Sanfrecce Aim to Extend Unbeaten Run as Nagoya Grampus Visit

Sanfrecce vs Nagoya Grampus - 09/02/2026

09/01/2026 1236

If there’s one side in J1 League currently riding a potent wave of momentum, it’s Sanfrecce Hiroshima. As Nagoya Grampus arrive at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, the numbers hint at a fascinating contrast between steady form and occasional resurgence.

Recent History

When these two meet, the matchups have rarely felt lopsided. Over the last five games between Sanfrecce and Nagoya Grampus, Sanfrecce have managed two wins while dropping three against their visitors. This recent record suggests Nagoya remain tricky opponents, even as the hosts have closed the gap in form this season.

Recent Form

Sanfrecce’s current stretch is impressive: unbeaten in their last 11 across all competitions, with four wins and two draws from their latest six. Defensively strong, they’ve conceded just 0.5 goals per game while averaging over two goals scored, a stat that has anchored their consistency.

Zooming in on their home record, Sanfrecce have won two and drawn one of their last three, with 2.67 goals scored per home match and less than one conceded. Possession rates have frequented the mid-50% mark, underlining their control at the Edion Peace Wing.

For Nagoya Grampus, the picture is less steady. With three defeats in the last six, their goals per game sit at 1.17 while shipping 1.33 at the other end. Their away form is especially cause for review, as they’ve been winless in 12 of their last 15 on the road and lost half of their last eight away outings.

Main Trends

Sanfrecce’s big-picture numbers reinforce their resurgence. Over 40 matches in all competitions, they’ve been victorious in 21 while scoring 1.58 and conceding 1.03 per match, maintaining over 50% ball possession. At home, eight wins in their last 12 makes the Edion Peace Wing a genuine fortress, with nearly 2 goals scored and just 0.75 conceded on average per game. Clean sheets have come in 40% of the last 20 home matches.

They’ve also remained undefeated in 14 of their last 15 overall and have won by two or more in six during that span. In league play, 32 of their last 40 matches have seen them avoid defeat, and they’ve been similarly hard to crack at home, unbeaten in 17 from 21.

Nagoya’s trends show the opposite: five defeats in their last 10, conceding two a match, and 80% winless in their last 15 away fixtures. Four losses in their last eight league games further contrast their fortunes on their travels.

Overall Performance

Recent matches back up these broader trends. Sanfrecce recently dominated Urawa Red Diamonds with a 4-1 win, outshooting their hosts 26 to 3, and posted a controlled 3-0 win over JEF United Chiba. Even in tight 1-1 and 0-0 draws, they’ve regularly led on shots and possession, including a striking 56% share against Kawasaki Frontale and 54% versus Gamba Osaka.

Nagoya Grampus, meanwhile, have mixed fortunes. Back-to-back home wins, including a 3-1 result against Gamba Osaka, clash with their struggles: a tight loss to Kashima Antlers and a frustrating 0-1 home defeat to Shimizu S-Pulse, despite dominating possession (75%) and firing the bulk of shots.

Probable Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Goalkeeper: Issei Ouchi

Defenders: Hayato Araki, Sho Sasaki, Tsukasa Shiotani

Midfielders: Hayao Kawabe, Shunki Higashi, Shuto Nakano, Yotaro Nakajima

Attackers: Akito Suzuki, Mutsuki Kato, Sébastien Haller

Takuma Asano is unavailable due to calf injury, prompting Mutsuki Kato and Sébastien Haller to continue leading the line. Expect another 3-4-2-1 setup.

Nagoya Grampus

Goalkeeper: Alexandre Pisano

Defenders: Yuki Nogami, Haruya Fujii, Shuhei Tokumoto

Midfielders: Ryuji Izumi, Sho Inagaki, Katsuhiro Nakayama, Tomoki Takamine, Teruki Hara

Attackers: Yuya Yamagishi, Yudai Kimura

With Marcus Vinicius still sidelined, Nagoya’s options remain stable in attack, and a 3-4-2-1 or 5-3-2 formation is likely.

Prediction

The analytics favor Sanfrecce, given their unbeaten run (11 in a row) and reliable home performances, especially compared to Nagoya’s travel setbacks. With 42% probability, the prediction tilts toward a Sanfrecce victory—playmaking quality and defensive discipline just outweigh Nagoya’s intermittent scoring streaks. A 3-2 result forecasts a close contest, but one where the hosts’ edge should be decisive.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

Jp1

Sanfrecce Nagoya Grampus 02/09/2026 12:00

423027

13-2

3 - 2

2.69

84°F

-200

-200 +333 +500 no no no

FT

3 - 0(0 - 0)

-

- - -