Besiktas Seek to Extend Home Streak as Kocaelispor Hope for Upset at Tüpraş Stadyumu

Besiktas vs Kocaelispor - 10/11/2026

09/21/2026 50

Besiktas and Kocaelispor meet at Tüpraş Stadyumu on 11 October, with Vincenzo Italiano’s side trying to protect a strong home start against a Kocaelispor team that has already shown it can frustrate bigger opponents.

Key Points

• Besiktas have won their first three home league matches of the season, scoring 10 goals and conceding only two.
• Kocaelispor have taken four wins from their first six league matches, including three clean sheets, but their toughest away tests remain a concern.
• Dusan Vlahovic has quickly become central to Besiktas, with a hat-trick against Çorum FK and the winner away to Fenerbahçe already this season.
• Leandro Trossard’s heel problem and Massadio Haidara’s groin issue are the main fitness situations to monitor before kick-off.
• The locked prediction is Besiktas to win, with a 51% victory probability and a 3-1 scoreline.

Recent Form

Besiktas have delivered impressive performances over their last six matches, securing four wins and suffering just two defeats. Their attacking efficiency is notable, averaging 2.83 goals per match, while defensively conceding 1.33 per game. At home, their numbers are even more compelling with three straight league wins, 10 goals scored and just two conceded.

Kocaelispor, meanwhile, also boast four victories in their last six league games with two defeats, but their attack is less explosive and their defensive base has carried them. Selçuk İnan’s side have beaten Amed, Konyaspor, Samsunspor and Gaziantep, while narrow defeats to Başakşehir and Galatasaray show both resilience and limits against stronger opposition.

Recent History

The head-to-head data suggests Besiktas have had the upper hand recently, winning two and drawing one of their past three meetings with Kocaelispor. Notably, Besiktas were 1-0 winners away in February 2026, while this fixture brings Kocaelispor back to one of the division’s most demanding venues.

Main Trends

Besiktas are riding a significant wave of positive trends at Tüpraş Stadyumu. In the league this season, they have beaten Eyüpspor 1-0, Çorum FK 6-2 and Erzurumspor 3-0 at home, with the 4-1 Europa League win over Marseille adding further weight to their Istanbul form.

Furthermore, Besiktas’ ability to secure results by comfortable margins remains evident, with their attacking unit now built around Dusan Vlahovic, Orkun Kökçü, Vaclav Cerny and Junior Olaitan. Vlahovic’s early impact has been decisive, especially after his hat-trick in the 6-2 win over Çorum and his goal in the derby victory at Fenerbahçe.

For Kocaelispor, the picture is more mixed. They have already kept clean sheets against Amed, Samsunspor and Gaziantep, but their two defeats came without scoring. Away from home, the 2-1 win at Konyaspor was encouraging, though the 1-0 loss at Galatasaray underlined the difficulty of sustaining pressure against elite opponents.

Overall Performance

Besiktas’ recent Süper Lig results reflect their control of matches: a 3-0 home win over Erzurumspor, a 2-1 away victory at Fenerbahçe and a 6-2 demolition of Çorum FK. Their home dominance is reinforced by superior attacking output and a squad strengthened by major summer additions including Vlahovic, Kökçü, Trossard, Cerny, Alexander Nübel and Salih Özcan.

Kocaelispor’s form sheet includes a hard-fought 2-0 win over Gaziantep and a resilient 2-1 comeback at Konyaspor. However, defeats to Galatasaray and Başakşehir, in which they managed little attacking threat, expose vulnerabilities against strong opposition, especially on their travels.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Besiktas are managed by Vincenzo Italiano, and the most important fitness question concerns Leandro Trossard, whose heel injury required scans and treatment after the Erzurumspor match. Vaclav Cerny also came off against Marseille, though the Czech winger remains a key right-sided option if fully fit. Rıdvan Yılmaz has returned to matchday involvement, while Ernest Poku and İlhan Fakılı have pushed for minutes in the attacking line.

Besiktas probable XI: Alexander Nübel; Amir Murillo, Emmanuel Agbadou, Emirhan Topçu, Rıdvan Yılmaz; Salih Özcan, Orkun Kökçü; Vaclav Cerny, Junior Olaitan, Ernest Poku; Dusan Vlahovic.

That selection keeps the core of Italiano’s strongest recent league sides intact, with Trossard’s fitness likely to decide whether Poku keeps a starting place or drops to the bench. Agbadou and Topçu look the most settled central defensive pairing, while Nübel has quickly become first choice in goal.

Kocaelispor are managed by Selçuk İnan and arrive with a more settled spine than expected. Massadio Haidara came off early against Gaziantep after feeling groin discomfort, making him a player to monitor closely. If he is not risked, Muharrem Cinan is the natural replacement at left-back. Florian Ayé leads the line, while Berkan Kutlu’s goal against Gaziantep strengthened his grip on a midfield role.

Kocaelispor probable XI: Serhat Öztaşdelen; Uğur Kaan Yıldız, Anfernee Dijksteel, Emir Ortakaya, Muharrem Cinan; Show, Mahamadou Susoho, Berkan Kutlu; Gonçalo Sousa, Daniel Agyei, Florian Ayé.

Kocaelispor’s selection could shift if Haidara is cleared, while Metehan Altunbaş and Tayfur Bingöl are also strong candidates for attacking or wide roles. Ayé remains the focal point after scoring the winner against Samsunspor and starting regularly through the early weeks.

Prediction

With Besiktas coming into this match boasting a formidable home record and strong offensive numbers, the prediction algorithms give them a 51% probability for victory. Expect the hosts to control possession and create the better chances, with a locked 3-1 Besiktas win reflecting both sides’ trends so far. Unless Kocaelispor can reverse their away fortunes, Besiktas’ unbeaten run against them looks likely to continue at Tüpraş Stadyumu.

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Away team

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Besiktas Kocaelispor 11/10/2026 18:00

512524

13-1

3 - 1

3.74

63°F

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