Football is Mathematics
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Real Sociedad will be aiming to rediscover their home form when they meet Deportivo La Coruña at the Reale Arena on October 11, 2026. Both sides sit on 10 points after seven La Liga games, with Deportivo still proving difficult to shake off despite seeing their unbeaten start ended by Sevilla.
Head-to-head encounters at the Reale Arena have recently favored Real Sociedad. In their last three home matches against Deportivo La Coruña, Sociedad have registered two wins and a draw, keeping defeat at bay. This solid home record might offer the edge they need against a Deportivo side whose away resilience has become a hallmark.
However, Real Sociedad’s broader home form paints a different story. Across their last eight home matches in all competitions, they have lost four and have gone winless in seven. Their La Liga numbers are similar, with 50% losses in their last six home games and 86% of their last seven ending without victory. This home drought remains the main concern for Pellegrino Matarazzo’s side, especially with Europa League commitments returning four days after this fixture.
Looking at their last six league games, Sociedad have won three, drawn once, and lost twice, scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding 1.67 per match. Their most recent fixture, a 3-2 win away at Valencia, provided some respite and showcased their capacity to score late, with Ander Barrenetxea’s injury-time goal sealing the points after Luka Sučić and Carlos Soler had also struck. Notably, Sociedad muster an average of 15.17 total shots per match, highlighting a willingness to attack, though this has not translated consistently into home results.
Deportivo La Coruña enter this contest with momentum despite a first league defeat of the season against Sevilla. They have not suffered defeat in 25 of their last 31 matches in all competitions, an impressive run that extends to the league as well, where they have remained unbeaten in 81% of their last 31. Deportivo’s last six La Liga fixtures include two wins, three draws, and just one loss, with a solid defensive record, only 1.17 goals conceded per match and a 50% draw rate in their last ten away games.
The away side’s capacity to avoid defeat on their travels is worth mentioning: 13 of their last 15 away games have ended without loss, and they have won 60% of their last 20 away matches while conceding less than a goal per game on average. This consistency has helped them collect points even when not at their best, such as the 1-1 draw at Getafe and a resilient 1-1 display against Real Betis.
Sociedad’s lineup continuity offers some stability, although Matarazzo has rotated between league and Europe. Remiro should return in goal for La Liga, while Jon Aramburu and Sergio Gómez are strong options at full-back. Mamadou Sarr, a summer arrival from Chelsea, and Jon Martín are pushing to form the central pairing, with Luken Beitia also in contention after recent minutes. In midfield, Carlos Soler’s set-piece quality and penalty at Mestalla strengthen his case, while Sučić’s strong start to the season makes him difficult to leave out. Expected Real Sociedad starting eleven:
Real Sociedad
Goalkeeper: Álex Remiro
Defenders: Jon Aramburu, Jon Martín, Mamadou Sarr, Sergio Gómez
Midfielders: Carlos Soler, Yangel Herrera, Luka Sučić, Ander Barrenetxea
Attackers: Gonçalo Guedes, Mikel Oyarzabal
For Deportivo La Coruña, Antonio Hidalgo has generally kept a clear 4-4-2 framework, even when rotating. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang was used from the bench against Betis but has been central to their excellent start, and his instant scoring impact has transformed Deportivo’s attacking threat. Marc Casadó came off in the first half of that Betis draw, so Diego Villares is a credible alternative after coming on and scoring the late equaliser. Expect a 4-4-2 formation again, with the following probable starting eleven:
Deportivo La Coruña
Goalkeeper: Leo Román
Defenders: Ximo Navarro, José María Giménez, Bright Ede, Giacomo Quagliata
Midfielders: Luismi Cruz, Marc Casadó, Riki Rodríguez, Mario Soriano
Attackers: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Bil Nsongo
Statistically, Real Sociedad’s challenge will be breaking through a Deportivo side that has made a habit of collecting points away. With Sociedad having failed to win in 12 of their last 15 league matches and Deportivo undefeated in 25 of their last 31 overall, the margins appear fine.
Algorithm-based forecasts also point to a closely fought battle, with a 50% probability rating assigned to a draw, and a 1-1 scoreline deemed most likely. Considering Deportivo’s robust record on the road and Sociedad’s struggles to turn home crowd advantage into victories, a stalemate could well be on the cards.
In summary, the stage is set for a clash of contrasting trends: Sociedad’s traditionally strong home head-to-head record versus Deportivo’s current resilience. Discipline at the back and efficiency in front of goal will be decisive if either side is to secure all three points at the Reale Arena.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Barcelona | 21 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
2 |
Atlético Madrid | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
3 |
Real Betis | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
4 |
Real Madrid | 15 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 |
5 |
Sevilla | 13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
6 |
Deportivo Alavés | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
7 |
Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
8 |
Real Sociedad | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 |
9 |
Villarreal | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
10 |
Osasuna | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 |
11 |
Getafe | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 |
12 |
Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
13 |
Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 |
14 |
Celta Vigo | 7 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
15 |
Espanyol | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
16 |
Racing Santander | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 |
17 |
Levante | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 |
18 |
Elche | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 |
19 |
Valencia | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 |
20 |
Málaga CF | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 |
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San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
In all of their 20 most recent matches of Women’s Super League, there have been no losses for Arsenal LFC W
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A run of 10 straight defeats makes the most recent matches in all competitions of Gibraltar
Reggina Calcio have won 8 consecutive games in Serie D Group I
Gimnasia Chivilcoy have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 5 Torneo Federal A games
Antigua & Barbuda have failed to score in their last 4 matches in all competitions
In their last 3 Serie C matches, Spezia have won by 2 or more goals
Perugia Calcio have lost by 2 or more goals their last 3 Serie C games in a row
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions











