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    Crystal Palace Seek First Win Over Glasner's Nottingham Forest in Stalemate-Heavy Recent History

    Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest - 10/11/2026

    Crystal Palace Seek First Win Over Glasner's Nottingham Forest in Stalemate-Heavy Recent History
    09/21/2026 120

    Momentum, not memories, is on the line as Crystal Palace take on Nottingham Forest at Selhurst Park, with Oliver Glasner returning to his former club and both sides searching for sharper Premier League consistency after mixed starts to the campaign.

    Key Points

    • Crystal Palace are winless in the last eight meetings with Nottingham Forest, with the last five ending level.
    • Palace have taken confidence from a 4-0 Europa League win over Lech Poznań and a clean sheet at Leeds.
    • Axel Disasi remains suspended for Palace, while Takehiro Tomiyasu's calf issue will be monitored after his withdrawal at Leeds.
    • The locked prediction is a 2-2 draw, with the draw probability at 44%.

    Recent History

    Head-to-head encounters between Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest suggest little to separate the two. The last 8 meetings have seen Crystal Palace fail to win, with 6 drawn and 2 lost. Notably, the last 5 have ended level.

    Such a sequence means neither team holds a psychological edge, although Forest's unbeaten Premier League record in this fixture adds weight to the pattern. Palace have been particularly frustrated, unable to take three points in any of those matches.

    Recent Form

    Palace have put together a mixed start under Pierre Sage. They lost at Everton, were beaten heavily by Manchester City, recovered with an excellent 3-2 win at Fulham, then fell 3-2 to Ipswich after Axel Disasi's red card. Since then, a 4-0 Europa League win over Lech Poznań and a 0-0 draw at Leeds have steadied the mood.

    Nottingham Forest, now managed by former Palace boss Glasner, are also searching for consistency. Their league run has included a home defeat to Leeds, a creditable 2-2 draw at Liverpool, a 0-0 against Tottenham, a 2-1 win at Aston Villa and a damaging 1-0 home loss to Coventry. The concern is familiar: good structure, but not enough ruthless finishing.

    Main Trends

    For Palace, home form remains difficult to judge because the performances have swung sharply. They created plenty against Ipswich despite playing most of the match with ten men, then looked far more secure in Europe and at Elland Road. Jørgen Strand Larsen has been the clear attacking focal point, scoring against Ipswich and Lech Poznań and linking play effectively with Yéremy Pino and Daichi Kamada.

    Forest, meanwhile, have been competitive away from home. The draw at Anfield and win at Villa Park suggest Glasner's 3-4-2-1 can travel well, especially with Morgan Gibbs-White operating between the lines and Daniel Muñoz offering thrust from wing-back. Their problem is turning pressure into goals, as the Coventry defeat underlined.

    Overall Performance

    Looking at broader recent results, Crystal Palace still need to prove they can turn promising spells into sustained Premier League results. The clean sheet at Leeds was important, particularly with Dean Henderson sidelined before the break and Walter Benítez deputising well.

    Forest's overall profile is similarly balanced. They can be hard to break down, but their attack has not yet fully clicked around Liam Delap, Dan Ndoye and Gibbs-White. Glasner's return to Selhurst Park is an obvious subplot, especially as Forest now use many of the structural ideas he once made familiar in south London.

    Current League Matches

    Palace's most recent league outing was a goalless draw at Leeds, where they had Tyrick Mitchell's goal ruled out and Benítez made a key close-range save. It followed the high of a European debut in which Pino, Chris Richards, Strand Larsen and Eddie Nketiah all scored against Lech Poznań.

    Forest's latest league match was a 1-0 home defeat to Coventry, a poor result after the positivity of their 2-1 win at Aston Villa. That Villa victory showcased Gibbs-White's creativity and Delap's running, but the Coventry setback again raised questions about end product.

    Team News and Probable Lineups

    Crystal Palace

    Goalkeeper: Dean Henderson

    Defenders: Chris Richards, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Jaydee Canvot

    Midfielders: Anan Khalaili, Quinten Timber, Adam Wharton, Tyrick Mitchell

    Attackers: Yéremy Pino, Daichi Kamada, Jørgen Strand Larsen

    Palace are likely to continue with their 3-4-2-1 system. Henderson is the first-choice goalkeeper if his ankle recovery is complete after the international break, while Benítez is ready to continue if needed. Disasi is serving a three-match domestic suspension and misses this fixture, so Richards and Canvot are strong starters in the back three. Tomiyasu came off at Leeds with a calf issue, although the initial assessment was not severe; Honest Ahanor is the natural alternative if Sage takes no risk.

    Nottingham Forest

    Goalkeeper: Matz Sels

    Defenders: Jair Cunha, Ousmane Diomande, Murillo

    Midfielders: Daniel Muñoz, Xaver Schlager, James McAtee, Neco Williams

    Attackers: Morgan Gibbs-White, Dan Ndoye, Liam Delap

    Forest are likely to stay close to Glasner's familiar 3-4-2-1. Sels remains secure in goal, with Diomande and Murillo central to the defensive plan. Jair Cunha returned to the XI against Coventry and may keep his place, while Nikola Milenković's hamstring issue leaves his involvement dependent on his response after the break. Muñoz and Williams should operate as wing-backs, with Schlager and McAtee in midfield and Gibbs-White supporting Ndoye and Delap.

    Prediction

    With an edge to neither side in recent meetings and Palace unable to register a victory in the last 8 against Forest, another stalemate could be in the cards. The algorithm puts the draw probability at 44%, which accurately reflects the even nature of this contest.

    Palace's renewed attacking rhythm and Forest's ability to compete away from home set the stage for a tight, open match. Given the head-to-head pattern and both teams' tendency to fluctuate, a 2-2 draw appears the most likely outcome.

    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    1X2
    Pred
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    Coef.
    Score
    Live
    coef.
    EPL
    184438
    X2-2
    2 - 2
    3.17
    59°F
    -
    - - -

    Premier League

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    September 2026
    Football predictions
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    OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
    1
    Manchester City 15 5 5 0 0 8
    2
    Arsenal 12 5 4 0 1 4
    3
    Brighton 10 5 3 1 1 11
    4
    Brentford 9 5 2 3 0 6
    5
    Leeds United 9 5 2 3 0 4
    6
    Liverpool 9 5 2 3 0 3
    7
    Everton 9 5 2 3 0 3
    8
    Hull City 8 5 2 2 1 2
    9
    Newcastle United 8 5 2 2 1 0
    10
    Chelsea 7 5 2 1 2 -2
    11
    Ipswich Town 6 5 2 0 3 -4
    12
    Manchester United 5 5 1 2 2 0
    13
    Nottingham Forest 5 5 1 2 2 -1
    14
    Sunderland 4 5 1 1 3 -4
    15
    Crystal Palace 4 5 1 1 3 -5
    16
    Aston Villa 4 5 1 1 3 -5
    17
    Bournemouth 3 5 0 3 2 -2
    18
    Coventry City 3 5 1 0 4 -9
    19
    Fulham 2 5 0 2 3 -3
    20
    Tottenham 2 5 0 2 3 -6
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