Football is Mathematics
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Premier League 10
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Bundesliga 9
Serie A 2
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 9
Momentum and resilience shape the narrative as Heerenveen welcome Nijmegen to the Abe Lenstra Stadion in Eredivisie’s regular season. With both sides displaying distinct yet effective approaches, the battle on 31 October promises a contest shaped by fine margins, recent trends, and a history that knows how to produce goals.
Heerenveen find themselves in seventh place after ten matches, riding on a mix of attacking drive and solid spells at the back. With 18 goals scored and 13 conceded, their matches often see plenty of action, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.3 against per game.
Robin Veldman’s side have performed respectably at home, keeping five clean sheets in the last 12 and remaining undefeated in 80% of their last 15 at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Notably, Heerenveen have drawn two of their last four home games against Nijmegen, hinting at a closely-fought fixture ahead.
Nijmegen, sitting 12th, are the definition of difficult to beat lately. Dick Schreuder’s men are undefeated in 6 of their last 6 in all competitions and have turned the draw into a recurring result, finishing level in 50% of their last 12 overall and 50% of their last 18 Eredivisie fixtures. Despite being winless in 8 of their last 10 league matches, their ability to deny opponents three points is a key theme.
Previous encounters between these teams have produced drama and goals. Their last head-to-head, back in March, finished 2-2 at Nijmegen’s Goffertstadion. The hosts dominated possession with 54% and tallied 22 shots (10 on target), showcasing attacking intent. Heerenveen, with only 11 shots and five on target, proved clinical, ensuring parity. Key moments came from Tjaronn Chery, who scored twice for Nijmegen, while Jacob Trenskow and Ringo Meerveld struck for Heerenveen.
Nijmegen registered 76 dangerous attacks compared to Heerenveen’s 28 in that meeting, suggesting Schreuder’s tactics have the edge in sustained forward pressure. Yet Heerenveen’s efficiency in front of goal prevented a home victory, indicating how closely matched these sides are.
Heerenveen’s recent league outings reinforce their status as a team comfortable in transition and able to find the net. In their last six matches, they’ve won three, drawn one, and lost two, scoring an average of 2.17 goals per match. At home, they maintain a strong average of 2 goals per game with a balanced defensive record.
Nijmegen, for their part, have made low scoring their trademark away from home but retain composure under pressure. Their last six have seen five draws and a single win, with 1.83 goals per game and 1.5 conceded. What stands out, though, is their possession play in recent matches, including a commanding 74% in their 2-2 home draw with Fortuna Sittard.
Turning to probable lineups, Heerenveen are expected to stick to their trusted 4-2-3-1, missing Dirk Proper and Levi Smans through injury. Expect Bernt Klaverboer in goal, with a likely back four of Maas Willemsen, Sam Kersten, Vasilios Zagaritis, and Oliver Braude. The midfield will build around Maxence Rivera, Nolhan Courtens, Marcus Linday, Ringo Meerveld, and Jacob Trenskow, supporting Dylan Vente at the spearhead.
Heerenveen
Goalkeeper: Bernt Klaverboer
Defenders: Maas Willemsen, Sam Kersten, Vasilios Zagaritis, Oliver Braude
Midfielders: Maxence Rivera, Nolhan Courtens, Marcus Linday, Ringo Meerveld, Jacob Trenskow
Attackers: Dylan Vente
For Nijmegen, a 3-4-2-1 setup is anticipated, with absences including Freek Entius, Bryan Linssen, Emre Mor, Philippe Sandler, Bram Nuytinck, Dele Thomas, and Dusan Tadic. Gonzalo Crettaz should remain between the sticks, while the defense is likely to feature Perr Schuurs, Ahmetcan Kaplan, and Deveron Fonville. The midfield quartet could consist of Darko Nejasmic, Kevin Kers, Clement Mutahi Bischoff, and Tobias Storm. Up front, the combination of Tjaronn Chery, Noé Lebreton, and likely Jamiro Monteiro (supported by rotating attackers) will look to break down Heerenveen’s shape.
Nijmegen
Goalkeeper: Gonzalo Crettaz
Defenders: Perr Schuurs, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Deveron Fonville
Midfielders: Darko Nejasmic, Kevin Kers, Clement Mutahi Bischoff, Tobias Storm
Attackers: Tjaronn Chery, Noé Lebreton, Jamiro Monteiro
Given recent form and trends, Heerenveen have won 55% of their last 20 home matches but have failed to win by 2+ goals in their last five against Nijmegen. For Nijmegen, they remain undefeated in 6 of their last 6 across all competitions and 80% of their last 30 Eredivisie games, yet are winless in 8 of their last 10 league matches. The data points to a stalemate, which aligns with the algorithm-probability prediction of a 44% chance of a draw, with yet another possible 2-2 on the cards.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Feyenoord | 24 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
2 |
Ajax | 21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
3 |
PSV Eindhoven | 20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 |
4 |
Twente | 20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
5 |
AZ Alkmaar | 20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
6 |
Fortuna Sittard | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
7 |
Heerenveen | 15 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
8 |
Groningen | 15 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
9 |
Go Ahead Eagles | 14 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
10 |
Cambuur | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 |
11 |
Utrecht | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -10 |
12 |
Nijmegen | 11 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 |
13 |
Excelsior | 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 |
14 |
Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 |
15 |
PEC Zwolle | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 |
16 |
SC Telstar | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 |
17 |
ADO Den Haag | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 |
18 |
Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 |
KuPS Kuopio are undefeated in 42 of their last 48 league games
Simba are undefeated in their last 33 Ligi Kuu Bara games in a row
Barracas Central Res. have won just 1 of their last 20 league games
Simba have won their last 18 league games
Under 2.5 goals have been scored in the 12 most recent Premier League games of Tusker FC
Tzeirei Tira have a poor record of 9 consecutive losses in Liga Alef South
PSBS Biak Numfor are on an unfortunate streak of 7 losses by 3 or more goals in a row in Liga 2
Teuta Durres have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 Super League games
FC Maardu are on an unfortunate streak of 5 Esiliiga games where they have not managed to score a goal
In Flamurtari Vlore's 3 most recent League 1 clashes, they have managed to win at both half time and full time
There are no losses for Al Ahli in 38 of their most recent 44 games (Professional League)
In their last 20 games in S-League, Tanjong Pagar Utd have a poor record of just 3 wins
Leoben have lost their last 19 league games
No defeats can be found in RC Kouba's 16 most recent games in Ligue 2
In 14 of their most recent matches in Junioren Bundesliga, Babelsberg U19 have seen over 2.5 goals scored
Hapoel Acre haven't scored a single goal in all of their last 11 Liga Leumit games
Newroz SC (IRQ) have kept a clean sheet in their last 9 Stars League games
Union Berlin U19 have won their last 8 Junioren Bundesliga games in a row
Klingenbach have succeeded in winning at both half time and full time in their 6 most recent Landesliga Burgenland clashes
Taghit have lost by 2+ goals all of their last 3 Ligue 2 games
In their last 68 games in all competitions, Harborough Town have recorded 59 undefeated encounters
No defeats can be found in AEK's 31 most recent games in Super League
In their last 20 games in all competitions, Burnley have recorded only 1 wins
We have seen 13 consecutive defeats in the most recent games in Superliga Women of Vasas Femina W
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in the 13 most recent games in 2. Liga of FC Liefering
The team of The New Saints have managed to win their last 13 games in Premier
Levadiakos haven't scored a goal in their last 9 league games
FC Tokyo have managed to keep a clean sheet in their last 7 league games
Tartu JK Welco have achieved a 6 game half time/full time winning streak in Esiliiga
We have seen 5 consecutive defeats by a margin of 2+ goals in the most recent Super League run of Panetolikos
In their last 68 games in all competitions, Harborough Town have recorded 59 undefeated encounters
Simba are undefeated in their last 33 Ligi Kuu Bara games in a row
In their last 20 games in all competitions, Burnley have recorded only 1 wins
Leoben have lost their last 19 league games
Simba have won their last 18 league games
In 14 of their most recent matches in Junioren Bundesliga, Babelsberg U19 have seen over 2.5 goals scored
Hapoel Acre haven't scored a single goal in all of their last 11 Liga Leumit games
Newroz SC (IRQ) have kept a clean sheet in their last 9 Stars League games
Tartu JK Welco have achieved a 6 game half time/full time winning streak in Esiliiga
An unfortunate run of 6 straight defeats in half time/full time make up the Süper Lig campaign of Eyüpspor











