Football is Mathematics
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As the Jupiler Pro League regular season approaches its next act at the AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne, KV Mechelen face Sint-Truiden in a fixture where both clubs have a point to prove. The hosts are looking for a response after an extended winless run, while the visitors see a prime chance to claim an away victory and confirm their ambitions early in the campaign.
Reviewing the recent meetings between these sides in Mechelen reveals little home comfort for KV Mechelen. In their last three home contests with Sint-Truiden, Mechelen have failed to win, drawing one and losing two. Widening the scope, four defeats from the last five encounters with Sint-Truiden further highlight the current power dynamic between these teams.
What's more, the issues for Mechelen extend to the fashion of defeat. The last six home encounters against Sint-Truiden have seen Mechelen lose by at least two goals on three occasions, underlining a worrying trend when they host this particular opponent.
KV Mechelen’s current form both at home and overall paints a troubling picture. Through their past six outings in all competitions, Mechelen remain winless, drawing three but suffering three losses, while scoring just five times and conceding 12. Their struggles in front of goal are noteworthy, failing to score entirely in half of those games. At home, a draw and two defeats from their last three matches has yielded just three goals for and eight against, with the attack consistently failing to threaten — Mechelen have averaged only three shots on goal per match in these.
Sint-Truiden, for their part, have experienced mixed results from the opening salvos of the season. The past six saw them win twice but lose four, a sequence including a comprehensive 4-0 home win over RAAL La Louvière and a sharp 4-1 triumph away at Royal Antwerp. Across these games, they registered a higher scoring output with ten goals scored but allowed twelve at their own end. Away from home, Sint-Truiden have managed just one win in their last three, and over a longer stretch they have gone winless in nine of the last eleven on their travels.
For Mechelen, the negative patterns persist. They have failed to record a single victory in their last 11 matches, a winless streak that sits at 100%. Even more, half of their last 12 fixtures ended in defeat, and they’ve drawn five of their last ten — suggesting resilience but not enough cutting edge. Mechelen’s defensive vulnerabilities are evident too, with 9 defeats by margins of two goals or more from their last 23 games.
Sint-Truiden display very different trends across a larger sample. They have claimed victory in 21 of their last 40 matches in all competitions (53%), sporting a positive goal difference and nearly double Mechelen’s average output in terms of shots on target and dangerous attacks. However, they are not without weaknesses: half of their last eight matches ended in defeat, and their away form remains inconsistent — seven losses from the last 14 away fixtures, and a notable 82% winless record in their last eleven games on the road.
Statistically, Sint-Truiden boast higher average ball possession (56.4% to Mechelen’s sub-50 marks) and more shots on target per match. This control has translated to goals, especially evident in spells of dominance like the heavy win at Royal Antwerp and the four-goal display against RAAL La Louvière. Mechelen, by contrast, have not scored more than once in any of their last six games and are conceding at a rate of nearly two per match.
KV Mechelen
Goalkeeper: Nacho Miras
Defenders: Luc Marijnissen, José Marsà, Mike Eerdhuijzen
Midfielders: Fredrik Hammar, Thérence Koudou, Simion Michez, Dennis Praet
Attackers: Myron van Brederode, Bouke Boersma, Cedric Van Meirvenne
Mechelen appear set to use their familiar 3-4-2-1, rotating regular starters based on recent matches and no sidelined players to worry about.
Sint-Truiden
Goalkeeper: Leo Kokubo
Defenders: Taiga Hata, Shogo Taniguchi, Visar Musliu, Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
Midfielders: Abdoulaye Sissako, Kaito Matsuzawa, Ryan Merlen, Ilias Sebaoui, Ryotaro Araki
Attackers: Samed Bazdar
The visitors should again adopt their recognizable 4-2-3-1, with no injuries disrupting selection and consistent choices seen over the past three fixtures.
With Mechelen entrenched in an 11 match winless rut (100%), lacking both potency and resilience, and Sint-Truiden showing sporadic flashes of attacking quality despite patchy away displays, the momentum tilts slightly toward the visitors.
Statistical trends and recent head-to-head outcomes back Sint-Truiden, who are predicted by the Forebet algorithm to take the spoils with a 45% chance of victory. A slim 2-1 win for Sint-Truiden appears the likeliest result, extending Mechelen’s difficult streak and keeping Sint-Truiden in the conversation among the division’s early risers.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Union Saint-Gilloise | 19 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
2 |
Gent | 19 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
3 |
Club Brugge | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
4 |
Sporting Charleroi | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
5 |
Anderlecht | 13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
6 |
Zulte Waregem | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
7 |
Standard Liège | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
8 |
Westerlo | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
9 |
Racing Genk | 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
10 |
Waasland Beveren | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 |
11 |
Sint-Truiden | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
12 |
Lommel United | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 |
13 |
Royal Antwerp | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 |
14 |
RAAL La Louvière | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 |
15 |
OH Leuven | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 |
16 |
Cercle Brugge | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6 |
17 |
KV Mechelen | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 |
18 |
KV Kortrijk | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 |
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Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
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