New York City FC Look to Reverse Fortunes Against Struggling Saint Louis City

New York City FC vs Saint Louis City - 04/05/2026

03/23/2026 365

Both New York City FC and Saint Louis City return to Major League Soccer action at Yankee Stadium, with the hosts searching for consistency and the visitors eager to break their recent slump. The matchup provides an intriguing test of home strength versus away frustration.

Previous Encounter

The last meeting between these two sides took place on March 3, 2024, when Saint Louis City hosted New York City FC. Saint Louis City ran out 2-0 winners on the night, controlling the key moments even though they had less overall possession (44% to NYCFC’s 56%).

Saint Louis City managed 16 total shots compared to New York City FC's 7, while shots on target were 3 for the hosts and just 1 for the visitors. The goals that decided the contest came courtesy of Celio Martins in the 34th minute and Samuel Adeniran in the 72nd. Notably, Saint Louis City produced 70 dangerous attacks against New York City FC’s 49, underlining their clinical edge despite conceding possession.

Recent Form

New York City FC have pieced together a solid string of performances leading into this encounter. Across their last 6 matches in all competitions, they’ve collected 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, while averaging 2.33 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per match. Shot volume has been positive, averaging 10.83 attempts per game, with 5.33 hitting the target, and maintaining an average possession of 54.5%.

At home, New York City FC have won 2 of their last 3 games, losing just 1. Their attacking output jumps to 3.33 goals per match, with a similar bump in shots on goal (6 per game) and solid possession numbers at 53%.

For Saint Louis City, recent outings have been less productive. They have only 1 win from their last 6 matches, with 2 draws and 3 defeats. They have struggled for goals, averaging just one per game, while conceding 1.5 on average. Despite their 15.83 shots per match, only 5.67 test the goalkeeper. Their possession rate of 50.83% points to competitive but ultimately inefficient performances.

On the road, Saint Louis City’s fortunes do not improve, as they have struggled away from their home venue for some time.

Main Trends

New York City FC have demonstrated resilience, avoiding defeat in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. At home, they have a strong record, winning 60% of their last 40 outings and keeping clean sheets in 43% of their past 7 games.

The win rate at Yankee Stadium is supported by an offensive average of 1.88 goals and a defensive concession rate of 1.33 per home game. However, they have lost half of their last 6 home fixtures, a sign their fortress has had narrow cracks.

Saint Louis City are winless in 5 of their last 6 matches and have been defeated in 11 of their previous 20 games. Their away form is a clear concern, as they are winless in 88% of their last 40 away matches, losing 20 of their past 30 on the road. In terms of positive trends, they have won by at least two goals in 4 of their last 10 games, though these are often isolated results amid a broader decline.

Overall Performance

When considering the broader season trajectories, New York City FC have been the more consistent side, especially at home. Their balance between attack and defense at Yankee Stadium stands in contrast to Saint Louis City’s ongoing issues away from home, where they concede an average of 2.13 goals per match.

Probable Lineups

New York City FC

Goalkeeper: Matt Freese

Defenders: Tayvon Gray, Kai Trewin, Thiago Martins, Kevin O'Toole

Midfielders: Keaton Parks, Aiden O'Neill, Maxi Moralez, Hannes Wolf, Agustín Ojeda

Attackers: Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Saint Louis City

Goalkeeper: Roman Bürki

Defenders: Dante Polvara, Timo Baumgartl, Jaziel Orozco

Midfielders: Daniel Ethan Edelman, Rafael Santos, Chris Durkin, Conrad Wallem

Attackers: Marcel Hartel, Cedric Teuchert, Simon Becher

Prediction

Given the home strength of New York City FC and Saint Louis City’s struggles on the road, it is reasonable to anticipate a victory for the hosts. The Forebet algorithm supports this outlook, assigning a 48% probability to a New York City FC win, with a projected score of 2-1. The difference may ultimately come from New York’s efficiency in front of goal and defensive solidity at Yankee Stadium, where they are typically strong.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

Us1

New York City FC Saint Louis City 05/04/2026 01:30

481338

12-1

2 - 1

2.80

68°F

-133

-133 +290 +333 no no no

FT

1 - 1(0 - 0)

-

- - -