Wolverhampton Seek Revival as Burnley Visit Molineux

Wolverhampton vs Burnley - 10/26/2025

10/22/2025 2839

The pressure is mounting at the foot of the Premier League as Wolverhampton host Burnley at Molineux Stadium on October 26, 2025. Both sides have had a difficult start to their campaigns, and points are becoming precious as they seek to climb the table.

When the two teams last met on August 28, Wolverhampton emerged as 2-0 victors in a match defined by efficiency in attack and a solid defensive display. Gonçalo Guedes proved the difference, striking twice for the hosts, while Burnley struggled to register a single shot on target despite sharing possession equally. Wolverhampton’s 17 total shots to Burnley’s 3 further illustrate their dominance during that fixture.

In that previous clash, Wolverhampton also showed a cutting edge in dangerous attacks with 43 compared to Burnley’s 29. Ball possession was split evenly at 50% for both teams, but it was Wolverhampton’s ability to convert control into real chances that proved decisive.

Looking at recent form, Wolverhampton’s struggles have persisted. They have only one win from their last six league matches, alongside two draws and three defeats. Offensively, they have averaged just 0.83 goals per game in that run, while conceding 1.33. At home, Wolverhampton’s recent numbers mirror their overall form, with a single win, one draw, and one defeat over their last three games, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.33 on average per home match.

Burnley’s fortunes have been only marginally better. Over the last six league matches, they share a similar record with one win, one draw, and four losses. They have averaged 1 goal scored and conceded 1.83 per game. The away record paints a concerning picture, with Burnley losing all of their last three away outings, despite scoring 1.33 per match and conceding 3.33 on the road.

In the bigger picture, Wolverhampton are mired at the bottom of the table in 20th place, with no wins after eight matches, two draws, and six losses to their name. They have scored just five goals and conceded 16, which adds up to a goal difference of minus 11. The last 12 Premier League matches have seen Wolverhampton go winless in all 12, highlighting the scale of the task facing Vítor Pereira’s side.

Burnley, though better placed in 17th, have not found consistency either, with two wins, one draw, and five defeats. Their defensive frailty is evident in 15 goals conceded from eight matches, though the attack has provided nine goals to slightly improve their standing.

Head-to-head at Molineux, Wolverhampton hold a positive record, winning three of their last six home fixtures against Burnley. League-wide trends see Wolverhampton losing 50% of their last 30 matches and going winless in 83% of their last 12. Burnley, meanwhile, have won 57% of their last 30 games in all competitions, but are currently winless in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches, indicating inconsistency on both sides.

Wolverhampton’s lineup will be forced to adapt due to several absences, with Fer López, Enso González, Ki-Jana Hoever, and João Gomes all sidelined. Burnley will be without Mike Tresor and Zeki Amdouni for this encounter.

Given recent lineups, match fitness, and absences, the expected starting elevens are as follows:

Wolverhampton

Goalkeeper: Sam Johnstone

Defenders: Matt Doherty, Santiago Bueno, Ladislav Krejčí, Hugo Bueno

Midfielders: Marshall Munetsi, André, Jhon Arias

Attackers: Jørgen Strand Larsen, Rodrigo Gomes, Hee-Chan Hwang

Burnley

Goalkeeper: Martin Dúbravka

Defenders: Kyle Walker, Axel Tuanzebe, Maxime Estève, Josh Laurent, Quilindschy Hartman

Midfielders: Loum Tchaouna, Josh Cullen, Florentino Luís, Jaidon Anthony

Attacker: Lyle Foster

According to the Forebet algorithm, Wolverhampton are slight favorites, with a probability of 40% to secure a much-needed victory, potentially by a 2-1 margin. With both defenses showing vulnerabilities and both sides needing a positive result, close margins could make all the difference at Molineux.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

EPL

Wolverhampton Burnley 26/10/2025 15:00

403129

12-1

2 - 1

2.91

46°F

-110

-110 +230 +333 no down up

FT

2 - 3(2 - 2)

-

- - -