Football is Mathematics
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Both Standard Liège and Sporting Charleroi enter this Jupiler Pro League matchup with plenty of confidence from their early season exploits, but history looms large over the contest. After recent encounters dominated by the visitors, Liège are eager to shift the narrative on their own turf, where they often look the most composed.
The last showdown between Standard Liège and Sporting Charleroi holds particular significance. Back in May 2026, Charleroi travelled to Stade Maurice Dufrasne and came away with a 2-0 win, a result that underlined the tactical superiority of the side in white and black. Charleroi took the lead via Jakob Napoleon Romsaas in the 75th minute, before Antoine Bernier sealed the win late on in the 86th.
Standard Liège finished the contest well behind in ball possession with 43% versus Charleroi's 57%. The home side attempted only 7 shots compared to Charleroi's 13, and even more striking, managed only 3 on target. Despite generating more dangerous attacks (50 to 38), Liège’s efforts fizzled out against Charleroi’s disciplined back line. This clinical approach, paired with a compact midfield, saw Charleroi extend their recent edge in this matchup.
Assessing both clubs over their last 12 to 32 matches paints a vivid picture. Standard Liège have won 50% of their last 12 matches in all competitions, maintaining an average of 1.83 goals scored per game while conceding 1.33. Their attacking intentions are also mirrored in their 5.25 average shots on target and nearly 50% possession rate. At home, they have kept clean sheets in 42% of their last 12, a testament to a generally robust defense at Stade Maurice Dufrasne.
Sporting Charleroi, by contrast, have amassed 16 wins from their last 32 in all competitions, netting 1.53 goals and letting in 1.19 on average. Their ability to keep matches tight and controlled is reflected in their 4.72 shots on target per game and a slightly higher possession average than their rivals. Away from home, Charleroi have won 50% of their last 12, kept clean sheets in 41% of their last 22, and notably, have avoided defeat in 80% of their last 10 away matches.
Standard Liège’s main positive trend is remaining undefeated in 5 of their last 6 at home, where they have also kept games relatively low-scoring (conceding just 0.67 per match in their last three). Against Charleroi, though, the record is less encouraging: they have lost 2 of the last 3 head-to-head assignments.
Charleroi are riding an excellent wave. Undefeated in 12 of their last 15 overall, they’ve also won by at least two goals in 5 of their last 12 and 43% of their most recent 7 away fixtures. Their threat away from home should not be underestimated, especially given their current tactical sharpness.
Standard Liège are coming off a mixed bag in their last 6, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 1.83 and conceding 1.67 per game. At home, however, their performance ticks up: 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 3, with a healthy shot output and sturdy defense.
Sporting Charleroi have racked up 5 wins from 6, losing only once while averaging 2 goals scored per game and a controlled 1 conceded. In their last 3 outings on the road, they have been flawless: 3 wins, conceding just 0.33 per match.
Standard Liège
Goalkeeper: Matthieu Epolo
Defenders: Marlon Fossey, Ibrahim Karamoko, Ibe Hautekiet, Gustav Mortensen
Midfielders: Alexis Trouillet, Rayan Touzghar, Casper Nielsen
Attackers: Dennis Eckert Ayensa, Adnane Abid, Bernard Nguene
Sporting Charleroi
Goalkeeper: Mohamed Koné
Defenders: Kevin Van Den Kerkhof, Aiham Ousou, Mardochée Nzita, Check Keita
Midfielders: Amine Boukamir, Jakob Napoleon Romsaas, Patrick Pflücke, Yassine Khalifi, Freddy Mbemba
Attackers: Aurélien Scheidler
Given the trends and recent meetings, Sporting Charleroi enter as the more likely winners, buoyed by recent form and superior head-to-head results. Standard’s strong home form cannot be ignored, but Charleroi’s defensive solidity and efficiency when traveling suggest an away victory, possibly by a 2 goal margin. The probability rating sits at 43% for Charleroi, and the low-scoring theme is expected to persist, with under 2.5 goals likely in this fixture.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Union Saint-Gilloise | 19 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
2 |
Gent | 19 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
3 |
Club Brugge | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
4 |
Sporting Charleroi | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
5 |
Anderlecht | 13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
6 |
Zulte Waregem | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
7 |
Standard Liège | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
8 |
Westerlo | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
9 |
Racing Genk | 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
10 |
Waasland Beveren | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 |
11 |
Sint-Truiden | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
12 |
Lommel United | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 |
13 |
Royal Antwerp | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 |
14 |
RAAL La Louvière | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 |
15 |
OH Leuven | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 |
16 |
Cercle Brugge | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6 |
17 |
KV Mechelen | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 |
18 |
KV Kortrijk | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 |
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Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
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Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions











