Football is Mathematics
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Basaksehir return to their home turf searching for momentum in the Süper Lig, with Orhan Ak’s Gaziantep hoping to recover from a heavy home defeat and end their struggles on the road. Both teams are under pressure after mixed starts, and this matchup could provide a crucial early-season barometer for their campaigns.
The last clash between these sides on 16 May 2026 saw Basaksehir win 2-1 away at Gaziantep. Davie Selke struck early, Eldor Shomurodov doubled the lead from the penalty spot, and Christopher Lungoyi pulled one back for Gaziantep in the second half. It was a tightly contested affair in which Gaziantep had spells of pressure, but Basaksehir displayed decisive finishing and defensive control.
That result reflects a broader trend: Basaksehir have now won five of their last six home meetings with Gaziantep, including four by a margin of at least two goals.
Nuri Şahin’s Basaksehir come into this match after a mixed run in the opening Süper Lig fixtures. Their recent league sequence has included only one victory, but that win was a commanding 4-0 home performance against Genclerbirligi. Despite the stuttering form overall, their home figures are notably stronger, and their last three at the Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu have shown far more attacking edge than their away displays.
Gaziantep have battled inconsistency of their own, with Orhan Ak’s side following a 4-2 win at Göztepe and a goalless draw with Fenerbahçe by suffering consecutive defeats to Kocaelispor and Çorum FK. Scoring has been an issue again, with Gaziantep failing to score in their last two league matches.
For Basaksehir, home has generally been comfortable. They haven’t lost in 13 of their last 15 Süper Lig home matches and have managed to win 50% of their last 20 home fixtures, keeping clean sheets in 45% of those. Furthermore, in the last 12 home matches, Basaksehir have averaged over 2 goals per game, with six wins by at least a two-goal margin.
Gaziantep, in stark contrast, have struggled away from home. They’ve lost 7 of their past 12 road outings and managed to avoid defeat in just 44% of those fixtures. Alarmingly, 40% of the last 15 away matches have ended in losses by two or more goals.
Basaksehir earned a point away at Konyaspor (0-0) last time out, but prior to that their form had been volatile, including a heavy 5-0 defeat against Amedspor. Their only win in the last five matches came at home in a commanding 4-0 performance against Genclerbirligi, where Shomurodov scored twice and Skov Olsen also found the net. At home, shot volume and possession numbers are encouraging, with over 14 shots per match and more than 55% average possession in their last three.
Gaziantep’s recent league form includes a 3-0 home defeat to Çorum FK and a 2-0 away loss to Kocaelispor. They did prevail in a 4-2 win over Göztepe, with Kacper Kozłowski scoring twice, but that result is the exception lately.
Basaksehir’s most recent league XI at Konyaspor is a strong guide, with Muhammed Şengezer fit enough to start in goal and Bertuğ Yıldırım leading the line. Edin Višća is the main fitness concern, while Luca Stancic, Efe Arda Koyuncu and Batuhan Çelik are not expected to be available. Davie Selke, Jerome Opoku and Christopher Operi missed the last matchday squad and remain fitness questions rather than automatic starters.
Basaksehir probable XI: Muhammed Şengezer; Michal Karbownik, Emin Bayram, Ousseynou Ba, Saba Kharebashvili; Umut Güneş, Olivier Kemen; Andreas Skov Olsen, Eldor Shomurodov, Ivan Brnic; Bertuğ Yıldırım.
Şahin has leaned on a 4-2-3-1 shape, with Shomurodov operating between midfield and the striker, and Skov Olsen offering the main right-sided goal threat.
Gaziantep are likely to stay close to their recent 4-1-4-1 structure. Fuat Bavuk remains sidelined, while Ali Kalın and Nazım Sangaré are doubts. Abakar Sylla started the defeat to Çorum FK, but Ulrich Meleke could return to the midfield base after featuring prominently in previous matches.
Gaziantep probable XI: Kacper Tobiasz; Luis Pérez, Myenty Abena, Abakar Sylla, Kerim Çalhanoğlu; Ulrich Meleke; Deian Sorescu, Victor Gidado, Alexandru Maxim, Kacper Kozłowski; Halil Dervişoğlu.
Halil Dervişoğlu should continue as the central forward, while Maxim and Kozłowski carry much of the creative responsibility behind him.
Given Basaksehir’s strong recent home record, their attacking numbers at the Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, and Gaziantep’s lingering away problems, the hosts look well positioned to collect three points. A 45% probability of victory has been predicted for Basaksehir, with a likely outcome in the region of 3-1.

| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Galatasaray | 22 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
2 |
Amedspor | 20 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
3 |
Trabzonspor | 19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 |
4 |
Besiktas | 18 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
5 |
Fenerbahçe | 16 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
6 |
Kasımpasa SK | 16 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
7 |
Kocaelispor | 15 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
8 |
Erzurum BB | 14 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -4 |
9 |
Çorum Belediyesi | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
10 |
Göztepe Izmir | 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
11 |
Alanyaspor | 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 |
12 |
Basaksehir | 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 |
13 |
Rizespor | 10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 |
14 |
Gaziantep | 8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 |
15 |
Konyaspor | 8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 |
16 |
Genclerbirligi | 8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -11 |
17 |
Samsunspor | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -13 |
18 |
Eyüpspor | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -21 |
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