Football is Mathematics
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With Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho set as the stage, FC Famalicão welcome FC Alverca in a Liga Portugal regular season clash that may have significant repercussions for both teams' campaigns. Famalicão have enjoyed the better of previous encounters, while Alverca arrive looking to upset that balance amidst inconsistent form.
The last meeting between FC Famalicão and FC Alverca at this venue ended in favor of the hosts, Famalicão winning the only recent home head-to-head. In their last three encounters overall, Famalicão have secured two wins, reinforcing a track record that adds psychological weight going into this fixture.
Looking at Famalicão’s broader trends, their home ground has proved resilient. In their last 12 matches at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, they are undefeated in 10. Furthermore, they've managed to keep clean sheets in 7 of their last 15 home games. However, they have found victories hard to come by lately, with 83% of their last six home matches ending without a win and drawing four of their last eight at home.
Across all competitions, Famalicão haven’t tasted defeat in 13 of their last 15 outings, underlining a degree of stubbornness in their play. Yet, they have also drawn 10 of their last 20 matches in all competitions, often finding it difficult to turn matches into three points. Their current league journey opened with a comprehensive 4-0 win at Nacional Madeira, followed by a sequence of draws and a loss, indicating some early inconsistency.
The team’s offensive output stands at 1.33 goals per match over the last six, though this drops to 0.67 in their last three home games. Defensively, they have been reasonably solid, conceding just 1 goal per game recently and averaging one clean sheet every other home match across their last 15 at home.
FC Alverca enter the contest still searching for a foothold at this level. Their form away from home paints a challenging picture: they have not won in 80% of their last 20 away matches and have lost 60% of their last 15 on the road. With 1.5 goals both scored and conceded per match in their previous six across all venues, Alverca offer unpredictability, but vulnerabilities persist.
Recent league action saw Alverca secure a slim 1-0 home victory over Rio Ave, but this followed a stretch in which they struggled. Their last 10 matches across all venues have seen them winless in 8, while 50% of their last 12 overall have ended in defeat. Defensive lapses also show in their away record, conceding 1.73 per match on average in their last 15 outings as visitors.
In their previous three away fixtures, Alverca have managed just one win and suffered two defeats, conceding an average of two goals per game. Even so, their attack has looked lively in some matches, as evidenced by 23 total shots and 6 on target in their recent win over Rio Ave.
Both teams have maintained relatively stable lineups in recent matches, with no reported sidelined players. The likely formation for Famalicão is a 4-2-3-1, while Alverca are expected to deploy a 3-4-3. Consistency in selection could mean a settled approach for both managers, and no suspensions or injuries further solidify their likely choices.
FC Famalicão probable starting lineup:
Goalkeeper: Lazar Carević
Defenders: Rodrigo Pinheiro, Víctor Rofino, Finn van Breemen, Pedro Bondo
Midfielders: Sorriso, Marcos Peña, Mathias de Amorim, Tamás Szűcs, Gil Dias
Attackers: Georgios Koutsias
FC Alverca probable starting lineup:
Goalkeeper: Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira
Defenders: Sergi Gómez Solà, Yaya Bojang, Steven Baseya
Midfielders: Isaac James, Ian Luccas, Rayan Lucas, Toni Tamarit
Attackers: Figueiredo, Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira, Vivaldo Semedo
Statistical models predict a low-scoring contest, with a high chance of under 2.5 goals being scored. Famalicão are favored with a 37% probability of clinching the win, and a 2-0 scoreline is considered the most plausible outcome. Given Famalicão’s recent streak of four undefeated matches and Alverca’s winless run in 80% of their last ten outings, the scales tilt toward the hosts to remain in control of this rivalry.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Porto | 21 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
2 |
SL Benfica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
3 |
Sporting CP | 15 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
4 |
Santa Clara | 15 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
5 |
FC Arouca | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
6 |
Sporting Braga | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
7 |
Académico Viseu | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
8 |
Estrela Amadora | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
9 |
FC Alverca | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 |
10 |
Moreirense FC | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 |
11 |
Marítimo | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 |
12 |
Gil Vicente | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
13 |
FC Famalicão | 7 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
14 |
Vitória | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 |
15 |
Nacional Madeira | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 |
16 |
Rio Ave | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 |
17 |
Casa Pia AC | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -13 |
18 |
GD Estoril | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -7 |
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Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
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Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
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