, undefeated in 80% of their last 20 matches across all competitions. On the road, they have won seven of their previous 12 away days, adding a useful six clean sheets in their last 15. Their attacking impetus is led by Troy Parrott, with Isak Steiner Jensen and Weslley Patati offering width and threat.

In their last six matches, AZ have picked up four wins and suffered two losses, averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. They average over 16 shots per fixture, with seven on target, reflecting a team both proactive and dangerous.

AZ Alkmaar’s likely formation stays at 4-3-3, featuring the core that has proven successful during this campaign.
Probable lineup for AZ Alkmaar (4-3-3):
Goalkeeper: Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
Defenders: Denso Kasius, Wouter Goes, Alexandre Penetra, Mees de Wit
Midfielders: Peer Koopmeiners, Sven Mijnans, Kees Smit
Attackers: Weslley Patati, Troy Parrott, Isak Steiner Jensen

Looking at possession statistics, Heerenveen average 56.33% in their last six, slightly above AZ’s 53.5%. Both teams create over 14 shots per match, but AZ are marginally more efficient with their attempts on goal.

Trends suggest Heerenveen are hard to break down at home, but AZ Alkmaar excel in grinding out wins, especially outside Alkmaar. The prediction for this contest leans towards AZ Alkmaar, with a 54% probability of victory and a probable outcome of 2-1 in the visitors' favour.

Casa
Fora

Probabilidade %

1X2

Palpite

Placar Exato

Média de gols

Condições climáticas

Coef

Placar

Coef.
ao vivo

Nl1

HeerenveenAZ Alkmaar 23/11/2025 12:15

212554

21-2

1 - 2

3.40

36°F

+130

+170 +300 +130 down up down

FT

3 - 1(2 - 0)

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