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    VS Prediction

    Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
    55°F
    X
    Draw Probability42%
    1st place
    Ecuador Serie A
    2nd place
    Home team
    Away team
    Prob. %
    1X2
    Pred
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    Coef.
     Score 
    Live
    coef.
    Round 32
    Ec1
    334226
    X1-1
    1 - 1
    2.30
    55°F
    -
    - - -
    Head to head
    Libertad FC (ECU) 0
    0%
    Draw 1
    50%
    Leones del Norte 1
    50%
    Match Intro

    Top two sides Libertad FC (ECU) and Leones del Norte are set to clash in Serie A at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne on 11 October 2026.

    Libertad FC (ECU) leads the standings with 44 points, while Leones del Norte follows with 40 points.

    Libertad FC (ECU) has been strong at home, picking up four wins in their last six league matches at their own ground.

    Leones del Norte has struggled recently, suffering three defeats in their last six Serie A outings.

    Low-scoring fixtures have been common for both teams, with under 2.5 goals scored in 67 percent of Libertad FC (ECU)'s last six Serie A matches and in all of Leones del Norte's previous three games.

    Our model points to a draw between Libertad FC (ECU) and Leones del Norte, with a probability of 42 percent.

    22/09/2026
    injured and suspended
    Player
    Reason
    Until
    Player
    Reason
    Until
    S. Arrieta (F)
    Inner Ligament Injury
    -
    Standings of both teams
    COPA SUDAMERICANA PLAY-OFF PTS GP W D L GF GA +/-
    1
    Libertad FC (ECU) 44 31 12 8 11 35 35 0
    2
    Leones del Norte 40 31 10 10 11 32 33 -1
    3
    Guayaquil City 40 31 10 10 11 34 37 -3
    4
    CS Emelec 39 31 10 9 12 26 36 -10
    Copa Sudamericana playoffs
    REGULAR SEASON PTS GP W D L GF GA +/-
    1
    Ind del Valle 74 30 24 2 4 73 33 40
    2
    Univ Católica Quito 51 30 14 9 7 51 27 24
    3
    Macará 51 30 15 6 9 41 33 8
    4
    SD Aucas 50 30 14 8 8 33 28 5
    5
    LDU 46 30 13 7 10 31 24 7
    6
    Barcelona SC 44 30 11 11 8 32 25 7
    7
    Libertad FC (ECU) 41 30 11 8 11 33 34 -1
    8
    Leones del Norte 39 30 10 9 11 31 32 -1
    9
    Guayaquil City 39 30 10 9 11 33 36 -3
    10
    CS Emelec 39 30 10 9 11 25 34 -9
    11
    Mushuc Runa 38 30 9 11 10 35 38 -3
    12
    Deportivo Cuenca 36 30 10 6 14 25 37 -12
    13
    Orense SC 33 30 9 6 15 36 47 -11
    14
    Tecnico 32 30 10 2 18 28 42 -14
    15
    Delfin SC 28 30 7 7 16 19 31 -12
    16
    Manta FC 21 30 5 6 19 17 42 -25
    Championship Group
    Copa Sudamericana playoffs
    Relegation Group
    COPA SUDAMERICANA PLAY-OFF PTS GP W D L GF GA +/-

    1
    Libertad FC (ECU) 44 31 12 8 11 35 35 0
    2
    Leones del Norte 40 31 10 10 11 32 33 -1
    3
    Guayaquil City 40 31 10 10 11 34 37 -3
    4
    CS Emelec 39 31 10 9 12 26 36 -10
    View all
    Win 3
    50%
    Draw 1
    17%
    Lost 2
    33%
    View all
    Win 1
    17%
    Draw 2
    33%
    Lost 3
    50%
    View all

    Overall statistics

    • Overall
    • Home/Away

    Played games

    32
    31

    Goals

    Scored 35
    Avg.
    per game
    1.09
    Conceded 38
    Avg.
    per game
    1.19
    Scored 32
    Avg.
    per game
    1.03
    Conceded 33
    Avg.
    per game
    1.06

    in last 32 matches Scored a goal in last 31 matches
    Yes No
    22 (69%)
    10 (31%)
    Yes No
    23 (74%)
    8 (26%)
    Under
    Over
    Recent matches

    Under/Over

    12 20
    38% 63%
    1.5
    Goals

    Under/Over

    9 22
    29% 71%

    Under/Over

    17 15
    53% 47%
    2.5
    Goals

    Under/Over

    21 10
    68% 32%

    Under/Over

    26 6
    81% 19%
    3.5
    Goals

    Under/Over

    28 3
    90% 10%

    Both scored (Yes/No)

    Yes
    15
    47% 53%
    No
    17
    Yes
    15
    48% 52%
    No
    16
    Goals by time period
    • Scored
    • Conceded
    Goals
    2 4 6 8 10 12 14
    0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
    Goals
    2 4 6 8 10 12 14
    0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT

    Shots

    Avg.
    per game
    Total shots 365 11.41
    Blocked 83 2.59

    45%OFF target

    35%ON target

    53% Inside box

    47% Outside box

    Avg.
    per game
    Total shots 390 12.58
    Blocked 80 2.58

    47%OFF target

    32%ON target

    53% Inside box

    47% Outside box

    Passes
    Total 10514
    Avg.
    per game
    328.56
    Accurate 7616
    72%
    Ball Possession
    45%

    Total 10221
    Avg.
    per game
    329.71
    Accurate 7142
    70%
    Ball Possession
    47%
    Avg. event time
    50'
    24'
    0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
    Scored
    Conceded
    40'
    21'
    0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
    Total attacks
    Libertad FC (ECU) 2395
    Avg. 74.84
    Leones del Norte 2662
    Avg. 85.87
    Dangerous attacks
    Libertad FC (ECU) 1020
    Avg. 31.88
    Leones del Norte 1075
    Avg. 34.68

    Others

    32 Played games 31
    Avg.
    per game
    Total Total Avg.
    per game
    0.31 10 Clean sheets 10 0.32
    3.94 126 Corners 127 4.1
    10.88 348 Goal kicks 236 7.61
    15.47 495 Throws in 559 18.03
    1.31 42 Offsides 65 2.1
    0 0/ 0 Penalties 0/ 0 0
    4 128 GK saves 110 3.55
    Disciplinary
    Avg.
    per game
    Total Total Avg.
    per game
    0.13 4
    Red cards
    5 0.16
    2.19 70
    Yellow cards
    75 2.42
    11.59 371 Fouls 376 12.13
    11.31 362 Tackles 474 15.29
    Libertad FC (ECU)TrendsLeones del Norte
    Libertad FC (ECU) Trends
    Leones del Norte Trends
    Easy 1
    Severe 5
    Ec1 10/11/2026
    3
    Ec1 10/18/2026
    3
    Ec1 10/25/2026
    3
    Ec1 11/01/2026
    3
    Ec1 11/08/2026
    2
    Ec1 10/11/2026
    4
    Ec1 10/18/2026
    2
    Ec1 10/25/2026
    4
    Ec1 11/01/2026
    2
    Ec1 11/08/2026
    3
    View all

    LDU - Barcelona SC
    11/10/2026 22:00
    1
    Ind del Valle - SD Aucas
    11/10/2026 22:00
    1
    Univ Católica Quito - Macará
    11/10/2026 22:00
    2
    Manta FC - Tecnico
    11/10/2026 22:00
    1
    Orense SC - Deportivo Cuenca
    11/10/2026 22:00
    1

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    September 2026
    Football predictions
    >
    {"8":"August 2026","9":"September 2026","10":"October 2026"}
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