Genoa Seek First Serie A Win as Fiorentina Aim to Build on Napoli Draw

Genoa vs Fiorentina - 10/10/2026

09/21/2026 125

The Luigi Ferraris sets the scene on October 10 as Genoa host Fiorentina in Serie A. Both sides have started poorly, but Fiorentina arrive with signs of attacking life while Genoa are still chasing their first league win of the season.

Key Points

• Genoa sit 19th after five matches, with one point, three goals scored and ten conceded.
• Fiorentina are 17th on four points, but they have taken four points from their last two league games.
• Franco Mastantuono has quickly become central to Fiorentina, following a hat-trick at Venezia and a start against Napoli.
• Johan Vásquez has served his one-match ban and should be available again for Genoa.
• Locked prediction: Fiorentina have a 38% probability to win this match.

Recent History

Genoa’s home record against Fiorentina points to closely contested affairs, but the more recent head-to-head leans Viola. Fiorentina are unbeaten in the last six meetings in all competitions, including a 2-2 draw at the Luigi Ferraris last season and a goalless draw in Florence in May.

Neither side has consistently dominated this fixture in Liguria, but Genoa have not beaten Fiorentina since 2019, which adds to the sense that the hosts need a response as well as a result.

Recent Form

Genoa have struggled through a tough stretch, with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 6 outings in all competitions. They have averaged only 0.83 goals scored per match while conceding 1.67, underlining their issues at both ends of the pitch. Their league start is more worrying still, with only one point from five games.

Fiorentina’s recent form reads slightly better. They have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6, and their 4-2 win at Venezia showed the attacking upside in Paolo Vanoli’s side. Defensive lapses remain a concern, but the 1-1 draw with Napoli gave Fiorentina a useful platform after a difficult opening month.

Overall Performance

Delving deeper, Genoa remain under pressure near the bottom of the table. They have lost four of their opening five league matches, conceded heavily against Como and Parma, and remain short of attacking fluency despite the arrival of Milutin Osmajic and the presence of Lorenzo Colombo.

Fiorentina also sit in the lower reaches, but their trajectory is more encouraging. After heavy defeats to Roma and Frosinone and a home loss to Torino, they responded by beating Venezia and then holding Napoli. Vanoli has shifted the emphasis toward a more balanced 4-3-3, helped by a reshaped squad featuring Radu Drăgușin, Alex Jiménez, Mateo Pellegrino, Willy Gnonto and Franco Mastantuono.

Main Trends

Genoa’s troubling streak sees them winless in Serie A and vulnerable at the back. The 2-1 defeat at Parma extended their difficult start, and they have conceded ten goals in five league matches.

For Fiorentina, the main trend is volatility. They have conceded 12 league goals, but their attacking output has improved sharply since the Venezia win. Mastantuono’s emergence is particularly important, with the Argentine teenager following his hat-trick at Venezia by starting again against Napoli.

Recent League Matches

Genoa opened with a 2-0 defeat to Napoli, followed by a 1-0 loss at Lazio, a heavy 4-1 home defeat to Como, a 1-1 draw with Frosinone and a 2-1 defeat at Parma. They also edged Südtirol 1-0 in the Coppa Italia, but their league performances have left Daniele De Rossi needing a sharper response.

Fiorentina began with a 4-0 defeat at Roma, then lost 3-0 to Frosinone and 2-1 to Torino. Since then, the Viola have beaten Venezia 4-2 and drawn 1-1 with Napoli, with Alex Jiménez scoring the equaliser in that latest league outing.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Genoa should have Johan Vásquez available again after he served a one-match suspension against Parma. Elias Havel and Lorenzo Venturino have been dealing with injury issues, but neither is expected to shape the starting XI. De Rossi is likely to restore Vásquez to the back three, with Tommaso Baldanzi supporting the attack.

Genoa probable XI: Bijlow; Marcandalli, Østigård, Vásquez; Ehizibue, Sow, Frendrup, Ellertsson; Baldanzi; Colombo, Osmajic.

That setup keeps Genoa close to the 3-4-1-2 used in recent weeks, with Osmajic’s movement and Colombo’s penalty-box presence giving De Rossi a direct route to goal. Junior Messias and Vitinha remain attacking alternatives if he wants more experience or mobility.

Fiorentina have no active suspension shaping the XI, and Vanoli’s latest league selection points toward continuity after the Napoli draw. Dodô was in the squad last time, but Jiménez strengthened his case with a goal, while Mastantuono, Pellegrino and Njie give the front line pace and unpredictability.

Fiorentina probable XI: De Gea; Jiménez, Drăgușin, Ranieri, Viery; Atta, Fagioli, Ndour; Mastantuono, Pellegrino, Njie.

Mastantuono’s recent hat-trick at Venezia makes him the standout form player in the fixture, and his combination with Pellegrino could be decisive against a Genoa defence still looking for stability.

Prediction

The Forebet algorithm gives Fiorentina a 38% probability to collect all three points. Their recent upturn in away attacking output and Genoa’s defensive vulnerabilities point in their favor. Yet neither side’s form is emphatic, and the historical head-to-head shows this matchup frequently delivers tight outcomes.

Away quality and recent trend nudge Fiorentina to edge this contest, but Genoa’s desperation for points at home cannot be discounted. Prediction: Fiorentina win probability 38%.

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Away team

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Genoa Fiorentina 10/10/2026 15:00

263638

22-3

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3.42

63°F

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