Football is Mathematics
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Union Berlin face an early-season test of resolve as newly promoted SV Elversberg arrive in the capital. With the hosts badly bruised by a difficult start and the visitors already proving they belong at this level, this is a revealing fixture for both clubs.
Union Berlin have found the early weeks of the season difficult, recording just one point from their opening four Bundesliga fixtures. Their most recent run tells a worrisome story: three straight league defeats against Bayern Munich (0-7), Bayer Leverkusen (0-4) and Schalke 04 (1-3), with only a wild 3-3 home draw against Eintracht Frankfurt to show for their efforts. Union have conceded 17 goals in four Bundesliga games, a figure that underlines how urgently Mauro Lustrinelli needs defensive control.
In contrast, SV Elversberg have shown impressive tenacity as newcomers to the top flight. Vincent Wagner's side opened with a historic 3-2 win over Bayer Leverkusen, followed it with a dramatic 4-3 victory at Borussia Mönchengladbach, pushed Bayern Munich hard in a 1-2 defeat and then took a goalless draw away to Schalke. Seven points from four matches is an excellent return for a first Bundesliga campaign, especially given the calibre of opposition already faced.
With SV Elversberg only just ascending to the Bundesliga for the first time, top-flight history between these two sides is effectively a blank page. Their first Bundesliga meeting will be a fascinating benchmark, as Union aim to reassert themselves at home against a club energised by recent momentum.
Union Berlin’s domestic record has taken a hit, and their home form has offered little comfort so far. The 3-3 draw with Frankfurt showed fighting spirit through late goals from Leopold Querfeld and Tim Skarke, but the 1-3 defeat to Schalke exposed the same structural issues that later reappeared at Leverkusen and Bayern.
For SV Elversberg, a strong foundation has been built around efficiency, brave pressing and a settled structure. Lukas Petkov, Cole Campbell and David Mokwa all scored in the opening win over Leverkusen, while Maurice Krattenmacher’s late double at Gladbach showed the depth Wagner can call on from the bench. Krattenmacher has already delivered one of the standout impact-substitute performances of the Bundesliga season, although Noah Darvich’s first league start at Schalke keeps the attacking-midfield competition open.
Union Berlin have been prone to heavy defeats, losing their last three league matches by at least two goals. Recent outings have seen their defence exposed repeatedly, while Emmanuel Latte Lath’s debut goal against Frankfurt remains the clearest sign of what their revamped attack can offer when supplied early.
Meanwhile, SV Elversberg’s approach has yielded results away from home with security and ambition. The 4-3 win at Borussia Mönchengladbach was chaotic but impressive, and the 0-0 draw at Schalke showed they can also compete in a tighter, more attritional game.
Union Berlin have leaned on Frederik Rönnow in goal since the opener, with Tom Rothe, Leopold Querfeld and Felix Uduokhai heavily involved in the back line. Christopher Trimmel returned to the starting side against Bayern, while Rani Khedira and Michel Aebischer remain central to the midfield. Livan Burcu and Woo-yeong Jeong offer mobility around Latte Lath, with Janik Haberer, Aljoscha Kemlein, Tim Skarke and András Schäfer also pushing for places.
Union Berlin probable XI: Frederik Rönnow; Christopher Trimmel, Leopold Querfeld, Felix Uduokhai, Tom Rothe; Rani Khedira, Michel Aebischer; Livan Burcu, Woo-yeong Jeong, András Schäfer; Emmanuel Latte Lath.
SV Elversberg have been more settled. Nicolas Kristof is established in goal behind Jan Gyamerah, Lukas Pinckert, Maximilian Rohr and Lasse Günther, with Felix Keidel and Lukasz Poreba anchoring midfield. Cole Campbell has added directness since joining from Borussia Dortmund, while David Mokwa has led the line throughout the opening run. Darvich, Francis Onyeka and Krattenmacher are the main selection calls behind the striker.
SV Elversberg probable XI: Nicolas Kristof; Jan Gyamerah, Lukas Pinckert, Maximilian Rohr, Lasse Günther; Felix Keidel, Lukasz Poreba; Lukas Petkov, Noah Darvich, Cole Campbell; David Mokwa.
Union Berlin’s last league outing was a heavy 0-7 defeat away to Bayern Munich, in which Michael Olise’s hat-trick and Harry Kane’s double punished them ruthlessly. Prior to that, they conceded four at Bayer Leverkusen without reply and lost 1-3 at home to Schalke despite creating enough moments to make the match competitive.
SV Elversberg showed commendable poise in holding Schalke to a goalless draw away from home, with Kristof and Pinckert important in a compact defensive display. Earlier, Elversberg outlasted Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-3 and made Bayern Munich work hard for three points in a tight 1-2 loss.
The algorithm suggests a disciplined, tactical affair with under 2.5 goals likely. Given their form, SV Elversberg are projected to secure victory: the most probable outcome is a 0-2 win for the visitors with a 40% probability. Union Berlin’s early struggles, combined with Elversberg’s cohesive performances, tilt expectations towards the away side maintaining their upward trajectory.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Borussia Dortmund | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
2 |
Bayern Munich | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 |
3 |
Freiburg | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
4 |
Augsburg | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
5 |
Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
6 |
Mainz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
7 |
SV Elversberg | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
8 |
Werder Bremen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
9 |
RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
11 |
Schalke 04 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
12 |
Paderborn | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
13 |
Köln | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
14 |
Hoffenheim | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 |
15 |
Stuttgart | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 |
16 |
Hamburger SV | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 |
17 |
Union Berlin | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 |
18 |
Borussia M'gladbach | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 |
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Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions











