Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa Conference League
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 9
Form and numbers paint a clear picture ahead of the Western Conference showdown between Real Salt Lake and New England Revolution at America First Field on September 27. With one side struggling to find a foothold and the other riding a strong wave, the tactical nuances and recent results become all the more crucial to sorting out the likely outcome.
When these sides last met at the start of September, Real Salt Lake leveraged their home field and prevailed 2-0 over the Revolution. The stats from that match highlight an interesting story: though New England held 56% of the ball and registered nearly as many dangerous attacks as Salt Lake (48 to 47), it was the clinical edge of the hosts that made the difference. Real Salt Lake managed 10 shots on goal from 20 attempts, while New England could only muster two on target from eight. Anderson Julio and Philip Quinton got the goals, as Salt Lake showed the capacity to strike decisively despite having less of the ball.
However, fast forward to this fixture, and Real Salt Lake are in the middle of a tough stretch. They have failed to secure a win in 13 of their last 15 outings in all competitions, including going winless in all of their last nine matches. Recent home results offer little respite, with just one draw to go with two defeats in the last three home fixtures. Salt Lake's attack has gone quiet as well, averaging just 0.5 goals scored and 3.67 shots on target per match over their last six. Their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.17 goals per game in that time span.
New England arrive in contrasting spirits, undefeated in six of their last seven matches, boasting four victories from their six most recent league clashes. Over that same stretch, they are scoring 2.17 per match and allowing 1.33, maintaining a positive goal difference. On the road, the Revolution have claimed victory in five of their last ten matches and lost only once in their last three, signaling a level of consistency difficult to ignore.
The league table tells a similar story. Real Salt Lake sit 12th in the Western Conference, winning only eight times in 25 games, with a negative goal difference of minus five and a defense having shipped 42 goals. Meanwhile, New England Revolution have soared to third in the Eastern Conference, stacking 14 wins from 26 fixtures and balancing a robust attack (45 goals) with a tighter rearguard (33 conceded, averaging just 1.27 per game).
Recent matches further highlight the gap. Salt Lake are coming off a 3-0 loss at home to Vancouver, following a 2-0 home defeat against NYCFC, and a 2-1 away loss at Houston Dynamo. Not since early August have they found anything more than a draw, with the defense exposed and the attack struggling regardless of home or away turf.
By contrast, New England Revolution most recently put four past Orlando, followed by wins on the road against Chicago Fire and New York City FC and a narrow defeat away to the Los Angeles Galaxy. Their attack, led by Carles Gil and Peyton Miller, has demonstrated variety and an ability to convert chances, while Matt Turner gives solidity between the posts.
Squad availability adds another wrinkle. Real Salt Lake are hampered by the absence of Ariath Piol, Justen Glad and Diego Luna. This limits options at the back and in attack, potentially forcing Pablo Mastroeni to tinker further with a lineup that is already searching for answers.
Probable Lineups:
Real Salt Lake
Goalkeeper: Rafael Cabral
Defenders: Kobi Henry, Philip Quinton, Juan Jose Arias
Midfielders: DeAndre Yedlin, Juan Manuel Sanabria, Colin Guske, Noel Caliskan
Attackers: Morgan Guilavogui, Sergi Solans, Saba Lobjanidze
New England Revolution
Goalkeeper: Matt Turner
Defenders: Mamadou Fofana, Matt Polster, Ethan Kohler, Will Sands
Midfielders: Carles Gil, Brooklyn Raines, Alhassan Yusuf
Attackers: Peyton Miller, Dor Turgeman, Jack Harrison
As for predicted systems, Real Salt Lake are likely to persist with their 3-4-3, while New England stick with their flexible 4-3-3. Leonardo Campana remains the only significant absentee for the Revolution and his absence has done little to hinder their forward momentum.
Given the patterns in results, squad health, and tactical consistency, New England Revolution are positioned to continue their impressive run, with the current probability of another win standing at 41%. Salt Lake, without a victory in all of their last nine, face an uphill battle to reverse the trend against one of the league’s most in-form visitors.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps | 49 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 33 |
2 |
Saint Louis City | 44 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
3 |
FC Dallas | 44 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
4 |
Houston Dynamo | 44 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
5 |
San Jose Earthquakes | 42 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
6 |
Los Angeles FC | 41 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
7 |
Colorado Rapids | 36 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
8 |
Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -8 |
9 |
Portland Timbers | 32 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -1 |
10 |
Seattle Sounders | 32 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | -3 |
11 |
San Diego | 31 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
12 |
Austin FC | 30 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -12 |
13 |
Minnesota United | 29 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -7 |
14 |
Real Salt Lake | 29 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -7 |
15 |
Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -34 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Nashville SC | 57 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 32 |
2 |
Inter Miami CF | 46 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 15 |
3 |
New England Revolution | 46 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
4 |
Charlotte FC | 43 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
5 |
Chicago Fire | 39 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
6 |
Philadelphia Union | 36 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
7 |
Orlando City SC | 34 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -14 |
8 |
FC Cincinnati | 33 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | -7 |
9 |
New York Red Bulls | 33 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -14 |
10 |
New York City FC | 32 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
11 |
DC United | 29 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 |
12 |
Toronto FC | 29 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | -10 |
13 |
Columbus Crew | 26 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -5 |
14 |
Atlanta United | 26 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -13 |
15 |
Montreal Impact | 21 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -22 |
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
There have been under 2.5 goals in 15 of the latest games in Primera B Metropolitana of Brown de Adrogué
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
In all of their 20 most recent matches of Women’s Super League, there have been no losses for Arsenal LFC W
In their last 20 games in Serie C, US Foggia have a poor record of just 2 wins
A run of 10 straight defeats makes the most recent matches in all competitions of Gibraltar
Reggina Calcio have won 8 consecutive games in Serie D Group I
Gimnasia Chivilcoy have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 5 Torneo Federal A games
Antigua & Barbuda have failed to score in their last 4 matches in all competitions
In their last 3 Serie C matches, Spezia have won by 2 or more goals
Perugia Calcio have lost by 2 or more goals their last 3 Serie C games in a row
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions











