Football is Mathematics
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Philadelphia Union gear up for a challenging Eastern Conference clash against league leaders Nashville SC at Subaru Park on May 3, 2026. While Nashville's momentum shows little sign of slowing, Union are looking to reverse a troubling stretch in their own recent showings.
Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC bring contrasting narratives into their upcoming Major League Soccer meeting. Philadelphia currently sit 15th in the Eastern Conference and have endured a testing period, while Nashville SC lead the standings with convincing performances across their first nine matches.
Focusing on the recent head to head record between these two teams, Nashville have edged proceedings by winning 3 out of the last 6 encounters, with Philadelphia claiming two victories and a single draw separating them. Notably, Philadelphia have suffered three losses in their last five matches against Nashville, including two by a margin of two or more goals.
The Union's overall league form highlights several concerns. Across their last 10 MLS matches, they have managed just one win while losing seven, scoring only nine times and conceding 17. These numbers reflect an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, leaving them with a negative goal difference of minus eight.
The team's home form offers little comfort. From their last three league outings at Subaru Park, Philadelphia have failed to register a win, securing one draw and two losses, and managing just a single goal. A longer sample shows Philadelphia have gone winless in six of their last seven home league games.
Delving deeper, Philadelphia have failed to keep a clean sheet in 60% of their last 30 home league matches and have been winless in 83% of their last 12 MLS games overall. Although there is a hint of resilience with an 80% home undefeated rate over the last 20 games in the league, recent declines suggest their past fortress status is waning.
Nashville SC, in contrast, have hit their stride. They are undefeated in 18 of their last 22 matches in all competitions and boast a four-match win streak in all formats. This run includes winning five of their last six games, during which they averaged 1.5 goals per match while conceding just 0.67, and have averaged 5 shots on target per outing.
On the road, Nashville have maintained their authority with an 88% undefeated mark in their last eight away matches and have kept a clean sheet in 42% of their last 12 road games. Over their last 20 MLS matches, Nashville have registered 10 victories and lost only one, highlighting their consistency and defensive structure.
Turning to likely lineups, Philadelphia Union must cope without Agustin Anello (muscle injury) and Quinn Sullivan (cruciate ligament tear). Analyzing recent selections and sidelined players, the predicted starting eleven in the common 4-4-2 system looks as follows:
Philadelphia Union
Goalkeeper: Andre Blake
Defenders: Japhet Sery Larsen, Nathan Harriel, Olwethu Makhanya, Frankie Westfield
Midfielders: Jovan Lukić, Jesús Bueno, Indiana Vassilev, Edvard Tagseth
Attackers: Bruno Damiani, Milan Iloski
Nashville SC will be without Xavier Valdez who is on national team duty, but their usual lineup remains almost unchanged given their excellent run and rotations:
Nashville SC
Goalkeeper: Brian Schwake
Defenders: Daniel Lovitz, Maxwell Woledzi, Jeison Palacios, Andy Nájar
Midfielders: Edvard Tagseth, Cristian Espinoza, Patrick Yazbek, Ahmed Qasem
Attackers: Warren Madrigal, Hany Mukhtar
Matchup-wise, Nashville have shown an ability to win by a two or more goal margin, with 43% of their last seven matches fitting this trend. Philadelphia, on the flip side, have conceded two or more in two of their last three games versus Nashville. The Union's inability to take points at home coincides with Nashville's rise and enhanced away form, providing clear direction as to which side is likely to hold the initiative.
Based on current form, recent performances, and statistical markers, Nashville SC are predicted to extend their dominance, with the Forebet algorithm assigning a 64% probability to the visitors securing all three points. Unless Philadelphia can make marked improvements in both ends of the pitch, their struggle for results could well continue against a clinical and in-form Nashville side.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps | 49 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 33 |
2 |
Saint Louis City | 44 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
3 |
FC Dallas | 44 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
4 |
Houston Dynamo | 44 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
5 |
San Jose Earthquakes | 42 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
6 |
Los Angeles FC | 41 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
7 |
Colorado Rapids | 36 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
8 |
Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -8 |
9 |
Portland Timbers | 32 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -1 |
10 |
Seattle Sounders | 32 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | -3 |
11 |
San Diego | 31 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
12 |
Austin FC | 30 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -12 |
13 |
Minnesota United | 29 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -7 |
14 |
Real Salt Lake | 29 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -7 |
15 |
Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -34 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Nashville SC | 57 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 32 |
2 |
Inter Miami CF | 46 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 15 |
3 |
New England Revolution | 46 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
4 |
Charlotte FC | 43 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
5 |
Chicago Fire | 39 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
6 |
Philadelphia Union | 36 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
7 |
Orlando City SC | 34 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -14 |
8 |
FC Cincinnati | 33 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | -7 |
9 |
New York Red Bulls | 33 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -14 |
10 |
New York City FC | 32 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
11 |
DC United | 29 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 |
12 |
Toronto FC | 29 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | -10 |
13 |
Columbus Crew | 26 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -5 |
14 |
Atlanta United | 26 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -13 |
15 |
Montreal Impact | 21 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -22 |
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
There have been under 2.5 goals in 15 of the latest games in Primera B Metropolitana of Brown de Adrogué
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
In all of their 20 most recent matches of Women’s Super League, there have been no losses for Arsenal LFC W
In their last 20 games in Serie C, US Foggia have a poor record of just 2 wins
A run of 10 straight defeats makes the most recent matches in all competitions of Gibraltar
Reggina Calcio have won 8 consecutive games in Serie D Group I
Gimnasia Chivilcoy have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 5 Torneo Federal A games
Antigua & Barbuda have failed to score in their last 4 matches in all competitions
In their last 3 Serie C matches, Spezia have won by 2 or more goals
Perugia Calcio have lost by 2 or more goals their last 3 Serie C games in a row
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions











