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COEF

    Al Nassr Seek to Maintain Domination as Al Dir'iya Stand in Their Way

    Al Nassr vs Al Dir'iya - 10/09/2026

    Al Nassr Seek to Maintain Domination as Al Dir'iya Stand in Their Way
    09/14/2026 195

    Al Nassr return to Al-Awwal Park for this Professional League encounter with Al Dir'iya, looking to build on an excellent run of form. On the other side, Al Dir'iya aim to prove they can be competitive at this level, setting up an intriguing contest between two sides occupying different heights of confidence.

    Al Nassr come into this meeting after collecting four wins, one draw, and just a single defeat in their last six matches. Their offensive output remains consistent, averaging over two goals per game while conceding just above one per match over that stint.

    At home, their record is even more impressive. They have taken three straight wins at Al-Awwal Park, scoring on average 2.33 and allowing only 0.67 goals per home fixture. Across their previous 30 home outings in all competitions, Al Nassr have been victorious 25 times, while remaining undefeated in 27. In Professional League contests specifically, they've gone unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 on their own turf.

    Al Dir'iya’s recent league record consists of three wins, two draws, and a single defeat from their last six matches. Goals have been harder to come by, with just over one scored per game, but their defensive solidity is notable – just 0.67 conceded per match across that same period.

    Looking further back, Al Dir'iya have produced a strong sequence of results on the road. Over their last 15 away games in all competitions, they’ve won nine and struck an impressive average of 2.07 goals per match, while also keeping clean sheets 40% of the time in their last 30 away outings. Their Professional League away form is also solid, going undefeated in 11 of their last 12, and winning four of their last 10 by two or more goals.

    The head-to-head history offers minimal guidance, with the two sides only meeting once previously – Al Nassr running out winners in that encounter. With this limited direct record, recent form and underlying performance data take on greater significance in assessing the matchup.

    Al Nassr’s persistent attacking threat is highlighted by their 16 shots and close to six on target per game over their last six matches, as well as an impressive possession rate of 56.5%. At home, that possession jumps beyond 61%. Defensively, they’ve earned clean sheets in over half their last 15 Professional League home matches, and consistently limit their opponents’ opportunities.

    For Al Dir'iya, shot creation has been less prolific, averaging below 12 attempts per game, with possession typically under 47%. However, they demonstrated they can frustrate more dominant teams, recently earning a zero-zero draw while creating more dangerous attacks and corners than their opponent. Their 83% undefeated streak across 20 Professional League games underlines their resilience, especially against mid-tier opposition.

    Bearing in mind recent lineups, available squad members, and no named absentees for this round, the expected formations are likely to be familiar. Al Nassr have alternated between 4-4-2 and 4-4-1-1, but with their best results in a 4-4-2 set-up, this seems probable for this clash.

    Al Nassr (probable 4-4-2):

    Goalkeeper: Bento

    Defenders: Nawaf Boushal, Iñigo Martínez, Mohamed Simakan, Saad Al-Nasser

    Midfielders: Sadio Mané, Samú Costa, Abdullah Al-Khaibari, Ângelo

    Attackers: Cristiano Ronaldo, João Félix

    Al Dir'iya (probable 4-3-3):

    Goalkeeper: Nikola Vasilj

    Defenders: Abdulaziz Al-Faraj, Berat Djimsiti, Chancel Mbemba, Hussain Al-Sibyani

    Midfielders: Idrissa Gueye, Enzo Millot, Abdulelah Al-Malki

    Attackers: Darwin Núñez, Adil Boulbina, Clayton Diandy

    Given Al Nassr’s exceptional home figures, sharp attack and disciplined defense, alongside Al Dir'iya’s solid, if not spectacular, defensive record, the expectation edges toward another home success. The prediction leans toward Al Nassr collecting the three points, reflecting a 49% likelihood of victory, with the most probable scenario being a margin of multiple goals, considering Al Nassr have won by two or more goals in 11 of their last 20 league matches.

    Key matchups to watch include the movement and finishing of Cristiano Ronaldo and João Félix against a usually well-organized Al Dir'iya back line, as well as the midfield battle, where Samú Costa’s energy may prove decisive. While Al Dir'iya possess the defensive structure to contain, Al Nassr’s overwhelming record at home suggests they will find the breakthrough.

    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    1X2
    Pred
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    Coef.
    Score
    Live
    coef.
    Sa1
    492725
    15-1
    5 - 1
    4.50
    86°F
    -
    - - -

    Professional League

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    {"8":"August 2026","9":"September 2026","10":"October 2026"}
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    OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
    1
    Al Hilal 18 7 6 0 1 18
    2
    Ittihad Jeddah 17 7 5 2 0 6
    3
    Al Nassr 16 7 5 1 1 9
    4
    Qadisiya Khubar 16 7 5 1 1 8
    5
    Neom SC 15 7 5 0 2 7
    6
    Al Ahli 12 7 4 0 3 6
    7
    Al Kholood Club 12 7 3 3 1 2
    8
    Al Dir'iya 11 7 3 2 2 2
    9
    Ettifaq FC 11 7 3 2 2 0
    10
    Al Hazm 8 7 2 2 3 -2
    11
    Al Riyadh SC 8 7 2 2 3 -8
    12
    Al Feiha 6 7 1 3 3 -4
    13
    Al Khaleej Club 5 7 0 5 2 -7
    14
    Shabab Riyadh 4 7 0 4 3 -5
    15
    Al Fateh (KSA) 3 7 0 3 4 -7
    16
    Al Faisaly (KSA) 3 7 0 3 4 -8
    17
    Taawoun 3 7 0 3 4 -9
    18
    Abha Club 2 7 0 2 5 -8
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