Inter Eye More Serie A Dominance Against Struggling Venezia

Venezia vs Inter - 10/28/2026

10/26/2026 164

Venezia will welcome league leaders Inter to the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo on 28 October 2026, with both teams arriving in very different circumstances. Inter, unbeaten and in imperious form, face a Venezia side still bottom despite an immediate new-manager bounce under Davide Nicola.

Key Points

• Inter lead Serie A with seven wins and one draw from eight matches, scoring 23 goals.
• Venezia remain 20th with one win and seven defeats, although they did beat Napoli in Nicola's first game.
• Lautaro Martínez, Benjamin Pavard and Luis Henrique are among Inter's current absentees.
• Inter carry an 82% probability of victory.

Recent History and Form

Venezia’s return to Serie A has been harsh. Just one win from eight matches and an average of only 0.75 goals per game have contributed to their league-low position. Recent history against Inter offers little encouragement, as the Venetians have lost their last two home matches in this fixture. In fact, they have lost each of their last five against the visitors in all competitions.

When focusing on recent form, Venezia’s struggles become even more apparent. Across their last six matches, they have suffered five defeats and claimed just a single victory. Offensively, the team has found the net only once over those six fixtures, while conceding an average of 2.17 goals per game.

Looking at their home record in recent weeks, the pattern of difficulty persists. Venezia managed a narrow 1-0 win over Napoli in Davide Nicola’s first match after replacing Giovanni Stroppa, but then slipped to a 1-0 defeat at Genoa. The Napoli result showed a harder edge, but the lack of goals remains a major concern.

The trends over a longer period underline the current slide. Venezia have been winless in eight of their last ten Serie A matches, and their defensive record is shaky, with 17 goals conceded in eight league games this season. The team has lost half its last twelve league outings. Yet, their general home record over the past twenty home matches is stronger, remaining undefeated in 16 of those and collecting eight wins from their last twelve home Serie A ties. Clean sheets have been a relative bright spot, with 50% shutouts in their last twenty Serie A home games.

By contrast, Inter have started this campaign with authority. Sitting first in Serie A under Cristian Chivu, they have won seven and drawn one of their eight games, registering an impressive 23 goals (2.88 per game). The defense has held up robustly as well, conceding just 10. Recent away form remains steady: Inter have not lost in their last fifteen league away games, and have taken twelve wins in their last twenty on the road. Three straight wins against Bologna, Shakhtar Donetsk and Fiorentina have kept momentum high despite injuries.

Attacking efficiency for Inter has been a hallmark, with an average 21.33 total shots per match and 7.83 on target across their past six games, alongside a 56% possession rate. Marcus Thuram has been in prolific form and struck late in the 2-1 win over Fiorentina, while midfielders like Çalhanoğlu, Barella and Zieliński continue to provide control and end product.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Squad selection could play a role in this meeting. Venezia will be without Marin Šverko and Bartol Franjić, who remain sidelined, though Gianluca Busio, Ridgeciano Haps and Armel Bella-Kotchap were involved in the latest squad. For Inter, Lautaro Martínez, Benjamin Pavard and Luis Henrique remain unavailable, while John Stones and Curtis Jones are also working back from muscular issues. Bastoni’s red card against Shakhtar does not rule him out of Serie A action.

Based on recent lineups and current absentees, probable starting elevens might look as follows:

Venezia (3-5-2):

Goalkeeper: Filip Stanković

Defenders: Matías Moreno, Juan Jesus, Redouane Halhal

Midfielders: Ridgeciano Haps, Antoine Hainaut, Simon Sohm, Toma Bašić, Kike Pérez

Attackers: John Yeboah, Akor Adams

Nicola has named the same core in successive matches, with Adams, the match-winner against Napoli, leading the line alongside Yeboah.

Inter (3-5-2):

Goalkeeper: Josep Martínez

Defenders: Manuel Akanji, Yann Bisseck, Alessandro Bastoni

Midfielders: Andy Diouf, Piotr Zieliński, Nicolò Barella, Petar Sučić, Federico Dimarco

Attackers: Marcus Thuram, Pio Esposito

Chivu has room to rotate in midfield, with Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Henrikh Mkhitaryan strong alternatives, but Thuram and Pio Esposito are the natural pairing while Lautaro is out.

Prediction

Given form and the respective squad qualities, Inter carry an 82% probability of victory. The Nerazzurri’s attacking prowess, depth, and recent record suggest they are very likely to maintain their unbeaten start. Venezia's shakiness at both ends of the pitch and recent winless run against Inter make the challenge a steep one.

Unless Venezia can rediscover their earlier home resilience, it looks to be another tough afternoon against a confident, table-topping Inter side.

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Venezia Inter 28/10/2026 18:30

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+750 +400 -278 no no no

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