Milan Aim to Continue Strong Start Against Improving Bologna

Milan vs Bologna - 10/28/2026

10/26/2026 144

As the Serie A season progresses, Milan host Bologna at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza looking to strengthen their place at the top end of the table. The Rossoneri remain unbeaten in the league, while Bologna arrive with renewed confidence under Raffaele Palladino after a timely away win.

Key Points

• Milan sit 4th after eight games, unbeaten in Serie A and on 18 points.
• Bologna have taken seven points from four league games under Raffaele Palladino.
• Christian Pulisic scored in Milan's 2-0 win at Udinese, while Federico Bernardeschi converted in Bologna's 2-0 win at Cagliari.
• The locked prediction is a Milan win at 55%, with a 2-1 scoreline.

Recent History

Milan have started their campaign with impressive momentum, sitting 4th after eight games, unbeaten in the league and holding a positive goal difference of +9. They've demonstrated a consistent attacking edge, finding the net 16 times and conceding under a goal per match.

Bologna, in contrast, find themselves in the lower half, with two wins out of eight and a negative goal difference. Scoring only eight but conceding ten, Bologna have still been searching for rhythm, though Palladino has given them a clear lift since replacing Domenico Tedesco.

The most recent meeting between these teams came in February at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Milan secured a clinical 3-0 away victory. Despite having less possession, Milan made their moments count, registering six shots on target from seven attempts. Ruben Loftus-Cheek opened the scoring early, Christopher Nkunku converted a penalty before halftime, and Adrien Rabiot sealed things shortly after the break.

Taking a broader look at their head-to-head record, Milan have won three of their last six home matches against Bologna, including two by a margin of two or more goals. This comfort at the San Siro is reflected in their broader home record. Milan have remained undefeated in 17 of their last 21 league matches at home, marking the venue as a fortress.

Recent Form

Milan's recent league form backs up their progress. Across the last six, they have won four, drawn one, and suffered just a single defeat in all competitions, with the league run still intact. Their latest Serie A response was strong: a 2-0 win away to Udinese, secured by goals from Christian Pulisic and Omari Hutchinson, came only days after a European setback at Bournemouth.

Bologna's away form, meanwhile, has been mixed but improved. A 2-0 win at Cagliari gives them cause for encouragement, especially as Casale and Bernardeschi delivered the goals after the break. That result followed the earlier 2-1 away win at Lecce, meaning Palladino's side have begun to travel with more belief despite lingering defensive questions.

Key trends highlight Milan's resilience: they have avoided defeat in 82% of their last 11 Serie A matches and have won 50% of their last ten home games in all competitions. Bologna have lost 50% of their last eight away matches in all competitions, and clean sheets remain relatively rare for the visitors.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Milan's latest league win came with Alexis Saelemaekers, Pietro Terracciano, Matteo Gabbia, Samuel Chukwueze, Mario Gila, Diego Moreira and Adrien Rabiot absent. Gila, Moreira and Rabiot had been dealing with muscle fatigue and face late checks, while Pervis Estupiñán has returned to the matchday group and is a strong option at left-back.

Milan probable XI: Maignan; Tomori, De Winter, Pavlović, Estupiñán; Hutchinson, Modrić, Jashari, Bartesaghi; Pulisic; Ramos.

Rúben Amorim has recently used a 4-4-1-1 when Milan's absences have piled up, with Pulisic linking behind Gonçalo Ramos and Modrić controlling the tempo. Hutchinson's first Milan goal in Udine strengthens his case to keep a starting place, while Bartesaghi's energy gives Amorim another flexible wide option.

Bologna were without Riccardo Orsolini, Roberto Piccoli and Emil Holm for the win at Cagliari, and Palladino is likely to stay close to the side that delivered that result. Matteo Darmian, Arthur Theate, Federico Bernardeschi and Nadir Zortea have all become important pieces in the current shape.

Bologna probable XI: Skorupski; Darmian, Casale, Theate; Zortea, Ferguson, Pobega, Miranda; Bernardeschi, Odgaard, Cambiaghi.

The tactical matchup likely sees Milan working from a 4-4-1-1 or shifting into a back three in possession, focusing on Pulisic's movement and Modrić's passing range. Bologna should again lean on a 3-4-2-1, using Ferguson and Pobega to compete centrally while Bernardeschi and Cambiaghi attack the spaces around Odgaard.

Prediction

Given the hosts' prolonged undefeated league run and home strength, combined with Bologna's still-inconsistent form and several important squad concerns for Palladino, Milan are justifiably favored. Forebet's algorithm estimates a 55% likelihood of a Milan win, with a 2-1 scoreline appearing plausible based on each side's tendencies and recent outputs.

With Milan eager to maintain their momentum and Bologna searching for stability, this contest will be shaped by Milan's ability to command possession and break down a Bologna team that is improving, but still vulnerable against top-four opposition.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

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Score

Live
coef.

It1

Milan Bologna 28/10/2026 18:30

552421

12-1

2 - 1

2.93

59°F

-164

-164 +275 +475 down no no

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