Los Angeles FC Face New York Red Bulls: Will Home Streak Outlast Visitors’ Struggles?

Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls - 09/10/2026

09/08/2026 624

The Western Conference’s third-placed side, Los Angeles FC, are set to meet New York Red Bulls at BMO Stadium on September 10, 2026. Both teams enter the fixture searching for a spark, but it’s LAFC who will look to take advantage of their imposing home record against a Red Bulls team in a winless spell.

Recent History

In their last four encounters, Los Angeles FC have held the slight edge, recording two wins, a draw, and one loss against New York Red Bulls. More notably, LAFC won two of those games by at least two goals, demonstrating a consistent ability to create separation at home against the visitors.

These matches have generally favored open play with both teams getting on the scoresheet in three of the last four. Yet LAFC’s attacking power has tipped the balance their way more often.

Recent Form

Los Angeles FC are coming off a tough stretch, winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Four of those were draws, and their three most recent fixtures all ended level—highlighting both defensive improvements and persistent struggle to score.

At home, LAFC have also failed to win in three, but managed two draws, showing resilience even when victories have escaped them. The numbers reinforce this: only 0.67 goals scored and one conceded per match across that span, but with 56.67% possession, indicating control without cutting edge up front.

New York Red Bulls’ woes have lasted even longer. They haven’t won in 9 of their last 11 matches in all competitions and haven’t ended up on the right side in any of their previous five. On average, they concede 1.5 goals per match and score just one. Their away deficit is significant, with a winless rate of 80% over their last ten on the road. This vulnerability makes trips to stronger hosts daunting.

Overall Performance

Looking at the league table, LAFC’s position is more secure: 3rd in the Western Conference with ten wins, seven draws, and seven losses from 24 games. Their positive goal difference of +14 (38 scored, 24 conceded) is a testament to their overall season solidity.

Red Bulls, on the other hand, are 10th in the Eastern Conference with a negative goal difference of -14, the result of conceding 46 in 23 matches. Just seven wins and six draws hint at a side suffering for consistency, especially at the back, where defensive rotations and lapses haunt their campaign.

Main Trends

LAFC’s defensive foundation at home is among the league’s best. Undefeated in 24 out of their last 30 at BMO Stadium and recording clean sheets in 50% of their last 20 home matches in league play, they know how to manage matches on their turf. However, a striking trend lingers: LAFC are winless in 8 of their last 10 league matches and have drawn 50% of their last 12 in all competitions.

The Red Bulls’ away form is a stark contrast. Losing 55% of their last 20 away matches and suffering defeat by two or more goals in 42% of their last 12 away games, their travel worries are well documented. Their search for road resilience continues against a disciplined LAFC side.

Probable Lineups

Los Angeles FC

Goalkeeper: Hugo Lloris

Defenders: Ryan Porteous, Yevgen Cheberko, Aaron Long, Ryan Hollingshead

Midfielders: Eddie Segura, Mark Delgado, Mathieu Choinière

Attackers: Heung-min Son, Denis Bouanga, Timothy Tillman

New York Red Bulls

Goalkeeper: Ethan Horvath

Defenders: Justin Che, Dylan Nealis, Julián Bazán, Matthew Dos Santos

Midfielders: Emil Forsberg, Adri Mehmeti, Ronald Donkor

Attackers: Cade Cowell, Julian Hall, Mijahir Jiménez

Prediction

Given the data, LAFC hold a clear advantage, especially with their home record and the Red Bulls’ away vulnerabilities. Although neither side comes into the fixture in top form, LAFC’s defensive stability, higher average possession, and ability to produce decisive moments give them the edge.

The Forebet algorithm predicts an LAFC win, with a 50% probability for the hosts to secure a 2-0 victory. With recent history and home performance as backdrops, this feels consistent with the most likely outcome.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

Us1

Los Angeles FC New York Red Bulls 10/09/2026 04:30

502822

12-0

2 - 0

2.38

77°F

-263

-263 +425 +650 down up up

FT

2 - 0(1 - 0)

-

- - -