Football is Mathematics
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Consistency at home meets a side mired in prolonged struggles as CA Huracán welcome CA Aldosivi to Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó. Both teams arrive with contrasting momentum, hinting at what could become a pivotal fixture in Liga Profesional's Clausura Group B.
The direct encounters at Huracán’s ground show a balanced landscape in their last three meetings: CA Huracán has one win, one draw, and one defeat against CA Aldosivi at home. These results suggest the fixture isn’t always straightforward, but Huracán’s gradual improvement in home performances could tip the scale further in their favor.
CA Huracán's last six fixtures have delivered a solid, if not prolific, sequence: two wins, three draws, and just one loss. Defensive solidity has been evident with only one goal conceded per match on average. Over their last three home matches, Huracán are unbeaten, securing a victory and two draws while maintaining a defensive average of just 0.67 goals conceded per home game.
CA Aldosivi, meanwhile, wrestle with inconsistency on the road and overall. They have lost four out of their last six, winning only twice in that stretch. What’s particularly concerning is their away form: no wins and three straight defeats, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per match in those away fixtures. Ball possession remains on the low side for Aldosivi, another indicator of their recent away day woes.
Looking at the Apertura Group B campaign, CA Huracán finished a solid seventh out of 16, registering five wins, seven draws, and four losses from 16 matches. Their goal difference stands at +4, attained by both an efficient attack and notably robust defense, having allowed just 13 goals over that span.
Aldosivi’s record is far less encouraging: 14th place, winless in all 16 matches, with eight draws and eight losses. They have scored just six times, for a paltry average of 0.38 per match, and have conceded on average 1.19 goals per game, resulting in a damaging negative goal difference of -13.
Huracán bring encouraging trends into this fixture. They have not been defeated in 17 of their last 21 matches across all competitions. At Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó, Huracán have kept 43% clean sheets across their last 30 matches, and are undefeated in 11 of their last 13 home games. Draws have featured prominently, with 50% of their last six home matches ending without a winner, but they do find ways to avoid defeat and often shut opponents out.
Aldosivi, in contrast, have been winless in 17 of their last 20 matches in all competitions, losing 58% of their last 12. Their away record is especially bleak: winless in 20 of the last 23 trips and 39.33% average possession during that period. These numbers underline just how challenging the fixture will be for them.
CA Huracán
Goalkeeper: Hernán Galíndez
Defenders: Lucas Blondel, César Ibáñez, Máximo Palazzo, Fabio Pereyra
Midfielders: Rodrigo Fernández Cedrés, Facundo Waller, Óscar Cortés, Juan Bisanz, Facundo Kalinger
Attackers: Jordy Caicedo
This lineup aligns with Huracán’s recent reliance on a 4-2-3-1 formation, maximizing midfield control while employing a single striker up front. No key injuries or suspensions are noted for Huracán.
CA Aldosivi
Goalkeeper: Lucas Acosta
Defenders: Elías López, Néstor Breitenbruch, Joaquín Pombo, Mateo Sebastián Vales
Midfielders: Martín García, Nico Gaitán, Lucas Castro, Felipe Anso, Bautista Dadín
Attackers: Andrés Vombergar
Aldosivi have alternated between 4-2-3-1 and a variant with an additional attacker. Their likely continuation with the recent structure will see Andrés Vombergar as the focal point in attack.
Analytical models point convincingly toward Huracán. With a probability of 56% for a home win and projected to score at least three, Huracán are positioned to exploit Aldosivi’s defensive vulnerabilities. A projected 3-1 scoreline aligns with recent form and the hosts’ superior trend lines.
With underlying numbers so heavily favoring Huracán—especially at home—the expectation is for the hosts to secure another positive result and extend Aldosivi's winless woes even further.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Instituto Córdoba | 22 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
2 |
Vélez Sársfield | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
3 |
Defensa y Justicia | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
4 |
Gimnasia Mendoza | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
5 |
Boca Juniors | 17 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
6 |
Independiente | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
7 |
Lanús | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
8 |
Newell's Old Boys | 16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
9 |
Unión Santa Fe | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
10 |
San Lorenzo | 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 |
11 |
Estudiantes La Plata | 10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -1 |
12 |
Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 |
13 |
CA Platense | 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 |
14 |
Talleres Córdoba | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 |
15 |
Central Córdoba SdE | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Argentinos Juniors | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
2 |
Rosario Central | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
3 |
Independiente Rivadavia | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
4 |
Gimnasia La Plata | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
5 |
Belgrano Córdoba | 16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
6 |
CA Huracán | 16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
7 |
Sarmiento Junín | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
8 |
River Plate | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
9 |
Atlético Tucumán | 13 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
10 |
CA Tigre | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
11 |
Barracas Central | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 |
12 |
CA Banfield | 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 |
13 |
CA Aldosivi | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 |
14 |
Racing Club | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 |
15 |
Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -8 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Estudiantes La Plata | 31 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
2 |
Boca Juniors | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 |
Vélez Sársfield | 28 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
4 |
Talleres Córdoba | 26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
5 |
Independiente | 24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
6 |
Lanús | 24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
7 |
San Lorenzo | 22 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
8 |
Unión Santa Fe | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
9 |
Instituto Córdoba | 21 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
10 |
Defensa y Justicia | 19 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 |
11 |
Gimnasia Mendoza | 19 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 |
12 |
CA Platense | 16 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 |
13 |
Central Córdoba SdE | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 |
14 |
Newell's Old Boys | 15 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 |
15 |
Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Independiente Rivadavia | 34 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
2 |
River Plate | 29 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
3 |
Argentinos Juniors | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
4 |
Rosario Central | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
5 |
Belgrano Córdoba | 26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
6 |
Gimnasia La Plata | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
7 |
CA Huracán | 22 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
8 |
Racing Club | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
9 |
Barracas Central | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
10 |
CA Tigre | 20 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
11 |
Sarmiento Junín | 19 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 |
12 |
CA Banfield | 18 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 |
13 |
Atlético Tucumán | 14 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -5 |
14 |
CA Aldosivi | 8 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -13 |
15 |
Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 5 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 |
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Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
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