Football is Mathematics
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Neom SC arrive at Ar-Rass Stadium riding an impressive run of Professional League form, while Al Hazm are searching for a turnaround after a tough opening stretch. With both sides boasting contrasting streaks and statistical trends, this encounter holds significant weight for early-season momentum.
Al Hazm have experienced a mixed start in the Professional League, recording only one win over their last six matches. Their recent home form tells a story of inconsistency: one victory, one draw, one defeat, with just 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per home outing. Their attack has not been firing, averaging only 3.33 shots on goal at home, and their average possession sits below 43% over these fixtures.
Stretching the sample back, Al Hazm have shown an ability to protect their home ground in the long run. They have remained undefeated in 9 of their last 11 league matches at Ar-Rass, boasting a win percentage of 60% across their previous 15 home Professional League games. Yet, the harsh reality is that they have been winless in 83% of their last six league fixtures and, when facing Neom SC recently, results have been difficult to come by.
In the last five encounters with Neom SC in all competitions, Al Hazm have suffered three losses, including two by a 2+ goal margin. The most recent trio of home matches against Neom SC has seen Al Hazm lose twice and win just once, underlining the challenge they face against this opponent.
The visitors, Neom SC, come into this match showcasing strong form in all competitions. Over the last six fixtures, they have registered four wins and two losses, with a notable 1.83 goals scored per match and just 0.83 conceded. Their attacking output stands out: an imposing 13.5 shots per game and 4.33 on target, alongside an average possession rate exceeding 52%.
Neom SC's current league campaign has kicked off with particular strength. In their last three matches, they have strung together three wins, all of which were by at least a two-goal margin. Neom SC haven't been defeated in any of those three contests, scoring at least twice each time and conceding just twice overall.
Looking further, Neom SC have won 7 of their last 12 in all competitions and half of their previous eight away games, scoring 1.75 away from home and conceding 1.38. In the Professional League, they have notched 8 wins from their previous 16 matches and have shown an ability to overwhelm opponents, winning 40% of their last 10 league outings by at least two goals.
A closer look at their latest league matches highlights their attacking prowess. They netted four times against Al Fateh in a 4-2 triumph and blanked Al Hilal 2-0 away from home. Against Al Khaleej Club, they delivered a 3-0 victory with dominant possession and measured build-up play. Clearly, Neom are a team high on confidence, with their star forward Alexandre Lacazette in prolific form.
Al Hazm, for their part, have struggled for goals, averaging less than one per match in the league. Their home clean sheet record is respectable, with three shutouts in seven recent games, but offensive support has been lacking. Their match against Taawoun is a case in point: Al Hazm won 1-0 despite being outshot and seeing just 29% possession, relying on defensive resolve and counter-attacking moments.
Given recent lineups and absent injury concerns, here's how the two teams could start. Al Hazm have favored a 4-2-3-1 formation, alternating their defenders but generally sticking to a core. Expect them to line up as follows:
Al Hazm
Goalkeeper: Ibrahim Zaied
Defenders: Saud Al-Rashid, Sultan Tunkar, Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida, Abdulrahman Al-Dakheel
Midfielders: Bonheur Mugisha, Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe, Elton Acolatse, Mory Konaté, Aboubacar Bah
Attackers: Afimico Pululu
For Neom SC, recent matches show a flexible defensive structure, alternating between 4-4-2 and 5-3-2. However, their most convincing results have come with a 4-4-2 setup:
Neom SC
Goalkeeper: Marcin Bulka
Defenders: Mohammed Al-Burayk, Malang Sarr, Nathan Zézé, Islam Hawsawi
Midfielders: Khalil Al-Absi, Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari, Amadou Koné, Muhanad Al-Saad
Attackers: Alexandre Lacazette, Haroune Camara
With Neom SC’s recent scoring surge and Al Hazm’s lack of attacking firepower, the predictive model gives Neom SC a 45% probability to take all three points. The visitors’ defensive organization and creativity in the final third point to a continuation of their positive run.
Al Hazm will look to leverage their generally solid home record, but overcoming Neom SC’s attacking quality and form will require a level of sharpness and discipline not consistently evident of late. Neom SC's recent history and statistical strengths make them the clear favorite as things stand.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Al Hilal | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
2 |
Ittihad Jeddah | 17 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
3 |
Al Nassr | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
4 |
Qadisiya Khubar | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
5 |
Neom SC | 15 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
6 |
Al Ahli | 12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
7 |
Al Kholood Club | 12 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
8 |
Al Dir'iya | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
9 |
Ettifaq FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
10 |
Al Hazm | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 |
11 |
Al Riyadh SC | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 |
12 |
Al Feiha | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 |
13 |
Al Khaleej Club | 5 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -7 |
14 |
Shabab Riyadh | 4 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 |
15 |
Al Fateh (KSA) | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 |
16 |
Al Faisaly (KSA) | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 |
17 |
Taawoun | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 |
18 |
Abha Club | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 |
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In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions











