Football is Mathematics
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Momentum is building in the Süper Lig as Besiktas prepare to face Basaksehir at Beşiktaş Stadium on October 26, 2026. The hosts are looking for a response after defeat at Trabzonspor, while Basaksehir arrive with renewed confidence after a narrow home win over Gaziantep.
Besiktas have made an impact in the opening eight rounds, claiming five wins and sitting fifth in the standings with 15 points, 16 goals scored and a healthy goal difference of +6. Basaksehir, meanwhile, occupy tenth place with three wins, two draws and three losses, finding the net 12 times and conceding as many.
Looking back at their head-to-head history in Istanbul, Besiktas have enjoyed the upper hand. In the last 10 home matches against Basaksehir, the Black Eagles have won five, drawn three and lost only two. This favorable trend has been particularly evident recently, with Besiktas undefeated in 12 of their last 15 home matches across all competitions and winning 73% of those games.
The home side's recent performances underline their strength at Beşiktaş Stadium. In their four home league matches this season, Besiktas have won all four, scoring 12 times and conceding only three. The 2-1 win over Kocaelispor was followed by a 2-0 defeat at Trabzonspor, but Vincenzo Italiano's side still carry a clear attacking threat through Dusan Vlahovic, Leandro Trossard and Vaclav Cerny.
Overall, Besiktas display reliable form at home, clean sheets in 7 of their last 12 home contests in all competitions, and a noteworthy trend of winning comfortably by two goals or more in 8 out of their last 20 home matches.
Basaksehir, managed by Nuri Şahin, have encountered difficulties away from home. Across their last ten trips in all competitions, they have been unable to secure victory in eight, with a 50% loss rate. In the current campaign, Basaksehir's away form reflects this challenge, with just two draws and a sole victory in their last six matches, paired with an average of 1.67 goals conceded per game.
Recent league outings saw Basaksehir respond with a 2-1 win at home to Gaziantep after a goalless draw with Konyaspor, but away games remain a sticking point. They took just one point from the last three away matches, scoring only once while conceding seven.
The latest stats reveal a significant gulf in attacking output: Besiktas average 19 shots per game, 6.5 on target, compared to Basaksehir’s 11.67, 3.83 on target. This variance could tilt the balance, especially since Besiktas combine creativity and finishing efficiently.
Team news is likely to influence the lineups. For Besiktas, key absentees include Orkun Kökçü and Milot Rashica, both still sidelined. Cerny returned to the starting XI against Trabzonspor, while major summer additions Alexander Nübel, Trossard, Fabio Miretti and Vlahovic are now central to Italiano's first-choice structure.
Besiktas probable XI
Goalkeeper: Alexander Nübel
Defenders: Amir Murillo, Emmanuel Agbadou, Emirhan Topçu, Rıdvan Yılmaz
Midfielders: Salih Özcan, Junior Olaitan, Fabio Miretti, Vaclav Cerny, Leandro Trossard
Attacker: Dusan Vlahovic
For Basaksehir, Jerome Opoku and Christopher Operi were absent from the latest matchday squad, and Nuri Şahin has recently leaned on Saba Kharebashvili, Emin Bayram, Ousseynou Ba and Michal Karbownik in defence. Eldor Shomurodov scored early against Gaziantep, while Umut Güneş strengthened his case with the late winner.
Basaksehir probable XI
Goalkeeper: Muhammed Şengezer
Defenders: Saba Kharebashvili, Emin Bayram, Ousseynou Ba, Michal Karbownik
Midfielders: Jakub Kaluzinski, Olivier Kemen, Andreas Skov Olsen, Umut Bozok, Ivan Brnic
Attacker: Eldor Shomurodov
As for likely formations, Besiktas are expected to continue with a 4-1-4-1, prioritizing midfield energy and creativity, while Basaksehir should mirror their recent 4-2-3-1 setup to provide structure and adapt to changes in defence. Besiktas also have a midweek Europa League meeting with Crystal Palace before this fixture, so late rotation cannot be ruled out.
With a winning trend at home and a Basaksehir side that has struggled on the road, analytical models give Besiktas a probability of 50% to secure the three points, with a predicted outcome of 2-1 to Besiktas. Besiktas' intensity and depth, especially in attack, could prove decisive if they capitalize on Basaksehir's defensive vulnerabilities.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ||||||
| 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 |
| 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Galatasaray | 22 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
2 |
Amedspor | 20 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
3 |
Trabzonspor | 19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 |
4 |
Besiktas | 18 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
5 |
Fenerbahçe | 16 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
6 |
Kasımpasa SK | 16 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
7 |
Kocaelispor | 15 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
8 |
Erzurum BB | 14 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -4 |
9 |
Çorum Belediyesi | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
10 |
Göztepe Izmir | 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
11 |
Alanyaspor | 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 |
12 |
Basaksehir | 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 |
13 |
Rizespor | 10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 |
14 |
Gaziantep | 8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 |
15 |
Konyaspor | 8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 |
16 |
Genclerbirligi | 8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -11 |
17 |
Samsunspor | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -13 |
18 |
Eyüpspor | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -21 |
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