Trabzonspor Seek Fourth Süper Lig Win as Samsunspor Aim to Halt Losing Streak

Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor - 10/10/2026

09/21/2026 81

Samsunspor host Trabzonspor at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadium on October 10, 2026, with the visitors buoyed by Thomas Reis's emphatic start and the hosts trying to avoid a fifth consecutive Süper Lig defeat.

Key Points

• Samsunspor have lost four straight league matches, scoring once and conceding nine in that run.
• Trabzonspor arrive after a 4-0 win over Galatasaray, with Mohamed Salah hitting a hat-trick.
• Thomas Reis, formerly of Samsunspor, has made an immediate impact since taking charge of Trabzonspor.
• Analytical models place the probability of a Trabzonspor win at 46%.

Recent History

A glance at the recent history between these sides reveals a tight set of encounters. Across their last six meetings, Samsunspor have claimed two wins, while Trabzonspor have managed one victory, with three matches ending all square. This balanced head to head record could provide a degree of encouragement for the hosts, despite their current struggles.

Recent Form and Trends

Samsunspor's recent form, however, paints a challenging scenario. They have lost four straight matches, winless in all of their last four, and managed just a single goal in that stretch while conceding nine. Over the past six games, their record stands at one win, one draw and four defeats, suggesting a side short on confidence in both penalty areas.

The story becomes more concerning when focusing on matches at the Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadium. Their last three at home saw them fail to register a win, earning just one point from a possible nine and conceding an average of over three goals per game.

The underlying numbers highlight a team with potential but lacking end product: averaging 13 total shots and 2.67 on target per match over their last six, and boasting a ball possession rate above 56%. However, those advantages have not translated into results, hinting at inefficiency in the final third and defensive frailty on transitions.

On the other side, Trabzonspor enter this fixture with momentum. Winning three of their last six and scoring at a rate of two goals per match, they have demonstrated more cutting edge up front. Their most recent league game was a statement 4-0 success over Galatasaray, with Mohamed Salah scoring a hat-trick in a dominant first win under Thomas Reis.

Even on their travels, Trabzonspor have shown flashes of quality, though they will be looking to improve their away record after recent losses, including a 2-1 defeat at Amedspor and a narrow 1-0 setback at Konyaspor. Despite that, over their last 14 away fixtures, they have won half and averaged 1.5 goals scored to just 1.21 conceded per game.

Diving deeper into their league performance, Trabzonspor have won 55% of their past 20 Süper Lig matches and remain undefeated in 33 of their last 40 league outings. These numbers underline a resilient squad capable of grinding results, especially against sides on a difficult run. Their 2026 Turkish Cup triumph also keeps confidence high around a squad strengthened by major names such as André Onana, Fabinho and Salah.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Looking at probable lineups, Thorsten Fink has largely rotated between a 4-3-3, 4-2-3-1 and 4-4-2 in recent matches. The latest defeat at Erzurumspor again showed the need for more attacking punch, although Mohamed Bayo had a goal ruled out for offside and Joe Mendes threatened from wide areas. Tanguy Coulibaly's return from the bench gives Samsunspor another option, but Bayo is likely to keep the central striker role.

Samsunspor probable lineup: Goalkeeper: Okan Kocuk; Defenders: Joe Mendes, Strahinja Erakovic, Gabriele Guarino, William Watt; Midfielders: Celil Yüksel, Logi Tómasson, Samed Onur; Attackers: Emre Kılınç, Mohamed Bayo, Saikuba Jarju.

For Trabzonspor, Reis has already made a notable selection call by using Franculino Dju through the middle against Galatasaray, with Paul Onuachu introduced from the bench. After that 4-0 performance, the case for continuity is strong. Noah Saviolo also strengthened his claim with a goal, while Melih Kabasakal's role alongside Fabinho gave the midfield better balance.

Trabzonspor probable lineup: Goalkeeper: André Onana; Defenders: Wagner Pina, Stefan Savić, Chibuike Nwaiwu, Mustafa Eskihellaç; Midfielders: Fabinho, Melih Kabasakal, Ernest Muçi; Attackers: Mohamed Salah, Franculino Dju, Noah Saviolo.

Main Trends

Examining the trends, Samsunspor have lost five of their last ten in all competitions and are winless in five of their past six. They managed clean sheets in just 41% of their last 37 home games, with a defensive record that continues to worry.

Trabzonspor, on the contrary, have picked up six wins in their past 12 matches in all competitions. Their away form features seven wins from their last 14 and an average of 4.5 shots on goal per match when not at home.

Prediction

All statistical indicators point toward Trabzonspor entering this fixture as favorites, bolstered by recent attacking exploits and a reliable defensive base. Analytical models place the probability of a Trabzonspor win at 46%.

While Samsunspor's possession-based game could create opportunities, their current form and difficulty breaking down robust opponents stand as significant hurdles. Trabzonspor's efficiency in front of goal, Salah's latest display and Reis's immediate impact point toward them continuing their positive start, though previous even head to head outcomes mean Samsunspor cannot be completely overlooked if defensive improvements surface.

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Samsunspor Trabzonspor 10/10/2026 15:00

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