cal Football is Mathematics
More
More
Previews Trends Top Trends Livescore Injured players Team Comparison
Settings
Time Zone
cfimg
COEF

    Heerenveen Host Stubborn Nijmegen: Draw Specialists Meet at Abe Lenstra Stadion

    Heerenveen vs Nijmegen - 10/31/2026

    Heerenveen Host Stubborn Nijmegen: Draw Specialists Meet at Abe Lenstra Stadion
    10/26/2026 95

    Momentum and resilience shape the narrative as Heerenveen welcome Nijmegen to the Abe Lenstra Stadion in Eredivisie’s regular season. With both sides displaying distinct yet effective approaches, the battle on 31 October promises a contest shaped by fine margins, recent trends, and a history that knows how to produce goals.

    Heerenveen find themselves in seventh place after ten matches, riding on a mix of attacking drive and solid spells at the back. With 18 goals scored and 13 conceded, their matches often see plenty of action, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.3 against per game.

    Robin Veldman’s side have performed respectably at home, keeping five clean sheets in the last 12 and remaining undefeated in 80% of their last 15 at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Notably, Heerenveen have drawn two of their last four home games against Nijmegen, hinting at a closely-fought fixture ahead.

    Nijmegen, sitting 12th, are the definition of difficult to beat lately. Dick Schreuder’s men are undefeated in 6 of their last 6 in all competitions and have turned the draw into a recurring result, finishing level in 50% of their last 12 overall and 50% of their last 18 Eredivisie fixtures. Despite being winless in 8 of their last 10 league matches, their ability to deny opponents three points is a key theme.

    Previous encounters between these teams have produced drama and goals. Their last head-to-head, back in March, finished 2-2 at Nijmegen’s Goffertstadion. The hosts dominated possession with 54% and tallied 22 shots (10 on target), showcasing attacking intent. Heerenveen, with only 11 shots and five on target, proved clinical, ensuring parity. Key moments came from Tjaronn Chery, who scored twice for Nijmegen, while Jacob Trenskow and Ringo Meerveld struck for Heerenveen.

    Nijmegen registered 76 dangerous attacks compared to Heerenveen’s 28 in that meeting, suggesting Schreuder’s tactics have the edge in sustained forward pressure. Yet Heerenveen’s efficiency in front of goal prevented a home victory, indicating how closely matched these sides are.

    Heerenveen’s recent league outings reinforce their status as a team comfortable in transition and able to find the net. In their last six matches, they’ve won three, drawn one, and lost two, scoring an average of 2.17 goals per match. At home, they maintain a strong average of 2 goals per game with a balanced defensive record.

    Nijmegen, for their part, have made low scoring their trademark away from home but retain composure under pressure. Their last six have seen five draws and a single win, with 1.83 goals per game and 1.5 conceded. What stands out, though, is their possession play in recent matches, including a commanding 74% in their 2-2 home draw with Fortuna Sittard.

    Turning to probable lineups, Heerenveen are expected to stick to their trusted 4-2-3-1, missing Dirk Proper and Levi Smans through injury. Expect Bernt Klaverboer in goal, with a likely back four of Maas Willemsen, Sam Kersten, Vasilios Zagaritis, and Oliver Braude. The midfield will build around Maxence Rivera, Nolhan Courtens, Marcus Linday, Ringo Meerveld, and Jacob Trenskow, supporting Dylan Vente at the spearhead.

    Heerenveen

    Goalkeeper: Bernt Klaverboer

    Defenders: Maas Willemsen, Sam Kersten, Vasilios Zagaritis, Oliver Braude

    Midfielders: Maxence Rivera, Nolhan Courtens, Marcus Linday, Ringo Meerveld, Jacob Trenskow

    Attackers: Dylan Vente

    For Nijmegen, a 3-4-2-1 setup is anticipated, with absences including Freek Entius, Bryan Linssen, Emre Mor, Philippe Sandler, Bram Nuytinck, Dele Thomas, and Dusan Tadic. Gonzalo Crettaz should remain between the sticks, while the defense is likely to feature Perr Schuurs, Ahmetcan Kaplan, and Deveron Fonville. The midfield quartet could consist of Darko Nejasmic, Kevin Kers, Clement Mutahi Bischoff, and Tobias Storm. Up front, the combination of Tjaronn Chery, Noé Lebreton, and likely Jamiro Monteiro (supported by rotating attackers) will look to break down Heerenveen’s shape.

    Nijmegen

    Goalkeeper: Gonzalo Crettaz

    Defenders: Perr Schuurs, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Deveron Fonville

    Midfielders: Darko Nejasmic, Kevin Kers, Clement Mutahi Bischoff, Tobias Storm

    Attackers: Tjaronn Chery, Noé Lebreton, Jamiro Monteiro

    Given recent form and trends, Heerenveen have won 55% of their last 20 home matches but have failed to win by 2+ goals in their last five against Nijmegen. For Nijmegen, they remain undefeated in 6 of their last 6 across all competitions and 80% of their last 30 Eredivisie games, yet are winless in 8 of their last 10 league matches. The data points to a stalemate, which aligns with the algorithm-probability prediction of a 44% chance of a draw, with yet another possible 2-2 on the cards.

    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    1X2
    Pred
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    Coef.
    Score
    Live
    coef.
    Nl1
    324424
    X2-2
    2 - 2
    3.06
    54°F
    +290
    +105 +290 +210 no no no
    -
    - - -
    <
    October 2026
    Football predictions
    >
    {"9":"September 2026","10":"October 2026","11":"November 2026"}
    MonTueWedThuFriSatSun
    01020304
    05060708091011
    12131415161718
    19202122232425
    262728293031

    Regular Season

    OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
    1
    Feyenoord 24 10 7 3 0 21
    2
    Ajax 21 10 6 3 1 16
    3
    PSV Eindhoven 20 10 6 2 2 15
    4
    Twente 20 10 6 2 2 9
    5
    AZ Alkmaar 20 10 6 2 2 8
    6
    Fortuna Sittard 18 10 5 3 2 0
    7
    Heerenveen 15 10 4 3 3 5
    8
    Groningen 15 10 4 3 3 3
    9
    Go Ahead Eagles 14 10 3 5 2 0
    10
    Cambuur 12 10 3 3 4 -3
    11
    Utrecht 12 10 3 3 4 -10
    12
    Nijmegen 11 10 2 5 3 -1
    13
    Excelsior 11 10 3 2 5 -3
    14
    Sparta Rotterdam 9 10 2 3 5 -7
    15
    PEC Zwolle 8 10 2 2 6 -12
    16
    SC Telstar 6 10 1 3 6 -9
    17
    ADO Den Haag 6 10 1 3 6 -10
    18
    Willem II Tilburg 2 10 0 2 8 -22
    Champions League
    Champions League Qual.
    Europa League Qual.
    Europa Conference League playoffs
    Relegation Play-off
    Relegation

    Pick of the day

    1st
    7th
    Atlético Nacional are undefeated in their last 26 home matches in Primera A.

    Top trends