RB Leipzig Look to Continue Dominance as Schalke 04 Seek Redemption at Veltins-Arena

Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig - 10/31/2026

10/26/2026 256

RB Leipzig make the trip to Veltins-Arena on Saturday, 31 October, with recent memories of resounding victories still fresh. Schalke 04, newly back in the Bundesliga under Miron Muslic, have little margin for error as they look to reverse a difficult trend against visitors now led by Martin Demichelis.

Key Points

• Schalke have failed to score in their last three Bundesliga home games, drawing two and losing one.
• Leipzig have won each of their last five meetings with Schalke by margins of two or more goals.
• Leipzig arrive with outstanding home momentum, but their away form remains a concern after five consecutive defeats on the road.
• Schalke are managing fresh fitness concerns around Robin Gosens and Soufiane El-Faouzi after their collision at Köln.
• The locked prediction is an RB Leipzig win at 48%, with a projected 2-1 scoreline.

Recent Form

Schalke 04's recent league results show a team struggling for consistency. In their last six league outings, they have won just once, drawn three, and lost twice, averaging only 0.67 goals scored and conceding 0.67 per match. Their last three home games paint an even bleaker picture: two draws, one loss, no goals scored, and a meager 1.67 shots on target per match. Schalke have kept three clean sheets in seven league games, including a creditable 0-0 draw at Köln last time out, but their lack of goals remains the central issue.

RB Leipzig's form has fluctuated, but their attacking football has been potent. They bounced back from heavy away defeats at Bayern Munich and Real Madrid by beating SV Elversberg 4-0, with Rômulo scoring twice from the bench and Christoph Baumgartner marking his return from injury with a goal. Leipzig have won all four Bundesliga home games this season with an 18-0 aggregate score, though that sharpness has not yet travelled reliably.

Recent History

The head-to-head trend between these teams strongly favors RB Leipzig. In Schalke 04's last six home matches against this opponent, they managed only a solitary win and one draw, with RB Leipzig capturing four victories. Notably, Schalke have lost each of their last five matches against RB Leipzig, all by margins of two or more goals, underlining the size of the challenge ahead.

Overall Performance

Looking further back, Schalke have a moderate home record: undefeated in 93% of their last 15 home matches in all competitions, with eight clean sheets. They have won 13 out of the last 20 at home, scoring an average of 1.45 and conceding just 0.75 per match. However, recent league play tells a less positive story. Schalke have won only one of their last ten Bundesliga matches and have not scored in any of their last three at home.

RB Leipzig bring a contrasting narrative. In the Bundesliga, they have won 60% of their last 20 matches, scoring an impressive 2.3 goals per game. Their away form is shaky, with defeats in 67% of their last 12 matches and a heavy recent setback in Munich. However, Leipzig's ceiling remains high, and their 4-0 win over Elversberg again showed the depth Demichelis has in attacking areas.

Main Trends

Schalke 04 enter this match on a four-game winless streak in all competitions. Defensive resilience has been their main asset at home; clean sheets against Bayern Munich, Elversberg and Köln stand out. But up front, a lack of attacking invention has cost them dearly, especially with Moussa Sylla, Kenan Karaman and Ron Schallenberg among the recent absentees and Maximilian Wöber facing a longer spell out.

RB Leipzig, on the other hand, struggle for consistency on the road and have been winless in seven of their last eight away games. But their attacking numbers are positive, and the return of Baumgartner adds another option behind Rômulo. Rômulo's brace against Elversberg strengthens his case to lead the line, while Christopher Nkunku should return to the XI if his minor adductor issue clears in time.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Schalke must balance this league assignment with a midweek DFB-Pokal trip to Dynamo Dresden. Gosens suffered two stitched forehead cuts in the collision at Köln, while El-Faouzi sustained a broken nose and a forehead cut, so both will be assessed. Džeko returned to the bench at Köln after a head wound, and Hee Chan Hwang's energetic first start gives Muslic a live attacking decision.

Schalke 04 probable XI: Karius; Kuruçay, Katic, Timo Becker; Gantenbein, Tanaka, Aouchiche, Gosens; Hwang, Junior Adamu; Džeko.

Leipzig also have a cup tie at Rot-Weiss Essen before this Bundesliga trip, so rotation is possible in midweek. Vandevoordt remains the likely league goalkeeper, with David Raum, Willi Orbán, Castello Lukeba and Ridle Baku forming the strongest back four. In midfield and attack, Demichelis can choose from Seiwald, El Aynaoui, Gruda, Nusa, Nkunku, Baumgartner and Rômulo.

RB Leipzig probable XI: Vandevoordt; Baku, Orbán, Lukeba, Raum; Seiwald, El Aynaoui; Gruda, Nkunku, Nusa; Rômulo.

Prediction

The numbers suggest that RB Leipzig hold the advantage, especially given their record against Schalke 04 and their capacity to score freely. Schalke's defensive strength at home may keep them in the contest for periods, but their blunt attack and Leipzig's offensive firepower tip the prediction to the visitors. The algorithm assigns a 48% probability for an RB Leipzig win, with a projected narrow 2-1 margin. Schalke's search for a turnaround will need to overcome a mountain of recent poor results in this fixture.

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Away team

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Schalke 04 RB Leipzig 31/10/2026 15:30

282448

21-2

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2.96

48°F

-120

+290 +300 -120 no no no

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