Santa Clara Look to Extend Unbeaten Run Against Struggling Casa Pia AC

Casa Pia AC vs Santa Clara - 10/10/2026

09/21/2026 81

The Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior prepares to host Casa Pia AC and Santa Clara, two sides meeting at sharply contrasting moments early in the new Liga Portugal regular season.

Santa Clara, undefeated in 92% of their last 12 matches in all competitions, ride a wave of defensive consistency. Casa Pia AC, on the other hand, continue to look for answers after picking up just one win in their last six, desperately hoping home turf will spark a turnaround.

Recent Form

Casa Pia AC’s start to the 2026–27 campaign has been a tough slog. Their last six matches offer little relief—just a single win, a draw, and four losses, scoring an average of 0.5 while conceding 2.5 per match.

Scoring woes are particularly apparent at home: Casa Pia AC have failed to win any of their last three home outings, losing all three while managing just a goal in that span and conceding 12.

Santa Clara are in far better shape. Unbeaten in their last seven matches, including four wins and three draws, the Azores side has allowed just 0.33 goals per game over that streak. Their last six show four wins and two draws, underlining a team that is very difficult to break down.

Recent History

Head to head in recent years presents a more balanced story. Casa Pia AC’s last three home matches against Santa Clara have seen each outcome once: a win, a draw, and a loss.

However, Casa Pia AC have struggled overall in direct meetings lately, losing three of their last five against Santa Clara. This tilt is shaping up to offer another stiff test given the current form disparity.

Overall Performance

Longer term data exposes deeper concerns for Casa Pia AC. Over their last 20 matches, they have gone winless in 17—shipping an average of 1.5 goals while scoring just 0.55. They have lost 50% of those outings and dropped five of their last ten at home.

Santa Clara, reflecting a side keen on promotion last season and now adjusting confidently, are unbeaten in eight of their last ten away fixtures, showing a clear knack for getting results on the road. That said, most of these away results have been draws—five in their last ten—suggesting they prefer caution and control rather than overextending.

Main Trends

Casa Pia AC’s home ground has brought little comfort. They haven’t won in 17 of their past 20 home games, and three of their last seven losses have been by a margin of two or more goals.

Santa Clara are undefeated in 92% of their last 12 in all competitions, and their last seven overall have all ended without a loss—a testament to their growing confidence and strong foundation defensively. While their attack has not always been prolific, their structure has delivered consistent points so far.

Probable Lineups

Casa Pia AC (probable 4-2-3-1):

Santa Clara (probable 4-3-3):

Prediction

This fixture pits one of the league’s most in-form sides against a squad mired in an extended winless rut. Santa Clara’s defensive structure and ability to squeeze the life from games away from home, reflected in a streak of drawn or narrow-victory road results, sets up a likely tight encounter.

Casa Pia AC struggle to generate quality chances, with only 2.5 shots on target per match over the past six and minimal possession. Santa Clara, meanwhile, find enough firepower through Gonçalo Paciência, Brenner, and Vinícius Lopes to threaten when chances arise.

Expect few goals—Santa Clara’s defensive prowess and Casa Pia’s attacking struggles suggest an under 2.5 scenario is likely, with the most probable result being Santa Clara claiming the win by a 1-0 margin. Santa Clara’s probability to win sits strong at 65% on current trends.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

Pt1

Casa Pia AC Santa Clara 10/10/2026 16:30

102565

20-1

0 - 1

2.23

59°F

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- - -

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