Football is Mathematics
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The Professional League clash between Abha Club and Al Faisaly (KSA) at the Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City is set to present a fascinating battle of two teams both searching for direction early in the season. With both sides struggling to find consistent winning form lately, the statistics suggest a closely contested encounter might be on the cards.
In their most recent previous meeting, Abha Club and Al Faisaly (KSA) couldn’t be separated, sharing the points in a 2-2 draw. That fixture offered plenty for analysis, as Al Faisaly commanded the majority of the ball with 68% possession, while Abha sat back at 32% and countered with intent. Al Faisaly created more dangerous attacks, recording 88 compared to Abha’s 65, but both teams were level for shots on target with four each.
The goals in that match arrived at key intervals, with Muralha breaking the deadlock for Al Faisaly before Sylla Sow answered for Abha. Luvannor then played a starring role for the visitors, notching a goal and a late penalty, ensuring drama deep into the second half. Abha’s defensive resilience, despite being under prolonged pressure, was notable, yet both sides will feel opportunities were missed to secure the win.
Turning to recent form, Abha Club have found wins hard to come by. Across their last six league matches, they have not registered a single victory, picking up two draws and losing four, while averaging only 0.67 goals scored per game and conceding 1.83. At home specifically, the struggles have persisted, with one point from their last three, and only two goals scored during that span.
Digging deeper into home trends, Abha have lost three of their last six at their own stadium but do have a credible long-term record – undefeated in 33 of their last 40 home matches in all competitions. In the league, the home side has emerged victorious in 67% of their last 15 outings at this venue, scoring at an average of 1.67 goals and conceding just 0.8 per match – an indication that their fortunes could improve on familiar ground.
Al Faisaly (KSA) have also endured a difficult patch, winless in eight of their last eight matches in all competitions. Their away form tells a more positive story, remaining undefeated in 83% of their last 12 games on the road in all competitions and winning two-thirds of those matches. However, a lack of attacking thrust has been noticeable, scoring just three goals in their last six league matches, and conceding nine.
Despite these challenges, the visitors have proven hard to break down away from home and are capable of grinding out results, as seen in their goalless stalemates against Ettifaq FC and Al Hazm this campaign. The away side’s defensive organization may again be their cornerstone.
In terms of probable lineups, neither team is hampered by sidelined players. Consistency in selections is expected based on recent matches.
Abha Club probable lineup (4-2-3-1):
Goalkeeper: Donovan Léon
Defenders: Juriën Gaari, Abdulbasit Hindi, Mohammed Al-Zaid, Safwan Al-Johani
Midfielders: Feras Al-Ghamdi, Nabil Fekir, Alimami Gory, Abdullah Al-Fahad, Keshim Al-Qahtani
Attackers: Michy Batshuayi
Al Faisaly (KSA) probable lineup (4-1-4-1):
Goalkeeper: Fernando Pacheco
Defenders: Yaseen Barnawi, Abdoulaye Seck, Mohammed Al-Shanqiti, Mohammed Jahfali
Midfielders: Andrei Girotto, Eid Al-Muwallad, Christian Bassogog, Jaime Seoane, Abdulrahman Al-Shereaf
Attackers: Alexandre Mendy
Looking at head-to-head records, these sides have regularly played out tight matches. The last four at Abha’s ground have seen two end in draws, underlining the evenly matched nature of their encounters.
Taking all trends into account, defenses are likely to enjoy another strong day. Low scoring and few clear chances could be the prevailing theme, as both teams have recently found it difficult to convert opportunities. Statistical models and historical data give the draw a 48% probability of being the outcome, and with both sides desperately needing a positive result, this fixture is poised for a calculated and tactical battle in the midfield areas.
In summary, Abha Club’s sturdy home traditions will face a robust Al Faisaly (KSA) side that has become adept at taking points on the road. Another tight contest seems destined, with neither squad showing the ruthless edge needed to secure all three points in their current form.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Al Hilal | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
2 |
Ittihad Jeddah | 17 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
3 |
Al Nassr | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
4 |
Qadisiya Khubar | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
5 |
Neom SC | 15 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
6 |
Al Ahli | 12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
7 |
Al Kholood Club | 12 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
8 |
Al Dir'iya | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
9 |
Ettifaq FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
10 |
Al Hazm | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 |
11 |
Al Riyadh SC | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 |
12 |
Al Feiha | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 |
13 |
Al Khaleej Club | 5 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -7 |
14 |
Shabab Riyadh | 4 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 |
15 |
Al Fateh (KSA) | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 |
16 |
Al Faisaly (KSA) | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 |
17 |
Taawoun | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 |
18 |
Abha Club | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 |
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