Football is Mathematics
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As Racing Club prepare to welcome CA Aldosivi to Estadio Nuevo Monumental for the Clausura Group B clash, both sides will be hoping for an upturn in fortune after uneven campaign openers. With statistical trends and streaks telling a nuanced story, the contest feels finely poised despite the difference in historic head-to-heads and recent form.
The previous meeting between these teams took place on 19 April 2026, ending in a 1-1 draw at CA Aldosivi. Despite playing away, Racing Club dominated the ball with a commanding 71% possession, fired 21 total shots to Aldosivi’s 8, and triggered 81 dangerous attacks compared to Aldosivi's 45. However, Aldosivi made their opportunities count, putting six shots on target versus Racing’s four. The match saw Felipe Anso score in the 43rd minute for Aldosivi, with Matías Zaracho restoring parity for Racing late on, in the 83rd minute. The stats underline Racing’s proactive approach but also Aldosivi’s effectiveness in transition and set pieces.
Across their last five encounters, Racing Club have triumphed four times against CA Aldosivi, a run that offers psychological confidence, though the latest fixture proved tricky for them.
Racing Club enter the tie on the back of inconsistent form. Their last six matches yielded two wins, one draw, and three defeats, with an average of 1.33 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. At home, things have been more challenging: two losses and a draw in the last three, while scoring just once per match and conceding two on average. Possession at home slipped to 47.3% across those games, a potential area of concern given their usual dominance with the ball.
CA Aldosivi's latest six matches provided a mirror image in the win-loss columns: also two wins but four losses, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded on average. Their away record, and overall group performance, remains troubling, with the side last tasting victory on the road several months ago and an average 47.5% possession over the last six matches.
Racing Club finished the Apertura Group B in eighth place, collecting five wins, six draws, and five losses from sixteen games. Their goal difference of +2 came from 17 scored and 15 conceded, indicative of a modest attack and solid but not exceptional defense.
CA Aldosivi struggled throughout the Apertura phase, ending up 14th without a single victory to their name. Their campaign featured eight draws and eight losses, scoring only six and conceding nineteen, leaving them with a bleak goal difference of minus 13. This record means Aldosivi have been winless in 25 of their last 30 matches in all competitions and are yet to win away from home in their last 34 out of 40 games.
Racing Club’s recent league record is marked by inconsistency. They have lost 7 of their last 12 matches in all competitions and are winless in 8 of their last 10. At the Estadio Nuevo Monumental, they have lost half of their last eight Liga Profesional games and are winless in 82% of their last 11 at home.
For Aldosivi, the trends are even starker: they have lost 60% of their last 20 matches in all competitions and are winless in 25 of the last 30. Away from home, Aldosivi have lost 75% of their last 20 and haven’t managed three points in 34 out of 40 away fixtures. Their attacking troubles are well-documented, with their six goals in 16 games the lowest among Group B teams last phase.
Racing Club
Goalkeeper: Facundo Cambeses
Defenders: Ignacio Rodríguez, Mateo Martínez, Gonzalo Escudero, Ezequiel Cannavo
Midfielders: Gastón Lodico, Matías Kranevitter, Lautaro Díaz, Tomás Conechny, Leonel Pérez
Attackers: Adrián Martínez
Sidelined Racing Club: Alan Forneris, Marco Di Césare
CA Aldosivi
Goalkeeper: Ignacio Chicco
Defenders: Joaquín Pombo, Braian Cufré, Néstor Breitenbruch, Santiago Moya
Midfielders: Martín García, Lucas Castro, Agustín Palavecino, Nico Gaitán
Attacker: Nicolás Cordero, Andrés Vombergar
Sidelined CA Aldosivi: Sebastián Moyano, Alan Sosa
Most indicators suggest Racing Club have a distinct advantage, especially given Aldosivi’s long-standing winless away streak and historic difficulties in securing results on the road. Racing have scored at least once in five of their last six home games and average more shots and attacks, especially with the creative influence of Zaracho and Conechny in midfield.
Aldosivi’s defensive frailty is clear from their group record, having conceded 19 last phase, and their inability to hold leads has been costly. The Forebet algorithm tips Racing Club to win with a 49% probability, the likeliest scoreline suggested being 2-1 for the hosts. Unless Aldosivi can find a cutting edge up front and plug some defensive gaps, Racing’s quest for a positive start should succeed—albeit perhaps not by a wide margin.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Instituto Córdoba | 32 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
2 |
Vélez Sársfield | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
3 |
Boca Juniors | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
4 |
Defensa y Justicia | 27 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
5 |
Lanús | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
6 |
Newell's Old Boys | 21 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
7 |
Gimnasia Mendoza | 20 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
8 |
Independiente | 19 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 |
9 |
San Lorenzo | 18 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 |
10 |
Unión Santa Fe | 17 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -2 |
11 |
Estudiantes La Plata | 14 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -1 |
12 |
CA Platense | 14 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 |
13 |
Deportivo Riestra | 12 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -4 |
14 |
Central Córdoba SdE | 10 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -12 |
15 |
Talleres Córdoba | 9 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -9 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Rosario Central | 28 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
2 |
Argentinos Juniors | 28 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
3 |
Gimnasia La Plata | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
4 |
River Plate | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
5 |
Belgrano Córdoba | 22 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
6 |
Barracas Central | 22 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
7 |
Sarmiento Junín | 21 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
8 |
CA Huracán | 19 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 |
9 |
Independiente Rivadavia | 19 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -5 |
10 |
Atlético Tucumán | 17 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
11 |
CA Banfield | 14 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -5 |
12 |
CA Tigre | 13 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 |
13 |
Racing Club | 12 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -7 |
14 |
CA Aldosivi | 11 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 |
15 |
Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 9 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -10 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Estudiantes La Plata | 31 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
2 |
Boca Juniors | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 |
Vélez Sársfield | 28 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
4 |
Talleres Córdoba | 26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
5 |
Independiente | 24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
6 |
Lanús | 24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
7 |
San Lorenzo | 22 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
8 |
Unión Santa Fe | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
9 |
Instituto Córdoba | 21 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
10 |
Defensa y Justicia | 19 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 |
11 |
Gimnasia Mendoza | 19 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 |
12 |
CA Platense | 16 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 |
13 |
Central Córdoba SdE | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 |
14 |
Newell's Old Boys | 15 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 |
15 |
Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Independiente Rivadavia | 34 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
2 |
River Plate | 29 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
3 |
Argentinos Juniors | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
4 |
Rosario Central | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
5 |
Belgrano Córdoba | 26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
6 |
Gimnasia La Plata | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
7 |
CA Huracán | 22 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
8 |
Racing Club | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
9 |
Barracas Central | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
10 |
CA Tigre | 20 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
11 |
Sarmiento Junín | 19 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 |
12 |
CA Banfield | 18 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 |
13 |
Atlético Tucumán | 14 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -5 |
14 |
CA Aldosivi | 8 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -13 |
15 |
Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 5 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 |
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