Football is Mathematics
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Few matchups in the Argentine Liga Profesional combine tradition and recent ambition quite like Newell's Old Boys versus Lanús at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa. With Newell's Old Boys keen to extend their impressive home track record against the Granate side, the visitors arrive with back-to-back victories and an eye for exploiting recent momentum.
A glance at recent encounters in Rosario paints a clear picture. Newell's Old Boys have been dominant when hosting Lanús, notching up five wins and a draw in their last six home fixtures against their southern visitors, remaining unbeaten through this stretch. However, when looking at their last meeting, it was Lanús who turned the tables emphatically, dismantling Newell's Old Boys 5-0 in March. That solitary result, though, came in Buenos Aires, and the Marcelo Bielsa fortress continues to be a formidable challenge for Lanús.
Home comfort has contributed to Newell's Old Boys going undefeated in their last six matches, splitting three wins and three draws. Notably, their last three at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa have yielded two wins and a draw, with an average of 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game—signs of resilience and stability.
Lanús, for their part, enter the game on a three-match winning and undefeated streak in all competitions, including victories over Estudiantes La Plata and Deportivo Riestra. Away from home, though, their form is less convincing, suffering losses or draws in 11 of their last 13 on the road, and conceding two or more goals in 40% of their last 10 away clashes.
Newell's Old Boys finished 14th in the Apertura, picking up just three wins in 16 matches, with a negative goal difference. They scored 15 and conceded a worrying 27. Their defensive frailties, particularly evident earlier in the year, may be tempered by recent improvements in home solidity.
Lanús, by contrast, ended the Apertura sixth, boasting a balanced record with six wins and as many draws from 16 fixtures, and a positive goal difference after netting 18 and conceding only 15. Their struggle remains consistency on their travels, despite a squad that has found their scoring touch in recent rounds.
Newell's Old Boys have avoided defeat in 87% of their last 15 matches and have been unbeaten in nine of their past 11 home matches. Their propensity to keep games tight has seen them keep a clean sheet in 40% of their last 10 at home.
For Lanús, while their overall league win percentage in the last 10 games sits at 50%, they have failed to win 11 of their last 13 away—highlighting how the road has historically been arduous. Their ability to win big should not be overlooked though, given 40% of their last 10 away defeats have been by two or more goals.
Newell's Old Boys
Goalkeeper: Josué Reinatti
Defenders: Martín Ortega, Lucas Carrizo, Lautaro Giannetti, Jeronimo Russo
Midfielders: Facundo Guch, Rodrigo Herrera, Luca Regiardo, Walter Mazzantti, Santiago Solari
Attackers: Matías Cóccaro
Lanús
Goalkeeper: Nahuel Losada
Defenders: Sasha Marcich, Tomás Guidara, Carlos Izquierdoz, José Canale
Midfielders: Felipe Peña Biafore, Agustín Cardozo, Lucas Besozzi, Eduardo Salvio, Gonzalo Pérez
Attackers: Allan Wlk
The underlying statistics point to one of the league's most robust home performers measured against a Lanús squad that travels with some vulnerability. However, the visitors are coming off a confident string of results and have the squad depth to compete. The algorithm gives Lanús the edge for a victory at 39% probability, factoring in their resurgence and perhaps the psychological edge from their comprehensive win in the reverse fixture last season. This one looks likely to be closely contested, with Newell's Old Boys' home resilience put sternly to the test by a Lanús squad in improving form.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Instituto Córdoba | 22 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
2 |
Vélez Sársfield | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
3 |
Defensa y Justicia | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
4 |
Gimnasia Mendoza | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
5 |
Boca Juniors | 17 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
6 |
Independiente | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
7 |
Lanús | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
8 |
Newell's Old Boys | 16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
9 |
Unión Santa Fe | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
10 |
San Lorenzo | 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 |
11 |
Estudiantes La Plata | 10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -1 |
12 |
Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 |
13 |
CA Platense | 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 |
14 |
Talleres Córdoba | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 |
15 |
Central Córdoba SdE | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Argentinos Juniors | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
2 |
Rosario Central | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
3 |
Independiente Rivadavia | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
4 |
Gimnasia La Plata | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
5 |
Belgrano Córdoba | 16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
6 |
CA Huracán | 16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
7 |
Sarmiento Junín | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
8 |
River Plate | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
9 |
Atlético Tucumán | 13 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
10 |
CA Tigre | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
11 |
Barracas Central | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 |
12 |
CA Banfield | 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 |
13 |
CA Aldosivi | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 |
14 |
Racing Club | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 |
15 |
Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -8 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Estudiantes La Plata | 31 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
2 |
Boca Juniors | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 |
Vélez Sársfield | 28 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
4 |
Talleres Córdoba | 26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
5 |
Independiente | 24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
6 |
Lanús | 24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
7 |
San Lorenzo | 22 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
8 |
Unión Santa Fe | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
9 |
Instituto Córdoba | 21 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
10 |
Defensa y Justicia | 19 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 |
11 |
Gimnasia Mendoza | 19 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 |
12 |
CA Platense | 16 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 |
13 |
Central Córdoba SdE | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 |
14 |
Newell's Old Boys | 15 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 |
15 |
Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Independiente Rivadavia | 34 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
2 |
River Plate | 29 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
3 |
Argentinos Juniors | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
4 |
Rosario Central | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
5 |
Belgrano Córdoba | 26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
6 |
Gimnasia La Plata | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
7 |
CA Huracán | 22 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
8 |
Racing Club | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
9 |
Barracas Central | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
10 |
CA Tigre | 20 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
11 |
Sarmiento Junín | 19 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 |
12 |
CA Banfield | 18 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 |
13 |
Atlético Tucumán | 14 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -5 |
14 |
CA Aldosivi | 8 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -13 |
15 |
Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 5 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 |
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Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
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