Montreal Impact Seek Home Revival as Philadelphia Union Aim to Break Streak

Montreal Impact vs Philadelphia Union - 04/11/2026

04/06/2026 406

Montreal Impact and Philadelphia Union come face to face in the Eastern Conference of Major League Soccer, both looking to reverse their faltering league fortunes. With neither side enjoying a fruitful run, this match provides a crucial opportunity for one to step back on track at Stade Saputo.

The previous encounter between Montreal and Philadelphia Union showcased a tightly contested battle. Played at Subaru Park on July 17, 2025, the Union took a 2-1 victory. Philadelphia controlled the match with 58% possession, outshooting Montreal 17 to 11 in total shots and registering 6 shots on target compared to 4 for the Canadian side.

Goals arrived at pivotal moments. Tai Baribo opened the scoring for the hosts in the 37th minute. Prince Osei Owusu quickly leveled for Montreal just after halftime, but a decisive finish from Olwethu Makhanya three minutes later restored the Union's advantage, which they held until the final whistle. Philadelphia also engineered more dangerous attacks (50 to 22), highlighting their tactical edge that evening.

Recent performances raise concerns for Montreal Impact, who have lost all of their last three matches, conceding an average of three goals per game. Their form across the past six matches amounts to five losses and just one win, with 1.17 goals scored per match but 2.83 conceded. When playing at home, Montreal's struggles continue: winless in their last three hosting fixtures, drawing one and losing two, while managing a paltry 0.33 goals per match at Stade Saputo in that sequence.

Diving deeper, Montreal have endured 12 winless showings in their most recent 15 fixtures across all competitions, and have lost by 2 or more goals in 40% of those 15 games. At home, the winless run is particularly acute, failing to secure victory in 87% of their last 15. However, Montreal do have a positive recent trend against the Union at home: they have won their last two home meetings with Philadelphia.

The Philadelphia Union, for their part, have their own adverse streak. Across their past six league matches, they have not managed a win, drawing once and losing on five occasions while scoring only 0.67 goals per contest and allowing 1.67. For Philadelphia, the drought extends to 7 matches in all competitions without a win. On their travels, they have generally been competitive, with only 9 defeats in the last 18 away fixtures.

Philadelphia have also been winless in 82% of their last 11 league outings, a major concern heading to Montreal. Offensively, away figures show some promise with 1.8 goals scored per match in the last 10 away contests, but defensive lapses have led to 1.9 conceded per game in that same span.

The expected lineups reflect both recent selection patterns and enforced absences. Montreal Impact are without Ivan Losenko (suspended), Fabian Herbers (ankle injury), Sunusi Ibrahim (back injury), and Olger Escobar (national team duty). Based on the last three matches and most-used players, Montreal should line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation:

Montreal Impact Probable Lineup:

Goalkeeper: Thomas Guilier

Defenders: Efraín Morales, Luca Petrasso, Brayan Vera, Tomás Avilés

Midfielders: Matty Longstaff, Wikelman José Carmona Torres, Dagur Dan Thórhallsson, Gennadiy Synchuk, Victor Loturi

Attackers: Prince Owusu

Philadelphia Union are missing Agustín Anello (muscle injury), Quinn Sullivan (cruciate ligament tear), and Ezekiel Alladoh (special leave). They have typically set up in a 4-4-2 and are expected to feature:

Philadelphia Union Probable Lineup:

Goalkeeper: Andre Blake

Defenders: Nathan Harriel, Olwethu Makhanya, Philippe Ndinga, Frankie Westfield

Midfielders: Jovan Lukić, Danley Jean Jacques, Indiana Vassilev, Milan Iloski

Attackers: Bruno Damiani, Stas Kornzeniowski

Both squads are keen to exploit their opponent's defensive vulnerabilities. With Montreal seeking to leverage their positive home head-to-head trend and Philadelphia striving to halt their winless streak, the stage is set for a tense duel.

Prediction algorithms tilt towards a Montreal victory, assigning a 54% probability to the Impact taking all three points, possibly by a 2-1 scoreline. The history and numbers suggest a closely contested clash, but Montreal's home advantage and Philadelphia's continued struggles could provide the margin in this Eastern Conference fixture.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

Us1

Montreal Impact Philadelphia Union 11/04/2026 20:30

542818

12-1

2 - 1

3.39

43°F

+150

+150 +230 +180 no no no

FT

1 - 2(1 - 0)

-

- - -