Erzurumspor Aim to Extend Strong Home Run Against Attack-minded Arca Çorum FK

Erzurum BB vs Çorum Belediyesi - 10/31/2026

10/27/2026 121

Erzurumspor FK welcome Arca Çorum FK to Kazım Karabekir Stadium for a competitive Süper Lig contest between two promoted sides separated by a single point. The hosts are protecting a strong home run, while Burak Yılmaz’s visitors bring one of the division’s livelier attacks.

Key Points

• Erzurumspor have won their last three home league matches without conceding.
• Arca Çorum FK have scored 18 goals in nine league games, but have also conceded 15.
• Çorum’s new-look attack includes Cengiz Ünder, Mohamed Diomande, Alexandros Kyziridis and loan signing Youssoufa Moukoko.
• The statistical model gives Erzurumspor FK a 38% chance of victory and favours a 2-0 home win.

Recent History

Erzurumspor enter this fixture with confidence against Arca Çorum FK, having remained unbeaten in their last three home matches against them. This run includes two wins and a draw, highlighting a clear home advantage over their visitors in recent meetings. This local dominance is likely to play a psychological role as both teams line up for this Süper Lig encounter.

Recent Form

Across their last six matches, Erzurumspor have secured four wins, one draw and just a single loss, averaging 1.17 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded per game. Their recent home form is even more impressive, with three consecutive victories, no goals conceded, and an average of 1.33 goals scored per match. While their possession rates remain below 40%, Erzurumspor are efficient with their time on the ball.

Arca Çorum FK have also enjoyed relative consistency, winning four of their last six matches, but with two defeats. They are substantially more prolific, averaging 2.33 goals scored and 1 conceded per match. On the road they pose a significant attacking threat, as reflected in a steady stream of shots on goal and high possession percentages, regularly above 50%.

Overall Performance

After nine league matches, Erzurumspor sit 8th with 14 points, collecting four wins, two draws and three defeats. Their goal difference stands at -4, largely due to some heavy losses, but their defense has tightened recently and they arrive after a 3-1 win at Gaziantep FK.

Arca Çorum FK follow closely in 9th place with 13 points and a goal difference of +3, having netted 18 times already. Their attack ranks among the best in mid-table, yet defensive frailties have been exposed, conceding 15 goals so far.

Main Trends

Erzurumspor are unbeaten in 32 of their last 40 matches in all competitions. At home, they have won 10 of their last 12 matches and kept 7 clean sheets. Notably, an undefeated home record in 90% of their last 30 games and wins by two or more goals in 7 of their last 12 home matches underline their stadium's fortress reputation. Three straight home clean-sheet wins add authority to their defense.

Arca Çorum FK, meanwhile, have been victorious in 18 of their last 30 matches in all competitions. Away from home, their record is mixed, with just half of their last 16 away games resulting in wins and three losses out of the last six. Yet, they have managed to win by two or more goals in 40% of their last ten away matches, indicating their aptitude for decisive offensive displays on their travels.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Serkan Özbalta has kept Erzurumspor compact in a back-five shape, with Ertuğrul Taşkıran protected by Orhan Ovacıklı, Amar Gerxhaliu, Nihad Mujakic and Guram Giorbelidze. Mustafa Yumlu started the 3-1 win at Gaziantep but came off early, so Yakup Kırtay is the natural replacement if the captain is not risked.

Erzurumspor probable XI: Ertuğrul Taşkıran; Orhan Ovacıklı, Amar Gerxhaliu, Yakup Kırtay, Nihad Mujakic, Guram Giorbelidze; Brandon Baiye, Elisha Owusu, Martín Rodríguez; Miguel Cardoso, Eren Tozlu.

Cardoso and Eren Tozlu both scored in the 2-0 win over Eyüpspor, while Cardoso was on target again at Gaziantep. That gives Erzurumspor a settled attacking spine despite their generally cautious possession profile.

Çorum changed manager in October, appointing Burak Yılmaz, and have since leaned on a bolder, higher-ceiling squad. Cengiz Ünder, Mohamed Diomande and Alexandros Kyziridis have all become important starters, while Youssoufa Moukoko has been used from the bench and scored the winner against Çaykur Rizespor. Çağlar Söyüncü started at Göztepe but was withdrawn in the first half, making him a doubt rather than a confirmed absentee.

Arca Çorum FK probable XI: Marcos Felipe; Gökhan Sazdağı, Alexandre Penetra, Hrvoje Smolcic, Berat Özdemir; Ylber Ramadani, Mohamed Diomande; Cengiz Ünder, Jesús Ramírez, Alexandros Kyziridis; Mame Thiam.

Ramadani could return to the midfield after starting on the bench at Göztepe, while Moukoko gives Yılmaz a genuine alternative through the middle if he wants more penalty-box presence. Çorum’s attacking depth is stronger than their league position suggests, but defensive balance remains the key concern.

Prediction

The statistical model gives Erzurumspor a 38% probability of clinching victory, favoring them for a 2-0 win. Their unbeaten record against Arca Çorum FK at home and recent ability to secure clean sheets provide the foundation for this prediction. However, Çorum’s scoring threat, even on the road, suggests this fixture could see chances at both ends. The hosts’ disciplined defense and home consistency make them slight favorites to edge the contest.

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Erzurum BB Çorum Belediyesi 31/10/2026 11:30

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