Football is Mathematics
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa Conference League
Premier League 10
LaLiga 10
Bundesliga 9
Serie A 10
Ligue 1 9
Eredivisie 9
Liga Portugal 9
As Gaziantep welcome Çorum FK to the Gaziantep Stadyumu for their Süper Lig encounter on October 11, anticipation builds around whether the hosts can restrain the visitors' attacking threat or if Çorum's recent away scoring will play the deciding role. With both sides experiencing mixed fortunes and statistical outliers surfacing in their early campaigns, the clash promises a tactical affair shaped by defensive discipline and moments of individual quality.
Gaziantep's early season has been an exercise in resilience and inconsistency. Across their first six matches, they have won two, drawn two and lost two, averaging 1.17 goals scored and conceded per game. Notably, their home fortune has lagged behind, as they have not secured a victory in their last three home games, collecting two draws and one loss while scoring just 0.67 goals and conceding 1 per tie.
Çorum FK's recent trajectory highlights a more enterprising attack. Over their last six matches, Çorum have netted a significant 2.17 goals per game but have also been porous at the back, conceding two goals per match on average. Their away record has been volatile rather than secure, yet nine goals in three Süper Lig away fixtures underline the danger Gaziantep must control.
Both clubs are relatively fresh to one another at this level, with no longstanding direct rivalry, meaning this Süper Lig meeting comes with intrigue around how the current squads stack up given their league records and match trends.
Gaziantep come into this game with a somewhat troubling long-term pattern, having lost 15 of their previous 30 in all competitions, with an average of 1.23 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per match during this stretch. The concern for home supporters deepens when looking at their winless rate: they have failed to win in 16 of their last 20, and a full 83% of their most recent 12 home matches have ended without picking up three points.
By contrast, Çorum have compiled a more ambitious profile since promotion, especially after a summer of eye-catching recruitment. The visitors have already produced a statement away display, with Cengiz Ünder scoring twice and Jesús Ramírez also netting in the 5-1 win at Samsunspor. Their league form still carries risk, though, as the 6-2 defeat at Beşiktaş and 1-2 home loss to Alanyaspor showed how exposed they can become.
Gaziantep have drawn 4 of their last 8 home games, often struggling to convert chances into goals, averaging just one goal per home tie over this period. Their challenge lies in breaking down well-organized back lines, as reflected in their subdued shooting efficiency and modest possession figures at home.
Çorum, on the other hand, have seen attacking returns spike, scoring freely even when results have fluctuated. Ball retention and creating high-danger chances remain areas to watch, while their defensive structure is still settling around a rebuilt squad featuring Marcos Felipe, Gökhan Sazdağı, Hrvoje Smolčić, Andrei Borza, Ylber Ramadani, Cengiz Ünder and Ramírez.
Gaziantep changed head coach in early September, with Orhan Ak replacing Mirel Rădoi, and his preferred 4-1-4-1 has quickly leaned on continuity. The late-window arrivals of Abakar Sylla, Efe Sarıkaya and Ataberk Dadakdeniz add depth, but the XI that held Fenerbahçe 0-0 and then lost 2-0 at Kocaelispor remains the clearest guide. Ali Kalın, Nazım Sangaré and Fuat Bavuk have had muscle issues, but none are projected to alter the main XI here.
Gaziantep FK probable XI: Kacper Tobiasz; Luis Pérez, Arda Kızıldağ, Myenty Abena, Kerim Çalhanoğlu; Ulrich Meleke; Deian Sorescu, Victor Gidado, Alexandru Maxim, Kacper Kozłowski; Halil Dervişoğlu.
Orhan Ak's side have kept the same core in recent league games, with Maxim and Kozłowski supplying the creative thrust behind Halil Dervişoğlu, while Tobiasz remains the first-choice goalkeeper.
Çorum FK, managed by Uğur Uçar, have no major listed absence at this stage and should again have a strong attacking group available. Çağlar Söyüncü and Youssoufa Moukoko offer high-profile alternatives from the bench, but the recent starting pattern points toward the same 4-1-4-1 structure used before the international break.
Çorum FK probable XI: Marcos Felipe; Gökhan Sazdağı, Serdar Saatçı, Hrvoje Smolčić, Andrei Borza; Ylber Ramadani; Cengiz Ünder, Mohamed Diomandé, Fredy, Alexandros Kyziridis; Jesús Ramírez.
Ramírez has scored in each of Çorum's last two league matches, strengthening his case to lead the line ahead of Moukoko for now.
Statistical models and algorithms point toward a balanced affair, with the draw emerging as the likeliest result at a 36% probability, and 1-1 standing out as a plausible scoreline. Gaziantep's persistent difficulties securing home victories, paired with Çorum's surge in offensive productivity and defensive vulnerability, suggest both teams have clear strengths and weaknesses that could cancel each other out. The probabilities also hint that while Çorum's increased shot and attacking numbers give them the edge in forward areas, Gaziantep's defensive lines, especially in recent home games, might be enough to hold them at bay for large spells.
With form lines intersecting, and both teams searching for greater consistency, Gaziantep versus Çorum FK looks set to be defined by moments rather than dominance. The underlying numbers favor a hard-fought draw, but with Çorum's creative verve and Gaziantep's need to correct their home trajectory, margins may be thin on the day.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | |||||
| 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | |
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | |||
| 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Amedspor | 13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
2 |
Galatasaray | 13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
3 |
Besiktas | 12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
4 |
Kocaelispor | 12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
5 |
Alanyaspor | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
6 |
Fenerbahçe | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
7 |
Trabzonspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
8 |
Kasımpasa SK | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
9 |
Rizespor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
10 |
Gaziantep | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
11 |
Çorum Belediyesi | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
12 |
Erzurum BB | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -8 |
13 |
Basaksehir | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
14 |
Genclerbirligi | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -8 |
15 |
Konyaspor | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 |
16 |
Samsunspor | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 |
17 |
Göztepe Izmir | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 |
18 |
Eyüpspor | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -14 |
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
There have been under 2.5 goals in 15 of the latest games in Primera B Metropolitana of Brown de Adrogué
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
In all of their 20 most recent matches of Women’s Super League, there have been no losses for Arsenal LFC W
In their last 20 games in Serie C, US Foggia have a poor record of just 2 wins
A run of 10 straight defeats makes the most recent matches in all competitions of Gibraltar
Reggina Calcio have won 8 consecutive games in Serie D Group I
Gimnasia Chivilcoy have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 5 Torneo Federal A games
Antigua & Barbuda have failed to score in their last 4 matches in all competitions
In their last 3 Serie C matches, Spezia have won by 2 or more goals
Perugia Calcio have lost by 2 or more goals their last 3 Serie C games in a row
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions
In their last 53 games in Liga MX, Cruz Azul have been undefeated on 45 occasions
Spain haven't lost any of their last 39 matches in all competitions
Barcelona W have won their last 25 Primera Division Women games in a row
There have been under 2.5 goals in 25 of the latest games in Torneo Federal A of Club Olimpo
Rotherham's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 3 of their last 20 matches (all competitions)
Malta U21 are on a losing streak of 19 straight matches in Euro U21 Qualification
Their last 11 games in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland have seen FK Karlskrona win by 2 or more goals
Central Ballester have kept a clean sheet in all of their last 7 league matches
No goals have been scored by Kazakhstan in their last 7 games in UEFA Nations League
San Marino have suffered losses by 3 or more goals in all 5 of their latest games in all competitions











