Basaksehir Look to Extend Samsunspor's Miserable Streak in Süper Lig Showdown

Basaksehir vs Samsunspor - 11/01/2026

10/27/2026 96

Basaksehir head back to the Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu aiming to capitalize on Samsunspor's current struggles. The hosts may sense an opportunity to climb further up the Süper Lig table, while the visitors desperately need a response after a damaging run of defeats.

Key Points

• Basaksehir sit 12th with 11 points from nine matches, while Samsunspor are 17th with four points.
• Samsunspor have lost seven straight matches and have conceded heavily across that run.
• Afonso Sousa is suspended for Samsunspor after his red card against Amed, with Celil Yüksel, Fatih Kaya and Jaurès Assoumou also sidelined.
• The locked prediction backs Basaksehir to win, with a 63% home victory chance and a likely 3-0 scoreline.

Recent History

Recent history between these two sides appears to favor Basaksehir. Across the last six recorded meetings, Basaksehir have won four, drawn one and lost one, while the last three have all gone their way without Samsunspor scoring.

A closer look at Basaksehir's recent home matches paints a more optimistic picture than their overall results. They have remained competitive in Istanbul, with wins over Kocaelispor, Gençlerbirliği and Gaziantep among their recent home work, and their home scoring rate has been notably stronger than their away output.

Recent Form

Basaksehir, under Nuri Şahin, sit 12th with three wins, two draws and four losses after nine league matches. Their latest league outing ended in a 2-0 defeat away to Beşiktaş, but before that they had beaten Gaziantep 2-1 and drawn 0-0 at Konyaspor. The pattern is mixed rather than dominant, although the hosts have shown they can create enough at home to punish fragile opponents.

Samsunspor, by striking contrast, are navigating a crisis. The visitors have lost seven consecutive matches in all competitions, including a 1-2 home defeat to Amed, a 1-4 loss at Kasımpaşa and a 0-3 home defeat to Trabzonspor. Their offensive effort has not been completely absent, but their issues have been at both ends of the pitch where lapses are punished decisively.

Even on their travels, the numbers offer little solace. Samsunspor have struggled to turn possession and shot volume into points, and a defensive record of 21 goals conceded in nine league matches leaves them with the second-worst back line in the division at this stage.

Samsunspor, currently 17th, are at the opposite end of the table, with just one win and one draw in nine league outings. Nenad Bjelica's side have not lacked fight, and Logi Tómasson scored against Amed, but their confidence and game management are under severe pressure.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Lineups could provide an extra edge. Basaksehir do not have a confirmed first-XI suspension for this fixture and are likely to maintain their 4-2-3-1 structure. The latest competitive lineup points strongly toward Muhammed Şengezer continuing in goal, with Saba Kharebashvili and Michal Karbownik as the full-backs and Ousseynou Ba alongside Emin Bayram in central defence.

Basaksehir Probable Starting XI: Goalkeeper: Muhammed Şengezer. Defenders: Saba Kharebashvili, Ousseynou Ba, Emin Bayram, Michal Karbownik. Midfielders: Umut Güneş, Olivier Kemen, Andreas Skov Olsen, Umut Bozok, Yusuf Sarı. Attacker: Eldor Shomurodov.

That XI would keep Andreas Skov Olsen and Yusuf Sarı as the main wide outlets, with Eldor Shomurodov leading the line after staying central to Nuri Şahin's recent attacking plan. Ivan Brnic, Jakub Kaluzinski, Edin Visca and Bertuğ Yıldırım remain alternative options if Şahin wants fresher legs.

Samsunspor are without Afonso Sousa after his second-yellow dismissal against Amed, while Celil Yüksel, Fatih Kaya and Jaurès Assoumou remain injury absences. Emre Kılınç has also been dealing with a fitness issue, so a cautious approach is likely. Bjelica is expected to lean again toward the 3-5-2 used last time, with Bilal Bayazıt preferred in goal after starting against Amed.

Samsunspor Probable Starting XI: Goalkeeper: Bilal Bayazıt. Defenders: Strahinja Eraković, Gabriele Guarino, Igor Drapiński. Midfielders: Joe Mendes, Antoine Sekongo, Elliot Watt, Samed Onur, Logi Tómasson. Attackers: Tanguy Coulibaly, Mohamed Bayo.

Sousa's suspension removes one of Samsunspor's central creative options, so Elliot Watt's passing range and Tómasson's left-sided threat become even more important if the visitors are to escape pressure and support Mohamed Bayo.

Prediction

The probability algorithm strongly backs Basaksehir, assigning a 63% chance of victory, with a likely scoreline of 3-0. Samsunspor's ongoing run of seven consecutive losses strongly suggests that this could become another difficult outing.

Ultimately, while Basaksehir's overall form has included defensive frailty, their home advantage, superior recent head-to-head record and Samsunspor's current instability give them a clear edge. Samsunspor will need a dramatic turnaround to disrupt Basaksehir's dominance in this matchup.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

Tr1

Basaksehir Samsunspor 01/11/2026 14:00

632215

13-0

3 - 0

2.84

63°F

-125

-125 +260 +310 down no no

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