Football is Mathematics
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A key matchup in the MLS Eastern Conference looms as Charlotte FC, unbeaten in their last eight, welcome a Chicago Fire side desperate to reverse their recent fortunes. With places at the top of the table at stake, both teams have everything to play for at Bank of America Stadium on September 27, 2026.
Matches between Charlotte FC and Chicago Fire in North Carolina have seen both sides find some joy, with each winning two of the last four meetings. Their most recent clash, hosted by Chicago, ended 2-1 in favor of the Fire, with Robert Lewandowski’s brace making the difference.
At home, Charlotte have demonstrated resilience. While they conceded all three points in their latest trip to Chicago, their home record in this matchup suggests they are unlikely to be overawed.
Charlotte FC enter this clash on a strong run. Across their last six games, they have secured four wins and two draws, averaging two goals and less than one conceded per game. Their last three at home have brought two wins and a draw, with just two goals conceded and five scored.
Chicago Fire, in contrast, continue to grapple with inconsistency. The visitors have failed to win in any of their last six, recording three draws and three losses while shipping 14 goals and scoring only nine. Their away form mirrors those struggles, having gone winless in five of their last six outings.
The current MLS table tells a compelling story. Charlotte FC sit fourth with 12 wins, seven draws, and a healthy goal difference of +10 from 26 matches played. Chicago Fire, despite similar firepower with 45 goals scored, have managed just 11 wins and eight losses from 25 matches, leaving them a place behind in fifth with a +7 differential.
Charlotte’s goal-scoring is driven by variety—Liel Abada, Idan Toklomati, and Pep Biel are all finding the net regularly, strengthening their attacking flexibility. Chicago Fire are led by Lewandowski and Maren Haile-Selassie, but their vulnerabilities show at the back, with an average of 1.52 goals conceded per match.
Charlotte FC’s main trends highlight a formidable consistency: undefeated in 83% of their last 18 matches in all competitions, as well as 82% in their last 17 at home. The hosts have also managed clean sheets in 40% of their last 30 home games and have won by two or more goals in four of their last ten league outings.
The Fire, on the other hand, are winless in 7 of their last 8 and are specifically winless in all of their last 7 matches. Draws have been more common than wins in this period, and Chicago’s attacking stats are overshadowed by defensive lapses.
Charlotte FC will be missing Tim Ream (national team duty), Nimfasha Berchimas (foot injury), Aron John (shoulder injury), and Harry Toffolo (muscle). Based on recent selections and absences, the likely lineup in a 4-2-3-1 would be:
Charlotte FC
Goalkeeper: Kristijan Kahlina
Defenders: Nathan Byrne, Henry Kessler, David Schnegg, Will Cleary
Midfielders: Allan Saint-Maximin, Liel Abada, Pep Biel, Djibril Diani, Luca de la Torre
Attackers: Idan Toklomati
Chicago Fire will be missing goalkeeper Chris Brady (national team), André Franco (knee injury), and Mbekezeli Mbokazi (thigh). Expect a lineup approaching a 4-2-3-1:
Chicago Fire
Goalkeeper: Josh Cohen
Defenders: Jack Elliott, Jonathan Dean, Noah Allen, Andrew Gutman
Midfielders: Philip Zinckernagel, Maren Haile-Selassie, Sergio Oregel, Djé D'Avilla, Johan Gómez
Attackers: Robert Lewandowski
With Charlotte unbeaten in 100% of their last eight and boasting a dominant home sequence, the conditions are ripe for them to at least avoid defeat. Chicago’s inability to convert draws and possession into wins lately is telling, but their forward line retains the ability to trouble any defense.
The projection leans toward a draw, likely with goals for both sides. Algorithmic analysis suggests a 41% probability for a draw and anticipates over 2.5 goals, with a 2-2 scoreline the most probable outcome. With both defenses allowing goals and several attacking players in form, a high-scoring stalemate is a realistic expectation.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps | 49 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 33 |
2 |
Saint Louis City | 44 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
3 |
FC Dallas | 44 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
4 |
Houston Dynamo | 44 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
5 |
San Jose Earthquakes | 42 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
6 |
Los Angeles FC | 41 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
7 |
Colorado Rapids | 36 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
8 |
Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -8 |
9 |
Portland Timbers | 32 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -1 |
10 |
Seattle Sounders | 32 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | -3 |
11 |
San Diego | 31 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
12 |
Austin FC | 30 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -12 |
13 |
Minnesota United | 29 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -7 |
14 |
Real Salt Lake | 29 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -7 |
15 |
Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -34 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Nashville SC | 57 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 32 |
2 |
Inter Miami CF | 46 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 15 |
3 |
New England Revolution | 46 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
4 |
Charlotte FC | 43 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
5 |
Chicago Fire | 39 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
6 |
Philadelphia Union | 36 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
7 |
Orlando City SC | 34 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -14 |
8 |
FC Cincinnati | 33 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | -7 |
9 |
New York Red Bulls | 33 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -14 |
10 |
New York City FC | 32 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
11 |
DC United | 29 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 |
12 |
Toronto FC | 29 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | -10 |
13 |
Columbus Crew | 26 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -5 |
14 |
Atlanta United | 26 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -13 |
15 |
Montreal Impact | 21 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -22 |
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
There have been under 2.5 goals in 15 of the latest games in Primera B Metropolitana of Brown de Adrogué
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
In all of their 20 most recent matches of Women’s Super League, there have been no losses for Arsenal LFC W
In their last 20 games in Serie C, US Foggia have a poor record of just 2 wins
A run of 10 straight defeats makes the most recent matches in all competitions of Gibraltar
Reggina Calcio have won 8 consecutive games in Serie D Group I
Gimnasia Chivilcoy have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 5 Torneo Federal A games
Antigua & Barbuda have failed to score in their last 4 matches in all competitions
In their last 3 Serie C matches, Spezia have won by 2 or more goals
Perugia Calcio have lost by 2 or more goals their last 3 Serie C games in a row
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions











