Football is Mathematics
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Grazer AK host RB Salzburg at Merkur Arena on 10 October 2026, with both teams aiming to assert their Bundesliga ambitions early in the season. An impressive home record for Grazer AK faces a Salzburg side unbeaten in 14 and in irresistible form.
When Grazer AK and RB Salzburg met in February, the encounter was a closely fought contest. Grazer AK drew 1-1 at home, taking the lead through Leon Klassen only to see Salzburg’s Karim Konaté quickly reply. Despite RB Salzburg having 66% of the ball, 14 shots (six on target) and 63 dangerous attacks to AK’s 27, the hosts held on for a valuable point, frustrating Salzburg by limiting clear chances.
That match typifies Grazer AK’s resilience at Merkur Arena. They have not lost a home Bundesliga game in 17 of their last 20 matches, balancing defensive solidity with efficiency in attack. Across their last 14 home fixtures in all competitions, Grazer AK have won 7 and averaged just 0.93 goals conceded, while drawing 50% of their past 10 home league games.
In their last six matches overall, Grazer AK’s record reads 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, netting just 1 goal per match but giving little away defensively. At home, they remain tough to break down with just over 1 goal conceded on average in their last three games.
Recent Bundesliga performances include a 2-2 home draw with Austria Wien and a sturdy 0-0 stalemate against Wolfsberger AC. They limited Austria Wien to just four shots on target despite trailing possession. Against Wolfsberger AC, they registered 27 shots and dominated ball control, though were unable to find a breakthrough.
However, there are signs of inconsistency. A heavy 8-0 away defeat to Rapid Wien and a 3-0 loss at LASK Linz still linger. At home, though, Grazer AK have shown vast improvement, recently beating Austria Lustenau and drawing with strong opponents.
Salzburg present a different level of challenge. They have produced a remarkable run, winning 5 of their last 6 and drawing once, while keeping four clean sheets and scoring at a rate of 2.83 per match. Importantly, they are undefeated in 17 of their last 20 matches across all competitions, with half those wins coming by at least a two-goal margin.
Away from home, Salzburg remain clinical, averaging just under 2 goals per match and conceding less than 1. Their pressing style and technical midfield ensure high shot counts, reflected by their 6 shots on target per away game, and their ability to dictate tempo carries into every match.
Recent victories over Sturm Graz, Austria Wien and Rapid Wien underline their status as league favorites. In their last outing, they eased to a 3-0 win against Sturm Graz, with the midfield trio dictating tempo and the defense rarely troubled. They also took 24 shots and dominated the ball, even in away draws like their 1-1 at SV Ried, where they finished with 68% possession.
Head to head, Salzburg have the edge, winning 2 of the last 4 but are yet to win at Merkur Arena in that spell. While AK showed in their last encounter they can frustrate their bigger rivals, Salzburg’s consistency and goal threat have only grown since.
With both sides carrying full squads—with no sidelined players reported—lineups are expected to reflect recent patterns. Grazer AK likely continue with their 3-4-3 base formation:
Grazer AK:
Goalkeeper: C. Stanković
Defenders: Yannick Oberleitner, Beres Owusu, Michael Sollbauer
Midfielders: Anderson, Leon Klassen, Peter Michorl, Tobias Koch
Attackers: Alexander Hofleitner, Daniel Maderner, Ismaël Guerti
RB Salzburg should again use their reliable 4-2-3-1, featuring:
RB Salzburg:
Goalkeeper: Christian Zawieschitzky
Defenders: Nikolas Veratschnig, Dominik Schmid, Kévin Boma, Valentin Zabransky
Midfielders: Bartosz Mazurek, Edmund Baidoo, Abubakr Barry, Sota Kitano, Yorbe Vertessen
Attacker: Haris Tabakovic
With Salzburg’s recent results and clinical edge, they are favored to take all three points (53% probability), but Grazer AK’s unmatched home stamina may yet play a decisive role, making this showdown a key early test for both sides.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Rapid Wien | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 |
2 |
RB Salzburg | 17 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
3 |
LASK Linz | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
4 |
Sturm Graz | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 |
5 |
SV Ried | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 |
6 |
Hartberg | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 |
7 |
WSG Tirol | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 |
8 |
Austria Lustenau | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 |
9 |
Grazer AK | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10 |
10 |
Austria Wien | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 |
11 |
Wolfsberger AC | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 |
12 |
SCR Altach | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -7 |
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