Football is Mathematics
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Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 2
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 9
Lugano return to Stadio di Cornaredo aiming to keep their peerless league run rolling, while FC Basel arrive desperate to revive their season. The hosts have swept aside all challengers in the Super League so far, but the visitors will hope their recent tweaks pay off in this match-up between familiar foes.
The last time Lugano and Basel faced off, Lugano travelled to St. Jakob-Park and secured a convincing 3-1 victory. Despite dominating total shots with 23 to Basel’s 5 and holding 55% possession, Lugano had to recover from falling behind to Metinho’s 47th minute opener for FC Basel.
Lugano’s reply was emphatic. Yanis Cimignani found the net in the 59th minute, followed just two minutes later by Uran Bislimi, flipping the contest on its head. Ahmed Kendouci rounded off the comeback at 81 minutes. Basel’s 5 shots, with just 2 on target, highlighted their offensive struggles, while Lugano’s control in midfield and sharp attack—especially during dangerous moments—proved decisive.
Lugano’s recent form is unmatched in the Super League. They’ve won all 6 of their last 6 matches, scoring at an average of 3.83 goals, and have been particularly prolific at home with 3 straight wins at Cornaredo. Their average possession in the last 6 matches stands at 54.5%, reflecting their ability to dictate play.
Basel, by contrast, have won just 2 of their last 6, with 3 defeats and a draw. They have found the net only 1.5 times per match while conceding 1.83, highlighting concerns at both ends of the pitch. Their away record is patchy, and they have been struggling to find attacking rhythm.
A glance at the Super League table is telling: Lugano sit first, undefeated across 11 matches (10 wins, 1 draw), boasting 34 goals (3.09 per match) and conceding only 9. A goal difference of plus-25 underlines both their attacking intent and defensive solidity.
Basel have endured mixed fortunes. They are seventh, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses through 11 games. Their negative goal difference (17 scored, 20 against) points to vulnerabilities, especially when facing in-form opposition.
Lugano are riding a 23-match unbeaten run in all competitions, taking maximum points in their last 7. They haven’t been beaten in 37 of their last 40, winning by two or more goals in 7 of their last 12—impressive numbers that demonstrate both resilience and ruthlessness.
Basel are winless in 86% of their last 7 league outings and have lost 8 of their last 15 league matches. Even on the road, only 50% of their last 14 ended in victory, while 39% of their last 28 overall losses came by two or more goals.
Lugano
Goalkeeper: Jonas Omlin
Defenders: Clément Michelin, Flavius Daniliuc, Moussa Cissé, Akpe Victory
Midfielders: Metinho, Xherdan Shaqiri, Kazeem Olaigbe, Jonas Harder
Attackers: Philip Otele, Zan Celar
FC Basel
Goalkeeper: David von Ballmoos
Defenders: Hannes Delcroix, Lukas Mai, Antonios Papadopoulos
Midfielders: Bekhruz Karimov, Anto Grgic, Yanis Cimignani, Daniel Dos Santos, Uran Bislimi
Attackers: Dereck Moncada, Beckham Castro
Lugano’s relentless form is reflected in the statistical probability—they are favored to win, with a 50% chance of taking all three points. Basel’s inconsistency and recent performance away from home work against them, despite a squad capable of troubling the best on their day.
If Lugano assert their usual control in midfield and translate that into attacking pressure, Basel could find themselves under sustained threat. Meanwhile, Basel will need an improved defensive effort and a sharp front line if they hope to take anything from the league leaders.
All signs point toward Lugano continuing their unbeaten streak, with enough momentum to see off Basel at Cornaredo once again.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Lugano | 31 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
2 |
Young Boys | 25 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
3 |
FC Sion | 22 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
4 |
Zürich | 17 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -3 |
5 |
Servette | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
6 |
St Gallen | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -4 |
7 |
FC Basel | 14 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 |
8 |
FC Luzern | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 |
9 |
FC Thun | 10 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -11 |
10 |
FC Vaduz | 9 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -1 |
11 |
Grasshoppers | 9 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -13 |
12 |
Lausanne-Sport | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -10 |
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Over 2.5 goals have been scored in the 13 most recent games in 2. Liga of FC Liefering
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FC Tokyo have managed to keep a clean sheet in their last 7 league games
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Leoben have lost their last 19 league games
Simba have won their last 18 league games
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Hapoel Acre haven't scored a single goal in all of their last 11 Liga Leumit games
Newroz SC (IRQ) have kept a clean sheet in their last 9 Stars League games
Tartu JK Welco have achieved a 6 game half time/full time winning streak in Esiliiga
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