FC Arouca Seek to Extend Unbeaten Run Against Struggling Nacional Madeira

FC Arouca vs Nacional Madeira - 11/01/2026

10/27/2026 55

FC Arouca return to Estádio Municipal de Arouca aiming to maintain their positive momentum, while visitors Nacional Madeira look to reverse troubling form. Meeting in Liga Portugal's regular season, both teams have plenty at stake as the campaign begins to take shape.

Recent History

Looking back at previous encounters at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, the hosts have enjoyed an advantage. In their last four home matches against Nacional Madeira, FC Arouca have taken three wins, conceding only one loss and recording no draws. This recent head-to-head success lends further confidence to the home side as they prepare for the clash.

Across their last nine meetings with Nacional Madeira in all venues, Arouca also boast a 56% win rate. The record is further highlighted by two victories by a margin of two or more goals in the last four home contests, underlining their tendency to control the fixture when playing in front of their own supporters.

Recent Form

FC Arouca’s last six matches have produced two wins, three draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.33 goals scored and conceding 1.17 per match. At home, Arouca have won two and lost one of their most recent three, continuing to find the net at a steady rate while maintaining solidity with just one goal conceded on average.

Nacional Madeira’s struggles are evident in their recent sequence. Over their last six games, they have won once and lost five, with zero draws, managing just 0.67 goals per game while conceding 2.17. Their away record is even more concerning, as they have gone winless in 14 of their last 15 road matches in all competitions.

Overall Performance

The league table positions show a clear gap between the sides. FC Arouca sit fifth with five wins, two draws, and two defeats after nine matches, with a positive goal difference of five. Their tally of 12 goals scored against seven conceded demonstrates an efficient balance across the pitch.

Nacional Madeira, on the other hand, find themselves near the relegation zone in 17th place. After nine games, they have managed just two wins and one draw, with six defeats and a concerning goal difference of minus eight, the result of 10 for and 18 against.

Main Trends

Arouca have avoided defeat in 80% of their last 15 matches across competitions and are undefeated in 82% of their last 11 home fixtures, winning 67% of those at home. They’ve also kept four clean sheets in their previous 10 home encounters.

Conversely, Nacional Madeira’s challenges are reflected in broader trends: they have lost 55% of their last 40 games, failed to win in eight of their last 10, and lost by a margin of two or more goals in three of their past seven fixtures. Their away record remains particularly troubling, with a solitary win from their last 15 trips in all competitions.

Probable Lineups

FC Arouca

Goalkeeper: Ignacio de Arruabarrena

Defenders: Javi Sánchez, José Fontán, Orest Lebedenko, Tiago Esgaio

Midfielders: Espen van Ee, Taichi Fukui, Naïs Djouahra, Mateo Flores, Alfonso Trezza

Attackers: Iván Barbero

Nacional Madeira

Goalkeeper: Renato Marin

Defenders: Daniel de la Cruz, Francisco Gonçalves, Ze Vitor, William Kokolo

Midfielders: Min-kyu Song, Chiheb Labidi, Matchoi Djaló, Daniel Jr, Danel Dongmo

Attackers: Abdel Kader Njoya

Sidelined

Nacional Madeira will be without Ulisses, who is sidelined with a broken ankle, and Léo Santos, out with a torn knee ligament. Both absences have stretched squad resources, especially in defensive positions, where depth is vital.

Prediction

Form, home advantage, and recent matchups all suggest Arouca are well positioned for three points. The hosts’ possession metrics are strong — surpassing 50% in most outings — and they outshoot most Liga Portugal rivals. Nacional Madeira continue to struggle in defense, conceding an average of two per match in the league, and their overall away record offers little comfort.

With a predicted probability of 67% for an Arouca victory and the hosts in solid form, a win for Vítor Severino’s side looks likely, potentially by a 2-1 scoreline. Unless Nacional Madeira can muster a significant turnaround at both ends of the pitch, the odds are stacked in favour of the home side consolidating their top-five position in Liga Portugal.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

Pt1

FC Arouca Nacional Madeira 01/11/2026 16:30

671815

12-1

2 - 1

2.77

54°F

-125

-125 +260 +310 no no no

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