Augsburg Aim to Defy the Odds as Bayern Munich Visit WWK Arena

Augsburg vs Bayern Munich - 10/10/2026

09/21/2026 144

Bayern Munich travel to WWK Arena seeking to maintain their dominant start to the Bundesliga campaign. Augsburg, buoyed by a lively opening month and last season's shock win in Munich, hope recent history offers a blueprint for another surprise result against the champions.

Key Points

• Augsburg have taken seven points from their opening four Bundesliga matches and scored 11 goals.
• Bayern arrive after a 7-0 win over Union Berlin, with Michael Olise scoring a hat-trick and Harry Kane adding two more.
• Anton Kade remains Augsburg's key fitness question after missing recent squads, while Konrad Laimer has been absent for Bayern with an adductor issue.
• Forebet gives Bayern Munich a 53% win probability, with a 3-2 away victory predicted.

Previous Encounter

The last meeting between these two sides ended in a shock 2-1 victory for Augsburg at the Allianz Arena in January. Despite Bayern Munich controlling long spells and taking the lead through Hiroki Ito, the visitors struck twice in six second-half minutes through Arthur Chaves and Han-Noah Massengo. Augsburg's clinical edge and resilience under pressure proved decisive in one of the more memorable matches of the previous Bundesliga season.

That result remains significant, as it snapped a long Bayern unbeaten stretch against Augsburg and offered a reminder that this fixture can turn on narrow margins, even when possession and attacking territory are heavily in Munich's favor.

Recent Form

Augsburg's start to the Bundesliga has been a story of unpredictability. Their first four league outings produced two wins, one draw and one defeat, highlighted by a 4-1 triumph away at Eintracht Frankfurt and a hard-earned 2-2 draw with Bayer Leverkusen. Augsburg have scored 11 goals in four league matches, but the 3-2 loss at Werder Bremen also underlined their defensive volatility.

At home, Augsburg have shown resilience, opening with a 3-0 dispatching of Schalke 04 before holding Leverkusen. Michael Gregoritsch has quickly become central to Manuel Baum's attack, while Fabian Rieder's set-piece quality and leadership remain important to the team's structure.

Bayern Munich, on the other hand, have been in menacing form under Vincent Kompany. The Bavarians hammered Union Berlin 7-0 in their latest league outing, with Michael Olise producing a hat-trick and Harry Kane reaching another major Bundesliga scoring milestone. That response followed a controlled 2-1 win at promoted Elversberg and a goalless draw at Schalke.

Notably, Bayern's strongest XI has taken shape again, with Manuel Neuer, Joshua Kimmich, Jamal Musiala, Luis Díaz and Alphonso Davies all returning to the side against Union. Their attacking variety remains the clearest separator, even if the away draw at Schalke showed that disciplined opponents can still slow them down.

Overall Performance and Main Trends

Augsburg's broader record shows a solid recent run, winning 6 of their last 12 matches in all competitions and remaining undefeated in 83% of those. At WWK Arena, they have not lost in 87% of their last 15 home matches and have kept clean sheets in 40% of those. Despite this, history tilts heavily toward Bayern Munich, with Augsburg losing most of their recent home meetings against the visitors.

Bayern's dominance is sustained by remarkable numbers: an 80% win rate in their last 20 matches across all competitions and an 80% win rate in their last 15 Bundesliga games. The team is undefeated in 39 of its last 40 Bundesliga matches and has won by two or more goals in 25 of its last 40 league games. Their attacking ceiling remains the strongest trend in the matchup.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Augsburg have leaned on a 3-4-2-1 shape under Manuel Baum, with Finn Dahmen settled in goal and Chrislain Matsima anchoring the back line. Anton Kade, a scorer on the opening weekend, has missed recent squads following a muscle injury and remains the main fitness issue affecting the attacking selection. Arijon Ibrahimovic, on loan from Bayern, and Mert Kömür are competing for a place behind Gregoritsch.

Augsburg probable XI (3-4-2-1): Dahmen; Brackelmann, Matsima, Banks; Wolf, Massengo, Fellhauer, Behrens; Rieder, Ibrahimovic; Gregoritsch.

Bayern's most convincing recent team news came in the Union rout, where Kompany restored his first-choice core. Konrad Laimer has been absent with an adductor problem, so Josip Stanisic is the natural right-back if Laimer is not ready. Jonathan Tah and Dayot Upamecano look the preferred centre-back pairing, while Díaz, Musiala and Olise should support Kane.

Bayern Munich probable XI (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Stanisic, Upamecano, Tah, Davies; Kimmich, Pavlovic; Olise, Musiala, Díaz; Kane.

Prediction

With Bayern Munich's attacking statistics and defensive solidity, the visitors remain clear favorites. Augsburg's improved home displays and previous upset over Bayern cannot be discounted, but their defensive numbers and head-to-head record suggest the scale of their task.

Augsburg are well-drilled and resilient at home and should offer more resistance than most against Munich's firepower. However, the Forebet prediction algorithm assigns Bayern Munich a 53% probability to secure all three points. A keenly contested clash is in store, but the champions' depth and attacking variety could prove decisive, with a predicted scoreline of 3-2 in Munich's favor.

Home team
Away team

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Augsburg Bayern Munich 10/10/2026 15:30

163153

22-3

2 - 3

2.99

46°F

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