Football is Mathematics
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Premier League 10
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Bundesliga 9
Serie A 2
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 9
With first place at stake, Feyenoord return to Stadion Feijenoord for a compelling matchup against Fortuna Sittard. Both sides step onto the pitch showing different strengths, as Feyenoord ride an unbeaten run in the Eredivisie and Fortuna aim to extend their away resilience.
Feyenoord have established firm dominance over Fortuna Sittard in their past encounters. Across the last 10 meetings, Feyenoord have come away with 7 wins and 3 draws, remaining undefeated during that span. In fact, at home, Feyenoord have built serious momentum against Fortuna, with 3 straight victories in their last three meetings at Stadion Feijenoord.
These figures not only speak to Feyenoord's superiority in this fixture but also highlight how difficult it has historically been for Fortuna to grab a result in Rotterdam.
Feyenoord enter this match as league leaders with an impressive start: 7 wins, 3 draws, and no defeats. Their attack has been ruthless, averaging 3.2 goals per league game and conceding an average of just 1.1. The team has also been particularly strong at home, notching 3 wins out of their last 3 at their own ground, scoring at a rate of 3.33 goals while conceding only 0.67 per game.
In their last 6 overall, Feyenoord have collected 4 wins, 1 draw and a solitary loss. Their 49.5% average possession, 16.33 total shots, and 7.17 shots on target per match show balanced control and consistent threat in front of goal.
On the other side, Fortuna Sittard have proved stubborn in away matches. They have lost only once in their last 6 league fixtures, collecting 3 wins and 2 draws. In that stretch, they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per match. Their last three away games saw 2 wins and a draw, highlighting fortune on the road.
However, Fortuna’s attacking output is more modest: 9.83 shots per game with 4.17 on target on average. Their average possession came in at just 40.3%, often opting to sit back and look for counter opportunities.
Looking at longer-term performance, Feyenoord have been consistently strong. Across their last 30 matches in all competitions, they have won 57% and remained undefeated in 25. In Eredivisie competition, they have avoided defeat in 95% of their last 20 league outings. At home, Feyenoord have not lost in their last 12, but half of their last 8 ended as draws. The side also has the ability to win decisively, collecting 7 wins by at least 2 goals in their last 15 league games.
Fortuna Sittard are riding a 4 match unbeaten run in all competitions and have not lost in 80% of their most recent 10 fixtures overall. Their away form is solid, winning half of their past 10 on the road and going unbeaten in 5 of the last 6 away games. Still, against top sides, Fortuna have had issues keeping goals out, notably shipping 5 against Ajax and 2 against AZ Alkmaar this season.
Feyenoord sit atop the Eredivisie, having racked up 32 goals and a +21 goal difference through 10 matches. Their 3.2 goals per game is the best in the division. Fortuna, currently 6th, have 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, with a zero goal difference, scoring and conceding at 1.7 goals per game each.
Feyenoord (4-3-3)
Goalkeeper: Tjark Ernst
Defenders: Jeremiah St. Juste, Givairo Read, Mika Mármol, Javi López
Midfielders: Gjivai Zechiël, Oussama Targhalline, Charles Vanhoutte
Attackers: Nacho Ferri, Anis Hadj Moussa, Luciano Valente
Injury absences Jordan Bos, Gijs Smal, Shaqueel van Persie and Reiss Nelson open consistent roles for those who featured most in recent fixtures, continuing the pattern seen in prior matches.
Fortuna Sittard (5-4-1)
Goalkeeper: Mattijs Branderhorst
Defenders: Rodrigo Guth, Syb van Ottele, Ivo Pinto, Nick de Groot, Justin Hubner
Midfielders: Edouard Michut, Philip Brittijn, Sven Simons, Kristoffer Peterson
Attacker: Shiloh 't Zand
With Iván Márquez, Moussa Gbemou, Yassin Oukili, Jasper Dahlhaus, Ole Romeny, Mohamed Ihattaren, Anthony Descotte, and Lequincio Zeefuik sidelined, coach Danny Buijs has limited options and will need to adjust with a familiar set of starters from recent matches.
Feyenoord carry notable momentum and home advantage, highlighted by dynamic attacking form and historical superiority over Fortuna Sittard. While Fortuna’s resilience and compact shape, particularly away from home, suggest they will not make things easy, the gap in offensive quality and squad depth weighs heavily in the hosts’ favor. Given recent trends, the prediction is a Feyenoord win with roughly 38% probability for a 3-1 outcome.
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| 28 | 29 | 30 |
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| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Feyenoord | 24 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
2 |
Ajax | 21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
3 |
PSV Eindhoven | 20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 |
4 |
Twente | 20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
5 |
AZ Alkmaar | 20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
6 |
Fortuna Sittard | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
7 |
Heerenveen | 15 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
8 |
Groningen | 15 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
9 |
Go Ahead Eagles | 14 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
10 |
Cambuur | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 |
11 |
Utrecht | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -10 |
12 |
Nijmegen | 11 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 |
13 |
Excelsior | 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 |
14 |
Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 |
15 |
PEC Zwolle | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 |
16 |
SC Telstar | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 |
17 |
ADO Den Haag | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 |
18 |
Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 |
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Teuta Durres have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 Super League games
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Leoben have lost their last 19 league games
No defeats can be found in RC Kouba's 16 most recent games in Ligue 2
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Taghit have lost by 2+ goals all of their last 3 Ligue 2 games
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In their last 20 games in all competitions, Burnley have recorded only 1 wins
We have seen 13 consecutive defeats in the most recent games in Superliga Women of Vasas Femina W
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in the 13 most recent games in 2. Liga of FC Liefering
The team of The New Saints have managed to win their last 13 games in Premier
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FC Tokyo have managed to keep a clean sheet in their last 7 league games
Tartu JK Welco have achieved a 6 game half time/full time winning streak in Esiliiga
We have seen 5 consecutive defeats by a margin of 2+ goals in the most recent Super League run of Panetolikos
In their last 68 games in all competitions, Harborough Town have recorded 59 undefeated encounters
Simba are undefeated in their last 33 Ligi Kuu Bara games in a row
In their last 20 games in all competitions, Burnley have recorded only 1 wins
Leoben have lost their last 19 league games
Simba have won their last 18 league games
In 14 of their most recent matches in Junioren Bundesliga, Babelsberg U19 have seen over 2.5 goals scored
Hapoel Acre haven't scored a single goal in all of their last 11 Liga Leumit games
Newroz SC (IRQ) have kept a clean sheet in their last 9 Stars League games
Tartu JK Welco have achieved a 6 game half time/full time winning streak in Esiliiga
An unfortunate run of 6 straight defeats in half time/full time make up the Süper Lig campaign of Eyüpspor











