Montreal Impact Looks to Halt Slide as New York City FC Target Away Success at Stade Saputo

Montreal Impact vs New York City FC - 04/25/2026

04/24/2026 262

Both Montreal Impact and New York City FC enter this Major League Soccer clash with contrasting fortunes. While Montreal seeks to reverse their losing trend, New York City FC has their sights set on consolidating their position inside the playoff picture. The encounter at Stade Saputo promises tactical intrigue and potential shifts in the Eastern Conference standings.

Recent Form

Montreal Impact have endured a challenging stretch in recent outings. Over their last 6 home games against New York City FC, they hold a balanced record with 3 victories, 1 draw, and 2 defeats—a history that hints at competitive parity on this ground.

Analysing just the last 6 matches for Montreal, the trends are not favorable: 2 wins and 4 losses, managing a mere 2 goals scored and 2 conceded in that period. Their attacking output and defensive solidity both appear limited, as reflected in an average of 13.33 shots per contest but only 4.83 of those on target. Possession has hovered around 49.67%, indicating difficulty in controlling the play consistently.

New York City FC, meanwhile, have found wins hard to come by recently with just 1 victory in their last 6 matches, drawing twice and losing 3 times. Still, their offense has been more productive—netting 2.17 goals per match, while conceding 2.33. Their shot creation remains robust with 15.17 attempts per match, 6.83 of them testing the keeper, alongside an average possession of 56.83%. Their strength in controlling midfield and transitioning into the final third stands out.

Overall Performance

Season-long numbers place Montreal Impact in a struggle. Sitting 13th in the Eastern Conference after 8 games, they have just 2 wins and 6 defeats, leaving a goal difference of minus 8. Montreal concedes at a rate of 2.5 per match, a defensive fragility that persists both home and away.

New York City FC are better placed in 7th after 9 games. They have bagged 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, posting 19 goals scored (2.11 per game) and conceding 15. Their positive goal difference (+4) and higher offensive output make them a more formidable foe, even on the road.

Main Trends

Montreal’s difficulties stretch beyond this campaign. They have lost 60% of their last 15 matches. An even sterner indicator is their long-term home record: winless in 85% of their last 20 home matches. Half of all their recent encounters with New York City FC ended in defeat, with 39% of those by at least a two-goal margin. These patterns suggest recurring defensive lapses and an inability to turn close games in their favor.

For New York City FC, away games have proven less daunting. They have won 60% of their last 15 away fixtures—showcasing resilience and tactical organization on their travels. Across the last 40 matches (all competitions), they claim victory in 20, often boasting higher average shots on target (5.05) and strong possession metrics (55.05%). However, like Montreal, New York’s form has wavered of late, going winless in 5 of their last 6 in the league.

Probable Lineups

Montreal Impact

Goalkeeper: Thomas Guilier

Defenders: Luca Petrasso, Brandan Craig, Efraín Morales, Dawid Bugaj

Midfielders: Matty Longstaff, Victor Loturi, Dagur Dan Thórhallsson, Iván Jaime

Attackers: Prince Owusu, Noah Streit

With several key players sidelined—such as Ivan Losenko (suspended), Wikelman José Carmona Torres (injury), Sunusi Ibrahim (back injury), Gennadiy Synchuk (injury), and Olger Escobar (international duty)—Montreal are forced to field a lineup close to the one used most often in recent rounds and must avoid using any absent names.

New York City FC

Goalkeeper: Matt Freese

Defenders: Kevin O'Toole, Thiago Martins, Raul Gustavo, Tayvon Gray

Midfielders: Hannes Wolf, Aiden O'Neill, Kai Trewin, Maxi Moralez, Agustín Ojeda

Attackers: Nicolás Fernández Mercau

NYCFC’s selection is more stable, with Alonso Martínez, Andrés Perea, Jacob Arroyave and Drew Baiera unavailable. Their rhythm and personnel remain largely unchanged across games.

Prediction

The historical matchup at Stade Saputo has produced its share of closely fought battles, but based on form and squad availability, New York City FC are projected as marginal favorites. They present greater creativity and attacking options, while Montreal’s results at home and long-term winless trends diminish their edge.

The predictive model gives New York City FC a 35% chance of taking the three points, most likely by a 2-1 margin. If Montreal are to defy expectations, they will need to shore up their defensive organization and improve their efficiency in attack—a tough ask against a side that controls possession well and creates chances at a higher rate.

As both teams take the field, the data suggests New York City FC arrives with the momentum and structure needed to secure a result, leaving Montreal with plenty to prove as they aim to end their winless pattern at home.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

Us1

Montreal Impact New York City FC 25/04/2026 20:30

343235

21-2

1 - 2

2.84

52°F

+140

+188 +250 +140 no no no

FT

1 - 0(1 - 0)

-

- - -