Defensive Solidity Meets Unbeaten Momentum: Hull City and Everton Set for Tactical Battle at MKM Stadium

Hull City vs Everton - 10/11/2026

09/21/2026 135

Hull City host Everton as Sergej Jakirovic’s newly promoted side try to protect their strong home record against a David Moyes team still unbeaten in the early weeks of the campaign.

Key Points

• Hull have kept clean sheets in both of their Premier League home matches this season.
• Everton arrive unbeaten across their recent competitive run, with defensive control a clear theme.
• Mohamed Belloumi’s double at Chelsea and Mohamed-Ali Cho’s goal at Newcastle give Hull extra counterattacking threat.
• Everton’s reshaped attack now features Jack Grealish, Brennan Johnson and Thierno Barry around Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall.
• Prediction: 1-1 draw, with the draw rated at 61%.

Recent History

The Premier League schedule brings an encounter between two sides presenting contrasting strengths, as Hull City’s defensive discipline faces off against Everton’s unbeaten momentum. Both teams have demonstrated resilience over recent fixtures, with historical data suggesting a tactical showdown could be in store.

Reviewing their last two home meetings, Hull City and Everton have finished level after 90 minutes on both occasions, underlining a tendency toward parity at this venue. In the last three clashes overall, Hull and Everton have played to a draw twice in normal time, heightening expectations for another closely fought contest.

Recent Form

Delving into Hull City’s recent run, their last six matches in all competitions saw them secure one victory, sharing the spoils three times and suffering defeat twice. Their winless run currently stands at four matches, a trend they are eager to break after the 2-1 loss at Newcastle followed draws with Aston Villa and Chelsea and a Carabao Cup defeat at Sunderland.

Hull’s performance at home still suggests cause for optimism: their first two Premier League matches at MKM Stadium brought a 2-0 win over Manchester United and a 0-0 draw with Aston Villa. Those clean sheets remain the strongest foundation for Jakirovic’s side, especially against opponents who have often been more efficient than expansive away from home.

Looking at attacking metrics, Hull’s recent matches suggest moderate productivity, with a direct style built around early service, set-pieces and transitions. Mohamed Belloumi’s two goals at Stamford Bridge were a reminder of their threat from wide areas, while Mohamed-Ali Cho strengthened his claim with a goal off the bench at Newcastle.

Everton, on the other hand, enter this fixture with strong momentum. Over their recent run, they remain undefeated and have combined league draws with Bournemouth, Manchester United and Tottenham with narrow wins over Wolves in the cup and Ipswich in the Premier League. Only two goals conceded across their last four competitive matches points to the control Moyes has quickly restored.

Everton’s away form tells a more balanced story, however. They were solid in the 0-0 draw at Tottenham but have still found consistent away victories difficult to secure. Despite regular clean sheets on the road, turning control into wins remains the next step for a side rebuilt with more pace and creativity in the final third.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Team lineups are expected to reflect recent selections and tactical stability. For Hull City, the established 5-4-1 formation remains the likely setup, with Tzolakis settled in goal and captain Lewie Coyle part of a back five. Nobel Mendy should come back into consideration if fully ready after missing the Newcastle squad, while Sorba Thomas and Mohamed-Ali Cho are pushing Elliot Stroud hard for the wide role opposite Belloumi.

Hull City predicted starting eleven:

Hull City

Goalkeeper: Konstantinos Tzolakis

Defenders: Lewie Coyle, Semi Ajayi, John Egan, Nobel Mendy, Ryan Giles

Midfielders: Mohamed Belloumi, Regan Slater, Matt Crooks, Sorba Thomas

Attacker: Oli McBurnie

Belloumi’s form is Hull’s clearest attacking argument, but Jakirovic also has fresh options in Cho, Tim Iroegbunam and Lucas Gourna-Douath if he wants more pace or power from the start.

Everton are expected to persist with their 4-2-3-1, an approach that provides midfield control while allowing for offensive flexibility. Moyes has leaned on Jordan Pickford, James Tarkowski and Jarrad Branthwaite as the defensive core, while Jack Grealish’s return to the XI against Ipswich gives Everton a more natural creator on the left.

Everton likely lineup:

Everton

Goalkeeper: Jordan Pickford

Defenders: Ainsley Maitland-Niles, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitaliy Mykolenko

Midfielders: Harrison Armstrong, James Garner

Attacking midfielders: Brennan Johnson, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Jack Grealish

Attacker: Thierno Barry

Tyrique George scored against Manchester United and remains a strong option, while Tyler Dibling, Hayden Hackney and Charly Alcaraz give Moyes useful alternatives. For now, Grealish, Dewsbury-Hall and Johnson look the most balanced support line for Barry.

Prediction

The draw is assigned a 61% probability. Given Hull’s home resilience and Everton’s unbeaten streak, a 1-1 result seems plausible based on empirical trends and current form. Each side’s defensive reliability and recent head-to-head history suggest this fixture is primed for another balanced result rather than a decisive outcome.

Both Hull and Everton will likely look to capitalize on counterattacks and set-pieces, with disciplined defensive units key on both sides. This meeting is set up for measured football where fine margins may separate the sides, and given the overarching data, the prediction is 1-1 with goals expected to be at a premium.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

EPL

Hull City Everton 11/10/2026 15:00

156125

X1-1

1 - 1

2.08

48°F

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