Football is Mathematics
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Molde are on a fine run of form in the Eliteserien. The Blues are third in the standings and six points off first place.
Will our algorithm predict a win for Molde over Fredrikstad on matchday No. 15?
Fredrikstad are fifth in the Eliteserien standings and chasing Molde. However, Fredrikstad are on a poor run of form ahead of the weekend.
The Red Shorts failed to win their last four league matches, taking just two points along the way.
🚀🚀🚀 pic.twitter.com/Xje3K8cRTS
— Molde Fotballklubb 🏆 (@Molde_FK) July 11, 2024
They will start matchday No. 15 following a 3-1 away loss to Kristiansund BK. Based on the history between Fredrikstad and Molde, a win for the former will be difficult.
Molde are top of the Eliteserien form table, with 13 points from the last 18 points on offer. They outscored their last six opponents 16-7.
The Blues won their last three league matches on the road by a score of 9-1. Molde have a record of 4W-1D-1L on the road this term in the Eliteserien.
Fredrikstad, on the other hand, took eight points from the last six matches. The Red Shorts scored nine goals and conceded eight times across the six fixtures.
Fredrikstad have played well at home this season. They went unbeaten in the last four home games. The Red Shorts outscored their four opponents at home 7-3.
Molde won the last three head-to-head matches against Fredrikstad in all competitions. The Blues kept clean sheets in all three of those fixtures. However, there have been no recent trends between these clubs. Why?
Fredrikstad were promoted to the Eliteserien ahead of the current campaign. The last match between Fredrikstad and Molde took place in 2012.
Kristian Eriksen, not that Christian Eriksen, leads Molde in Eliteserien goals. Eriksen has eight league goals in 14 appearances.
The forward is tied for the Eliteserien lead in goal scoring. Magnus Wolff Eikrem has added seven goals to the Molde cause.
Morten Bjorlo has scored seven goals for Fredrikstad this season in 13 appearances. The Red Shorts have scored 21 goals in 13 matches this season.

Fredrikstad’s defence is the second best in the Eliteserien. It has allowed only 14 goals to opponents. It is the Fredrikstad defence that has helped them start the campaign so well.
So, can Fredrikstad’s defence stop Molde this weekend? It is unlikely. Our algorithm predicts a score of 2-0 in favour of Molde at Fredrikstad. The Blues’ win should keep them in the title Eliteserien title race.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Bodo/Glimt | 56 | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 38 |
2 |
Viking FK | 56 | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 37 |
3 |
Molde | 40 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 17 |
4 |
Tromso | 40 | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
5 |
Rosenborg BK | 37 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
6 |
Lillestrom SK | 36 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
7 |
Brann | 29 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 3 |
8 |
Fredrikstad | 29 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -8 |
9 |
KFUM Oslo | 29 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -9 |
10 |
Sarpsborg 08 | 28 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -6 |
11 |
Valerenga | 26 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -8 |
12 |
HamKam | 26 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -15 |
13 |
Sandefjord | 24 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -8 |
14 |
Aalesund FK | 24 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -12 |
15 |
Kristiansund BK | 19 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -24 |
16 |
IK Start | 16 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | -29 |
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