Football is Mathematics
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Levante and Sevilla return to La Liga action at the Estadio Ciutat de València, with the hosts trying to tighten up after a difficult run and Sevilla looking to turn their stronger start under Luis García Plaza into another away win.
Examination of recent head to head encounters between these clubs reveals a fairly balanced history. In the last six times Levante have hosted Sevilla, the home side have emerged with two victories and one draw, while Sevilla took maximum points on three occasions. The slight edge for Sevilla suggests they have recently managed to navigate this fixture with success, yet Levante are certainly capable of posing problems at their own ground.
But recent history against Sevilla tips in favor of the visitors. Levante have lost three of their last six home games in this matchup and in their last three meetings at this stadium, Sevilla twice won by a margin of two or more goals.
Levante's performance in their last six matches under Luis Castro underlines a team still searching for consistency. They have claimed just a single win during that stretch, drawing twice and losing three. Defensively, they have found it challenging, allowing an average of two goals per game. Their attack has shown some life, but this has not been enough to offset issues at the back.
The picture at home is a touch brighter for Levante. Two wins from their last three completed matches at the Estadio Ciutat de València indicate recent improvement, especially in attack. Notably, their shooting frequency increases significantly at home, although their possession numbers remain modest. Levante have still avoided defeat in 80% of their last 15 home outings, which suggests they are much tougher to break down in familiar surroundings.
Levante's first matches of the new season have shown defensive frailties. After a 5-2 win over Real Betis, Levante managed draws against Osasuna and Málaga, pushed Barcelona in a 4-2 home defeat, and then lost 3-1 at Villarreal. Their midweek Athletic Club fixture was postponed because of heavy rain, so Luis Castro's side arrive with fewer recent minutes than first expected.
Sevilla, by contrast, enter in stronger shape. Their last six league matches yielded three wins, two defeats and one draw, with narrow victories over Valencia and Deportivo followed by a 3-1 loss to Barcelona. The away sample shows they have taken victory in half of their last six road fixtures and averaged 1.5 goals scored, reinforcing a reputation for getting results in tricky environments.
Recent away records detail a Sevilla side that can be vulnerable defensively, having conceded 1.73 goals per match across their last 15 away games and losing eight of those. Still, their current form is steadier, and the balance of their attacking options makes them a real threat.
Levante have leaned on Mathew Ryan in goal, with Jeremy Toljan, Aïssa Mandi, Adrián de la Fuente and Manu Sánchez forming the most settled defensive group. Iván Romero has strengthened his case after scoring against both Barcelona and Villarreal, while Roger Brugué also found the net against Barça. Etta Eyong and Álex Primo have been among the recent fitness concerns, but Levante have no confirmed active suspension for this fixture.
Levante probable XI: Mathew Ryan; Jeremy Toljan, Aïssa Mandi, Adrián de la Fuente, Manu Sánchez; Enzo Bardeli, Oriol Rey, Jon Ander Olasagasti; Roger Brugué, Iván Romero, Thiago Fernández.
Sevilla remain under Luis García Plaza, whose pragmatic approach has delivered a competitive start after another busy summer. Odysseas Vlachodimos has returned in goal, Gabriel Suazo has added experience at left-back, and Youssouf Fofana has quickly become central to the midfield after arriving from Milan. Lucas Stassin missed the Barcelona match, while Rubén Vargas has also been dealing with a fitness issue, so Robbie Ure is a strong option to lead the line if Stassin is not fully cleared.
Sevilla probable XI: Odysseas Vlachodimos; Juan Iglesias, Arouna Sangante, Andrés Castrín, Gabriel Suazo; Lucien Agoumé, Youssouf Fofana; Miguel Ángel Sierra, Giorgi Kochorashvili, Félix Correia; Robbie Ure.
Fofana's goal against Barcelona was a reminder that Sevilla's midfield now carries more forward thrust, while Félix Correia and Miguel Ángel Sierra give García Plaza natural width and running power around the centre-forward. Kike Salas, Isaac Romero and Lucas Stassin remain important selection alternatives depending on late fitness and tactical decisions.
The prediction models point towards a goal-filled encounter, projecting over 2.5 goals with a strong chance of Sevilla prevailing. Levante's home form and attacking spark could see them find the net, but Sevilla's extra quality, improved midfield and recent run of results give them a likely edge as both sides chase all three points. The forecasted outcome, with a 55% probability in favor of Sevilla, is a 2-1 away win.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Barcelona | 21 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
2 |
Atlético Madrid | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
3 |
Real Betis | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
4 |
Real Madrid | 15 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 |
5 |
Sevilla | 13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
6 |
Deportivo Alavés | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
7 |
Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
8 |
Real Sociedad | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 |
9 |
Villarreal | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
10 |
Osasuna | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 |
11 |
Getafe | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 |
12 |
Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
13 |
Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 |
14 |
Celta Vigo | 7 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
15 |
Espanyol | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
16 |
Racing Santander | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 |
17 |
Levante | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 |
18 |
Elche | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 |
19 |
Valencia | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 |
20 |
Málaga CF | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 |
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In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions











