Football is Mathematics
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The clash between Estudiantes La Plata and Gimnasia Mendoza is shaping up to be a telling encounter early in the Clausura Group A phase. Both teams have had their moments of strength, but each arrives with very different momentum and expectations for this face-off at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes.
Estudiantes La Plata, coming off a strong Apertura campaign where they finished first in Group A with nine wins out of sixteen matches, look eager to cement their dominance as the new stage unfolds. Their record featured a solid goal difference of +12, with only seven goals conceded — the stingiest defense in the group.
In contrast, Gimnasia Mendoza's Apertura run was a mixed bag. Sitting in 11th place, they secured five wins, drawing four and losing seven, with a negative goal difference of -8. Defensive frailties were an issue, allowing 22 goals and scoring only 14.
Recent form sets a compelling narrative. Gimnasia Mendoza come into this match undefeated in five of their last six outings, an 83% rate. Their attacking uptick, averaging 1.83 goals per game across that spell, provides optimism. Their last three encounters have not produced a win though, suggesting some vulnerability.
Estudiantes La Plata, meanwhile, display a steadier, if less spectacular, record in their last six matches: two wins, two draws, and two losses, scoring and conceding 0.83 per match on average. At home, they’ve been tough to outmaneuver — undefeated in 80% of their last 20 home games in all competitions, while keeping a clean sheet in nearly half of their last 40 at home.
Looking back at their previous encounter in March 2026, Estudiantes La Plata traveled to Mendoza and claimed a 2-1 win. It was a fairly balanced contest in terms of attacking threat, with Gimnasia Mendoza edging dangerous attacks 48 to 47. But Estudiantes managed far more shots on target, six compared to the hosts’ single effort, and enjoyed healthier possession at 58%. Tiago Palacios was the difference maker with a brace, overturning Agustín Módica’s opener.
Statistically, Estudiantes La Plata’s home performances reinforce their edge. Across the last 10 home league matches, they've registered 40% wins by two or more goals, underscoring their capacity to pull away in front of their own crowd. Their ball possession numbers hover near 57% both home and away, indicative of a side keen to dictate play.
Gimnasia Mendoza’s away record is less reassuring. They remain winless in 15 of their last 18 matches on the road, and have lost half of their last 20 away games. That said, they have managed to keep a clean sheet in 43% of their last 40 away fixtures, pointing to resilience when they're organized at the back.
Examining current league performances, Estudiantes La Plata’s ability to control games is evident from their passing and possession statistics. For instance, even in their recent loss to Lanús, they managed 59% possession and recorded a remarkable 24 shots (five on target). Such numbers suggest that when Estudiantes are in rhythm, they can turn sustained pressure into tangible results.
Lineups are set to reflect continuity. Estudiantes have no significant sidelined players, so the likely eleven should look very familiar from their last outings in a 4-2-3-1 shape:
Estudiantes La Plata
Goalkeeper: Fernando Muslera
Defenders: Eric Meza, Santiago Núñez, Leandro González Pírez, Gastón Benedetti
Midfielders: Gabriel Neves, Edwuin Cetré, Alexis Castro, Brian Aguirre, Fabricio Pérez
Attacker: Adolfo Gaich
For Gimnasia Mendoza, stability persists as well, with core players featuring consistently and no injury absences reported. A familiar 4-2-3-1 formation should see:
Gimnasia Mendoza
Goalkeeper: César Rigamonti
Defenders: Luciano Paredes, Diego Mondino, Matías Recalde, Ezequiel Muñoz
Midfielders: Luciano Cingolani, Esteban Fernández, Facundo Lencioni, Fermín Antonini, Ignacio Sabatini
Attacker: Agustín Módica
Prediction models suggest Estudiantes La Plata are slight favorites with a 53% chance to collect all three points, with the most probable scenario a close 2-1 outcome in their favor. Their home stability and rounded play make them a safe pick, but Gimnasia Mendoza’s improving attack means they won’t be easy to put away.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Instituto Córdoba | 22 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
2 |
Vélez Sársfield | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
3 |
Defensa y Justicia | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
4 |
Gimnasia Mendoza | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
5 |
Boca Juniors | 17 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
6 |
Independiente | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
7 |
Lanús | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
8 |
Newell's Old Boys | 16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
9 |
Unión Santa Fe | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
10 |
San Lorenzo | 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 |
11 |
Estudiantes La Plata | 10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -1 |
12 |
Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 |
13 |
CA Platense | 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 |
14 |
Talleres Córdoba | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 |
15 |
Central Córdoba SdE | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Argentinos Juniors | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
2 |
Rosario Central | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
3 |
Independiente Rivadavia | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
4 |
Gimnasia La Plata | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
5 |
Belgrano Córdoba | 16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
6 |
CA Huracán | 16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
7 |
Sarmiento Junín | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
8 |
River Plate | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
9 |
Atlético Tucumán | 13 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
10 |
CA Tigre | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
11 |
Barracas Central | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 |
12 |
CA Banfield | 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 |
13 |
CA Aldosivi | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 |
14 |
Racing Club | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 |
15 |
Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -8 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Estudiantes La Plata | 31 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
2 |
Boca Juniors | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 |
Vélez Sársfield | 28 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
4 |
Talleres Córdoba | 26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
5 |
Independiente | 24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
6 |
Lanús | 24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
7 |
San Lorenzo | 22 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
8 |
Unión Santa Fe | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
9 |
Instituto Córdoba | 21 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
10 |
Defensa y Justicia | 19 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 |
11 |
Gimnasia Mendoza | 19 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 |
12 |
CA Platense | 16 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 |
13 |
Central Córdoba SdE | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 |
14 |
Newell's Old Boys | 15 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 |
15 |
Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Independiente Rivadavia | 34 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
2 |
River Plate | 29 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
3 |
Argentinos Juniors | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
4 |
Rosario Central | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
5 |
Belgrano Córdoba | 26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
6 |
Gimnasia La Plata | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
7 |
CA Huracán | 22 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
8 |
Racing Club | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
9 |
Barracas Central | 21 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
10 |
CA Tigre | 20 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
11 |
Sarmiento Junín | 19 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 |
12 |
CA Banfield | 18 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 |
13 |
Atlético Tucumán | 14 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -5 |
14 |
CA Aldosivi | 8 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -13 |
15 |
Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 5 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 |
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Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
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Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions











