Monza Face Resilient Napoli in U-Power Stadium Battle

Monza vs Napoli - 10/28/2026

10/26/2026 1066

Pressure meets opportunity as Monza prepare to host Napoli at the U-Power Stadium on 28 October 2026 in Serie A. Ivan Juric's side are trying to build on improved home form, while Massimiliano Allegri's Napoli need consistency after another high-scoring setback.

Key Points

• Monza have scored freely at home, including a 4-0 win over Cagliari in their latest U-Power Stadium league match.
• Napoli arrive after a 3-3 draw with Roma, with Scott McTominay continuing his strong scoring form from midfield.
• Monza remain without Matteo Pessina, Jan Ziolkowski and Yvan Maye, while Napoli are missing Alessandro Buongiorno and David Neres among others.
• The locked prediction is an away win for Napoli with a 39% probability, likely by a 1-2 scoreline.

Recent Form

Monza arrive with a record that features two wins, one draw and three losses in their last six matches. The home side have averaged 2 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per match in that period. Their last three home outings demonstrate promise, picking up two victories and suffering just a single defeat while netting an average of 2.67 goals per fixture. The 4-0 win over Cagliari was Monza's biggest Serie A victory and underlined their attacking threat at the Brianteo.

Napoli's road through their last six is similar: two wins, two draws, and two defeats, with the team scoring 2 goals and conceding 1.83 each game. The Neapolitans have struggled to assert themselves away from home recently, failing to win in two of their last three on their travels, and the 3-3 draw with Roma again showed both their attacking quality and defensive vulnerability.

Recent History

The last three Monza home meetings with Napoli show that Monza have won once, but lost twice. Looking at the broader context of all competitions, Napoli have typically had the upper hand, but Monza have proven they can be dangerous on their own turf.

Overall Performance

After eight rounds, Monza sit 15th in Serie A, recording two wins, one draw, and five defeats. Their attack provides hope with 15 goals (1.88 per game), but a vulnerable back line has leaked 18. With a negative goal difference of three, Monza are keen to tighten up defensively.

Napoli stand 10th after as many matches. With three victories, two draws, and three defeats, they have a positive goal balance (13 scored, 10 conceded) and are operating at a rate of 1.63 goals per game offensively. Their defence, averaging 1.25 conceded, presents a relative strength compared to Monza, even if recent matches have exposed problems managing leads and transitions.

Main Trends

Monza have been efficient on their own ground over a longer stretch, undefeated in 13 of their last 15 home matches across all competitions, with six clean sheets in their last 20 home league games. Notably, they have won by two or more goals in 39% of their past 18 home matches.

On the flip side, Monza have lost twice by two or more goals in the last five encounters with Napoli, so controlling the margin will be crucial for the hosts.

Napoli's broader form indicates resilience, winning 50% of their last 28 in all competitions and picking up four clean sheets in their last 10 away matches. Historically, they've shown even greater comfort at home, but an away winning rate of 50% across their last ten Serie A fixtures hints at their threat level. McTominay's latest goals against Roma add another midfield scoring route for Allegri's side.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Monza are managed by Ivan Juric and should keep their 3-4-2-1 structure. Matteo Pessina, Jan Ziolkowski and Yvan Maye remain out, while no active player suspension is expected to affect the hosts. Dany Mota is pushing to keep his place after returning to the attacking line behind Gustavo Varela, with Jay Robinson also favoured after scoring recently.

Monza probable XI: Noel Törnqvist; Lorenzo Lucchesi, Saba Goglichidze, Andrea Carboni; Samuele Birindelli, Foe Ondoa, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, Ricardo Mangas; Dany Mota, Jay Robinson; Gustavo Varela.

Varela's brace against Cagliari makes him the obvious focal point, while Kouadio, Michael Folorunsho, Andrea Colpani and Patrick Cutrone offer Juric alternatives if he wants more physicality or experience.

Napoli, now under Massimiliano Allegri, are expected to line up in a 4-3-3. Alessandro Buongiorno, Costantino Favasuli, David Neres and Alisson Santos are unavailable, while there is no active player suspension in the first-team selection. Kevin De Bruyne, Scott McTominay and Frank Anguissa give Napoli a powerful midfield, with Stanislav Lobotka a strong alternative if Allegri opts for more control.

Napoli probable XI: Alex Meret; Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Rafa Marín, Sam Beukema, Mathías Olivera; Kevin De Bruyne, Frank Anguissa, Scott McTominay; Matteo Politano, Rasmus Højlund, Noa Lang.

De Bruyne, Højlund and Lang give Napoli a reshaped attacking core, while Politano's delivery and Di Lorenzo's overlaps remain key to their right-sided threat. Beukema is well placed to start in central defence, with Benoît Badiashile also in contention.

Sidelined Players

Monza are without Matteo Pessina, Jan Ziolkowski and Yvan Maye due to injuries. Napoli will be missing Alessandro Buongiorno, Costantino Favasuli, David Neres and Alisson Santos. Buongiorno's absence is the most significant defensive issue, while Neres reduces Napoli's wide attacking depth.

Prediction

Napoli hold a statistical edge and look more balanced between attack and defence. Their 51.67% average possession and higher shot output underscore their intent. Monza's strong home trend and ability to score mean they should make their presence felt, but the prediction algorithm points to an away win for Napoli with a 39% probability, likely by a 1-2 scoreline. Monza’s efficiency in front of goal and Napoli’s opportunism set the stage for a competitive encounter, with slim margins likely to separate the two.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

It1

Monza Napoli 28/10/2026 20:45

303239

21-2

1 - 2

2.50

59°F

-182

+450 +333 -182 no no no

FT

1 - 4(1 - 1)

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- - -