Football is Mathematics
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Borussia Dortmund will look to maintain their flawless Bundesliga start as Werder Bremen make the trip to Signal Iduna Park on October 9, 2026. Dortmund enter the international break top after four wins from four, while Bremen have responded well to an opening defeat and arrive with renewed belief.
The head-to-head record in Dortmund reflects a clear advantage for the hosts. BVB won this fixture 3-0 in January, when Nico Schlotterbeck, Marcel Sabitzer and Serhou Guirassy scored, underlining their ability to secure results on home turf. That trend, coupled with a broader edge in recent meetings, provides a historical foundation for confidence in the hosts.
Delving further, Dortmund have often been able to assert attacking dominance in this fixture, and their latest home meeting with Bremen ended in a clean-sheet win by three goals.
Dortmund's last six competitive matches have been a showcase of efficiency and attacking strength. They have won six in a row since the Super Cup defeat to Bayern Munich, while their Bundesliga campaign has brought victories over Hamburg, Hoffenheim, Paderborn and Stuttgart.
Werder Bremen, in contrast, have recovered impressively from a 4-1 opening defeat at Freiburg. Daniel Thioune's side beat RB Leipzig 3-1, drew 1-1 at Köln and then came from 2-0 down to beat Augsburg 3-2, with Marco Grüll, Füllkrug and Mitchell Weiser completing the comeback.
Zooming out, Dortmund remain extremely strong at Signal Iduna Park. In their last 30 home matches, they have been difficult to beat, combining defensive solidity with consistent attacking output. Their current run also carries confidence from Niko Kovac's settled back three and the return of Nico Schlotterbeck.
In league action, Dortmund have continued to win convincingly and manage tight games. Four Bundesliga wins from four have put Kovac's side top heading into the break, and the 1-0 victory at Stuttgart showed they can control a high-level away match as well as win open contests.
Bremen's away trajectory is more complicated. They were well beaten at Freiburg but took a point in Köln, helped by Karl Hein's penalty save, and they now have a sharper attacking edge through Füllkrug, Grüll, Chuki and Eren Dinkçi. Their defensive record still leaves questions before a trip to one of the league's toughest grounds.
Borussia Dortmund
Goalkeeper: Gregor Kobel
Defenders: Joane Gadou, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck
Midfielders: Julian Ryerson, Joey Veerman, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson
Attackers: Ethan Nwaneri, Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy
Dortmund are expected to retain their 3-4-2-1 shape. Emre Can and Giannis Konstantelias are longer-term ACL absences, while Justin Lerma and Filippo Mane missed the Stuttgart game with muscle injuries. Schlotterbeck's return has strengthened the back three, and Beier's winner at Stuttgart keeps him firmly in the attacking picture, although Jobe Bellingham and Konstantinos Karetsas remain strong options.
Werder Bremen
Goalkeeper: Karl Hein
Defenders: Amos Pieper, Marco Friedl, Olivier Deman
Midfielders: Arthur, Youri Regeer, Ludovit Reis, Marco Grüll
Attackers: Eren Dinkçi, Niclas Füllkrug, Chuki
Bremen have settled into a 3-4-3, and Thioune has trusted the same core in recent matches. Keke Topp, Jens Stage, Justin Njinmah and Moussa Ndiaye have been working through injuries, while Felix Agu has been building fitness. Mitchell Weiser's late winner against Augsburg gives Bremen another option, but after a long layoff he may remain more likely to impact the match from the bench.
Dortmund's body of work across all competitions remains strong, and their home form is even more convincing. The summer additions of Gadou, Veerman, Karetsas and Nwaneri have refreshed Kovac's squad, while Guirassy continues to provide a central scoring threat.
Bremen have also changed the tone of their season quickly. Füllkrug's return has immediately given them a focal point and reliable penalty-box presence, while Chuki's creativity and Grüll's recent output have made them less predictable in attack. The concern is whether they can defend for long spells against Dortmund's wing-backs and rotating forwards.
With Dortmund in peak form and Bremen still searching for complete reliability away from home, the home side goes into this encounter as clear favorites. The supplied model predicts over 2.5 goals in the match, with a 2-1 scoreline most likely and a 50% chance of a Dortmund victory. The statistics suggest Werder Bremen might score, but Dortmund's efficiency, defensive record and home dominance point to another three points to extend their perfect start to the season.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Borussia Dortmund | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
2 |
Bayern Munich | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 |
3 |
Freiburg | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
4 |
Augsburg | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
5 |
Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
6 |
Mainz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
7 |
SV Elversberg | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
8 |
Werder Bremen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
9 |
RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
11 |
Schalke 04 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
12 |
Paderborn | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
13 |
Köln | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
14 |
Hoffenheim | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 |
15 |
Stuttgart | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 |
16 |
Hamburger SV | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 |
17 |
Union Berlin | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 |
18 |
Borussia M'gladbach | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 |
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Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
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Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions











