Columbus Crew Aim to Capitalize on Orlando's Downward Trend

Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC - 04/13/2026

04/06/2026 470

The Eastern Conference matchup at Historic Crew Stadium between Columbus Crew and Orlando City SC brings together two sides at very different points on their league journeys. While Columbus have faced their own hurdles, Orlando have struggled to find form both at home and away, setting the stage for a contest shaped by recent histories and tactical adjustments.

Looking back at the last five direct encounters between the two teams, Columbus Crew have edged the series with two victories, two draws, and just a single loss. This relative consistency in head-to-head battles illustrates that the Crew generally hold their own against Orlando, whether at home or away. Notably, in their past eight home matches against Orlando, Columbus have been particularly assertive, winning four times and managing to remain particularly tough to break down.

The recent form table paints an intriguing picture for both clubs. For Columbus Crew, the last six fixtures have involved one win, two draws, and three losses. They have averaged 1.33 goals per match while conceding 1.5. Drilling down to the home soil record over their most recent three games, the Crew have been somewhat sturdy, picking up a win, a draw, and a loss while scoring 1.33 and conceding only 0.33 on average per game. Their average shots (13.33 per match) and shots on target (5.67) at home also suggest a side capable of creating and converting chances more consistently than their overall record may imply.

Columbus have also excelled at maintaining control during their home fixtures, with an average possession rate of 57.67 % in their last three at Historic Crew Stadium. This ability to dictate the tempo can play a pivotal role, especially against a team that tends to struggle without the ball.

Across longer-term trends, Columbus have found it hard to string together consistent results, having been winless in six of their last seven matches. However, their home fortress remains impressive, as they are undefeated in sixteen of their last twenty matches at the stadium, and have kept three clean sheets in their last seven at home. The Crew’s home win rate across their last thirty outings stands at a sturdy 57 %, with an average of 1.87 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per contest. This suggests that, despite recent inconsistencies, Columbus still pose a significant threat on their own patch.

Orlando City, by contrast, arrive without much momentum. Their last six matches have yielded just one win and five defeats, with an average of only 0.83 goals scored but a concerning 3.83 conceded per match. On their travels, the numbers remain troubling: Orlando have not won in 13 of their last 16 away fixtures, losing eight of the most recent twelve. Their away goal production is particularly poor, just 0.75 per match, while conceding an average of 3.

Digging deeper, Orlando have been winless in 13 of their last 16 away matches, a trend that reflects a side challenged by both defensive frailties and a lack of goal threat on the road. Their away shot and possession statistics also underline these struggles, managing only 3.5 shots on target per game and spending just 37 % of matches in control of the ball during this stretch.

Sidelined players could further influence the approach. For Columbus, Max Arfsten and Mohamed Farsi are out, while Orlando miss Joran Gerbet, Robin Jansson, and Tyrese Spicer. Each team must shuffle key positions to compensate.

Given recent lineups and absentees, the most probable Columbus Crew XI in their staple 4-2-3-1 formation is:

Columbus Crew

Goalkeeper: Patrick Schulte
Defenders: Malte Amundsen, Rudy Camacho, Steven Moreira, Andrés Herrera
Midfielders: André Gomes, Dylan Chambost, Sean Zawadzki, Diego Rossi, Taha Habroune
Attackers: Wessam Abou Ali

For Orlando City SC, the likely 4-2-3-1 setup, considering the sidelined, could be:

Orlando City SC

Goalkeeper: Maxime Crépeau
Defenders: Adrián Marín, David Brekalo, Iago Teodoro, Griffin Dorsey
Midfielders: Braian Ojeda, Eduard Atuesta, Martín Ojeda, Marco Pašalić, Iván Angulo
Attackers: Duncan McGuire

In summary, Columbus carry an edge due largely to stronger home performances and a significantly better defensive record in front of their own goal. Orlando face the challenge of reversing a prolonged away slump while compensating for important absences. With a prediction of a Columbus Crew victory and a 46 % probability, the statistics point to a home side best positioned to secure the points at Historic Crew Stadium.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

Us1

Columbus Crew Orlando City SC 13/04/2026 01:00

463223

13-1

3 - 1

3.40

73°F

-238

-238 +425 +525 no no no

FT

1 - 1(0 - 1)

-

- - -