Football is Mathematics
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Momentum is on the side of Los Angeles FC as they prepare for a Western Conference test at the Q2 Stadium against an Austin FC squad yet to find their rhythm in recent Major League Soccer fixtures.
This fixture pits two sides trending in opposite directions. Los Angeles FC enter the clash with an impressive run of form, while Austin FC have struggled to produce consistent results both at home and away.
Looking back at their previous encounter, Los Angeles FC made a decisive statement with a 4-1 victory over Austin FC. That match saw LAFC register eighteen shots and five on target, a clear attacking intent compared to Austin FC's eight shots and just three directed at goal. Possession was almost even, but the visitors were clinical, with goals from Heung-min Son, Denis Bouanga (who struck twice), and Jeremy Ebobisse leaving little chance for the hosts despite a penalty conversion by Daniel Pereira for Austin.
The gulf between the clubs extends to their recent form. Austin FC have won only once in their last six, drawing one and losing four, with an average of 1.17 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per game. Their attacking output at Q2 Stadium has improved marginally, averaging 12 shots and 6 on target in their last three at home, but defensive fragility persists with two goals conceded per home outing in that same span.
On the other side, Los Angeles FC have been remarkably solid. They are unbeaten in all of their last six matches, securing five victories and one draw, and conceding just once during that period while averaging 1.67 goals scored per match. Their shooting numbers underline dominance, boasting averages of 15.83 shots and 6.67 on target, and notably, controlling the midfield with over 57% possession.
Unearthing the trends, Austin FC have managed just one victory in their last eight home matches against Los Angeles FC, losing three across the last six such meetings. Furthermore, they've lost eight of their last twelve across all competitions and haven't claimed a win in 82% of their last eleven outings. Notably, they've also lost by two or more goals in nearly half of their past fifteen meetings with Los Angeles FC.
In contrast, LAFC are unbeaten in 18 of their last 20 overall and undefeated in 92% of their last twelve matches away from home. They've been particularly strong on the road, winning more than half of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.67 goals scored while only conceding 1.08 per trip. Their attacking prowess is underscored by registering two-goal margin wins in 7 of their last 18 away matches.
Turning to probable lineups, Austin FC face some personnel challenges. Forward Brandon Vazquez (cruciate ligament) and midfielder J. Rosales (international duty) are both unavailable, removing two regular options from Nicolás Estévez Martínez's squad. However, their recent starting lineups have displayed a degree of continuity and are expected to maintain a 4-2-3-1 shape:
Austin FC
Goalkeeper: Brad Stuver
Defenders: Brendan Hines-Ike, Oleksandr Svatok, Jon Gallagher, Guilherme Biro
Midfielders: Ilie Sánchez, Daniel Pereira, Jayden Nelson, Facundo Torres
Attackers: Myrto Uzuni
Los Angeles FC, guided by Marc Dos Santos, also deal with absentees. Ryan Raposo (ankle injury), Jacob Shaffelburg (international), Aaron Long (Achilles), Igor Jesus (cruciate ligament), and Artem Smolyakov (suspension) will not be available. Despite this, their core unit remains strong, and they should also set up in a familiar 4-2-3-1:
Los Angeles FC
Goalkeeper: Hugo Lloris
Defenders: Eddie Segura, Ryan Porteous, Sergi Palencia, Nkosi Tafari
Midfielders: Timothy Tillman, Mark Delgado, Stephen Eustaquio, David Martínez, Denis Bouanga
Attackers: Heung-min Son
When comparing the statistical data and trends, Los Angeles FC’s defensive discipline combined with efficient finishing gives them the edge. Austin FC do hold an 80% home undefeated streak over their last 20 matches, but recent league form tempers that optimism. The prediction algorithm points towards a Los Angeles FC victory with 52% probability, and a repeat of their effective attacking performance could see an away win with a likely scoreline of 2-1.
Austin FC have much to address defensively and will need a major response to halt Los Angeles FC’s surge.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps | 49 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 33 |
2 |
Saint Louis City | 44 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
3 |
FC Dallas | 44 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
4 |
Houston Dynamo | 44 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
5 |
San Jose Earthquakes | 42 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
6 |
Los Angeles FC | 41 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
7 |
Colorado Rapids | 36 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
8 |
Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -8 |
9 |
Portland Timbers | 32 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -1 |
10 |
Seattle Sounders | 32 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | -3 |
11 |
San Diego | 31 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
12 |
Austin FC | 30 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -12 |
13 |
Minnesota United | 29 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -7 |
14 |
Real Salt Lake | 29 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -7 |
15 |
Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -34 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Nashville SC | 57 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 32 |
2 |
Inter Miami CF | 46 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 15 |
3 |
New England Revolution | 46 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
4 |
Charlotte FC | 43 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
5 |
Chicago Fire | 39 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
6 |
Philadelphia Union | 36 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
7 |
Orlando City SC | 34 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -14 |
8 |
FC Cincinnati | 33 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | -7 |
9 |
New York Red Bulls | 33 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -14 |
10 |
New York City FC | 32 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
11 |
DC United | 29 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 |
12 |
Toronto FC | 29 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | -10 |
13 |
Columbus Crew | 26 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -5 |
14 |
Atlanta United | 26 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -13 |
15 |
Montreal Impact | 21 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -22 |
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
There have been under 2.5 goals in 15 of the latest games in Primera B Metropolitana of Brown de Adrogué
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
In all of their 20 most recent matches of Women’s Super League, there have been no losses for Arsenal LFC W
In their last 20 games in Serie C, US Foggia have a poor record of just 2 wins
A run of 10 straight defeats makes the most recent matches in all competitions of Gibraltar
Reggina Calcio have won 8 consecutive games in Serie D Group I
Gimnasia Chivilcoy have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 5 Torneo Federal A games
Antigua & Barbuda have failed to score in their last 4 matches in all competitions
In their last 3 Serie C matches, Spezia have won by 2 or more goals
Perugia Calcio have lost by 2 or more goals their last 3 Serie C games in a row
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions











