PSG Face Nantes at Parc des Princes: Can the Leaders Extend Their Ligue 1 Dominance?

Пари Сен Жермен - Нант - 04/22/2026

20 Апр 2026 1639

Paris Saint-Germain prepare for another test in Ligue 1, with Nantes visiting Parc des Princes. The home side remains at the pinnacle of the table, while Nantes look to steer clear of relegation worries. The outcome could have significant consequences for both ends of the standings.

Looking at the most recent encounter between the two clubs, PSG came away with a narrow 1-0 victory at the Stade de la Beaujoire, courtesy of a Vitinha goal in the 67th minute. The numbers from that match told a clear story: Nantes managed just five total shots and failed to register a shot on target, while PSG dominated with 18 total attempts and controlled 71% of possession. PSG also managed four shots on target and mounted 123 dangerous attacks compared to just 21 from Nantes. This gap in quality and control on the pitch was evident throughout the contest.

That previous meeting is reflective of a broader dynamic between the two teams in recent seasons. PSG have taken three wins in their last five matches against Nantes and have been particularly strong in home fixtures, with 17 undefeated from their last 20 at Parc des Princes in Ligue 1.

PSG’s overall performance in the league this season highlights their superiority. Top of the standings with 20 wins from 28 matches, they have produced 62 goals (2.21 per match) while conceding an average of only 0.89. Their goal difference stands at an imposing +37. Recent form has only reinforced their credentials: five wins from their last six, with an average of 2.5 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded per game.

At home, PSG dominate even further. Their last three home matches have produced two wins and one loss, but they averaged 19.33 shots and a remarkable 74.3% possession, conceding only a single goal on average. They have kept clean sheets in 58% of their last 12 home games in the league.

Nantes, by contrast, have found the season a hard slog. Sitting down in 17th place, they've won just four times in 29 league fixtures. Their average of 0.86 goals scored per match is coupled with 1.59 conceded, explaining their negative goal difference of -21. Over the last six matches in all competitions, Nantes have drawn three and lost three, failing to register a single win and scoring just 0.5 goals per outing.

Recent away form also paints a struggle: Nantes haven't claimed victory in 16 of their last 20 away matches and have lost half of those. However, it's worth noting they remain undefeated in their last three matches overall, all of which ended in draws. They have also kept clean sheets in 43% of their last seven away matches, hinting at some defensive discipline.

Head coach Luis Enrique is expected to maintain PSG’s preferred 4-3-3 setup. With Bradley Barcola, Fabián Ruiz, Renato Marin, and Quentin Ndjantou all sidelined, the likely lineup for PSG is:

Paris Saint-Germain

Goalkeeper: Matvey Safonov

Defenders: Achraf Hakimi, Ilya Zabarnyi, Willian Pacho, Lucas Hernández

Midfielders: Vitinha, Senny Mayulu, Kang-in Lee

Attackers: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Désiré Doué, Ousmane Dembélé

Nantes, coping with the absence of Bahmed Deuff, Kelvin Amian, and the suspended Fabien Centonze, should retain their typical 4-1-4-1 formation. Based on recent matches and the most used players, the lineup would likely be:

Nantes

Goalkeeper: Anthony Lopes

Defenders: Nicolas Cozza, Chidozie Awaziem, Frédéric Guilbert, Deiver Machado

Midfielders: Johann Lepenant, Francis Coquelin, Dehmaine Tabibou, Matthis Abline, Mohamed Kaba

Attacker: Ignatius Ganago

The probability model forecasts a 66% chance of PSG winning, with a projected 2-0 margin. PSG’s strong attack and defensive stamina are complemented by the discipline of their recent form. Conversely, while Nantes can be compact at the back, their scoring struggles on the road persist.

With PSG’s undefeated streak of 12 in their last 15 Liga 1 matches and Nantes winless in 17 of their last 20, the balance of form continues to tilt heavily toward the Parisians ahead of this contest.

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Пари Сен ЖерменНант 22/04/2026 19:00

66259

12-0

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2.23

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-588

-588 +650 +1400 no no no

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3 - 0(2 - 0)

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